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June 2021 Pacific Northwest Obs


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There's going to be lots of trash pandas out tonight. 

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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While it really sucked to see PDX smash their old all time record by five degrees, I am grateful nowhere in the metro area actually made a run at 115 as the models were suggesting.

Now all we have to do is get through tomorrow and hope some high clouds or the southerly push caps things below expectations, and we can hopefully put this nightmare behind us forever.

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9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think it's actually been obvious for days that both PDX and SEA would crack 110.  A lot of us just didn't want to admit it.  You compare the 850s and heights to July 2009 and it totally suggested temps 10 to 12 hotter than that event.  I just never thought I would see the day SEA hit 110.

You are absolutely right. This event was actually impressively well forecast by the GFS. It has been unbelievably consistent for 7+ days in this.

I feel like a lot of people both on here and in the meteorology community at large flat out disregarded the very strong support for this event when they probably shouldn't have.

Imo all the talk about how the GFS was "broken" a week ago was pretty unfounded considering that there was no actual evidence to support that idea other than the temperatures sounding hard to believe. A good takeaway from this imo is that we shouldn't discount outlandish model solutions based purely on the fact that they are extreme. There needs to be more evidence pointing to a model being out to lunch than "it's anomalous for this region".

If people had actually just believed the models, this event was unbelievably well telegraphed. I definitely have a renewed confidence in the GFS after this.

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

While it really sucked to see PDX smash their old all time record by five degrees, I am grateful nowhere in the metro area actually made a run at 115 as the models were suggesting.

Now all we have to do is get through tomorrow and hope some high clouds or the southerly push caps things below expectations, and we can hopefully put this nightmare behind us forever.

There will always be limiting factors (high clouds/sea breezes, smoke)... Hence why we don't usually ever get anywhere near this hot. Limiting factors are part of our climatology.

Hopefully we get one....or five....of those tomorrow.

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Tomorrow looks brutal. Wouldn't be shocked to see a westside location approach 120.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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6 minutes ago, Outpost54 said:

You are absolutely right. This event was actually impressively well forecast by the GFS. It has been unbelievably consistent for 7+ days in this.

I feel like a lot of people both on here and in the meteorology community at large flat out disregarded the very strong support for this event when they probably shouldn't have.

Imo all the talk about how the GFS was "broken" a week ago was pretty unfounded considering that there was no actual evidence to support that idea other than the temperatures sounding hard to believe. A good takeaway from this imo is that we shouldn't discount outlandish model solutions based purely on the fact that they are extreme. There needs to be more evidence pointing to a model being out to lunch than "it's anomalous for this region".

If people had actually just believed the models, this event was unbelievably well telegraphed. I definitely have a renewed confidence in the GFS after this.

To be fair, the GFS was too warm. Was projecting 118-120 at PDX for awhile.

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Just now, BLI snowman said:

Went down to a local park a half hour ago and took a stroll. First time I've ever seen it completely abandoned on a sunny weekend.

Yes!  Driving around this afternoon it was like the first days of Covid, everything was abandoned looking.

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Thoughts on tomorrow's heat and the setup relative today?

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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7 minutes ago, Phil said:

To be fair, the GFS was too warm. Was projecting 118-120 at PDX for awhile.

I mean, there is still a distinct possibility that PDX makes a run at 118 tomorrow. And even if it doesn't, the GFS wasn't *that* far off. 114+ is nearly a lock for PDX tomorrow.

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Just now, Requiem said:

Thoughts on tomorrow's heat and the setup relative today?

Tomorrow should be a notch or two warmer for the metro area, particularly for those areas that didn’t mix out entirely today.  Assuming there are no clouds in play and the models are right keeping the southerly surge at bay until early evening, I’d say 113-115 at PDX is doable.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, Outpost54 said:

I mean, there is still a distinct possibility that PDX makes a run at 118 tomorrow. And even if it doesn't, the GFS wasn't *that* far off. 114+ is nearly a lock for PDX tomorrow.

You sure about that?

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9 hours ago, ..... said:

Are you the one who used to have a frog? Hiya!

😃 No. But sounds interesting.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

The passive aggressive push arrived from the coast a little early! It’ll be interesting to see how it affects temps going into tomorrow…

This is a pretty passive aggressive post ;)

Im sure tomorrow will absolutely roast the metro area, for the record. It was nice to see today fall a little short from its most insane expectations, though.

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I’m not too far away from this community center. Interesting and right choice imo…. With people hitting the waters we need as many of these as we can. Someone already drowned today. 
 

 

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10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Went down to a local park a half hour ago and took a stroll. First time I've ever seen it completely abandoned on a sunny weekend.

We had a late lunch down at the waterfront today and it was kinda spooky.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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20 minutes ago, Jesse said:

82 at the coast currently. 

Wife and I was about to go to Ocean Shores after our trip to Seabeck but decided to go home instead due to us having elderly parents so we wanted to keep an eye on them. Now I’m thinking we maybe should’ve. It’s a bit too much! 

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9 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Someone has then millennial heat wave irony sensors on!  

I love how someone can run amock here day and night with passive aggressive bs with impunity from the Hockinson PD, but when I make a sincere post celebrating the coming demise of something truly awful for our region you are on me like a fly on sh*t in the 112 degree sun. ;)

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15 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Went down to a local park a half hour ago and took a stroll. First time I've ever seen it completely abandoned on a sunny weekend.

It’s the same here too but just wait until after sunset and it’ll get incredibly crowded. Such was the case at Alki beach yesterday. We went for a stroll after sunset until midnight and it was as crowded as I can remember here.

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it's baking down here now. got an ac unit from the garage.... wasn't confident it would work but thankfully it did. caveat is that it goes to my mom, who needs it much more than i do. I'll roast down here yet, but i'll roast in good conscience

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10 minutes ago, Jesse said:

This is a pretty passive aggressive post ;)

Im sure tomorrow will absolutely roast the metro area, for the record. It was nice to see today fall a little short from its most insane expectations, though.

Could have been a little worse.  Mixing out at noon or so probably helped as it didn’t quite sync with peak heating.  

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

110F w/o AC in a house that is designed to retain heat is some mickey mouse BS

Do not sully Mickey Mouse's good name with that 110 no a/c nonsense. LOL.
I am so sorry dude, that is something you wouldn't wish on your worst enemy. 

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--------------------

Sean Nyberg

Be kind.

   IG: @SeanNyberg

   T:   @SeanNyberg

   Facebook: Sean Nyberg

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1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Pulling an all nighter cause my house is 90F rn and it won’t cool below 80. Who else wants do a night shift?

I always have a hard time sleeping regardless so this heat doesn’t help either so I’ll definitely be up. 

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7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Could have been a little worse.  Mixing out at noon or so probably helped as it didn’t quite sync with peak heating.  

Seems like things will be mixed much of the day tomorrow. Probably more of a downslope component with the approach of the low though.

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59 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Stalled out here

F245A6A7-E663-4BFA-8EED-E95576A3C062.jpeg

100/71 is the final spread today. Puget sound helped us out a little bit. 

Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

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104/110 here right now. Just went past Lake Washington and it is packed with to the brim with people. 

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Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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202073840_605732260818925_6489680365119257758_n.jpg

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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