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Approaching 24 hours in which it’s been raining for over 90% of the time here. Just glorious and way overdue. Moderate rain currently.

Here are those pictures, I think my favorite is the one where the sunset almost seems to be illuminating the clouds from underneath  

Russell Wilson showed up at my son's flag football game today. Apparently his son plays on one of the other teams in the league. My son lost his game but said it didn't matter since he got to meet Rus

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Looks like 65 / 48 for SEA today.  Solidly below normal.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like 65 / 48 for SEA today.  Solidly below normal.

Mid 60s seems like its standard fare at SEA in June... just going back the last 5 years here are days with a high temp at 67 or below:

2016 - 8 days

2017 - 11 days

2018 - 6 days

2019 - 6 days

2020 - 13 days

Which of course makes sense because the average high is only reaching 70 now.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

I’ve posted this link before (Dr. Roundy’s website) but it’s a good reference for the seasonality in MJO relationships over North America.

The late July/early August period is when you really see the differences in correlations between IO/EHEM (phase 1-4) and WPAC/WHEM (phase 5-8) convection.

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/index200reg.html

I have this saved on my browser as "Phil's Bible"

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41 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

64/46 here.

Your lows have been lower than mine lately.  Just haven't been able to hold onto the clear skies here at night.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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25 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Your lows have been lower than mine lately.  Just haven't been able to hold onto the clear skies here at night.

Yeah we’ve been clearing out at night so we’ve had a pretty good run of chilly mornings. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.14”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.02”

Warmest high temp-84

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6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Sunday could threaten our wettest daily rainfall record for the month of June. Current record is 0.83” on 6/1/06. 

6/1/68 had 1.75 at SeaTac, pretty outstanding as the largest daily rainfall in June. I doubt 1968's record will be broken, but it is somewhat plausible given the perfect setup.

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Clouds building from the west. Hopefully some rain soon.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

6/1/68 had 1.75 at SeaTac, pretty outstanding as the largest daily rainfall in June. I doubt 1968's record will be broken, but it is somewhat plausible given the perfect setup.

I’d have to look farther back in Tacoma’s records...we’ve only had 3 days with +0.75” of rain over the last 15 years. It’s looking like the SW interior and the south sound are probably going to get most of the rain so I’m in a good spot for some heavy totals. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.14”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.02”

Warmest high temp-84

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6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I’d have to look farther back in Tacoma’s records...we’ve only had 3 days with +0.75” of rain over the last 15 years. It’s looking like the SW interior and the south sound are probably going to get most of the rain so I’m in a good spot for some heavy totals. 

Yeah I think you'll at least get close to breaking the June daily total.

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Six straight highs in the 60’s at PDX heading toward mid June.  Not bad for Redding in 2021.

Phil told us in the middle of May that the first two weeks of June were going to "fugly" warm and dry and then it will turn much cooler and wetter in the second half of the month.     His timing is always a bit slow.   Speed up his predictions by 2 weeks and he nails it.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1746937136_download(34).thumb.png.a5508a165a5e6d78191a086c7ab6a23a.png

This could be something to watch if storms initiate to the SW like the NAM shows (much less capping to the SW as well.) It *is* the NAM, so those lapse rates around 750-600mb do seem a bit suspect, but if we can infultrate some of that environment, then a surprise could be had. That little nudge of -4C LI's around 600mb is eyebrow-raising.

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Saw temps from 66-68 on the Eastside this afternoon. Clouds are definitely coming in now. 

Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6", 2/15

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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High of 95˚F today, with a dew point of 10˚F for an RH of 4%. Yesterday had a dew point of -7˚F for an RH of 2%. June in New Mexico.

As promised, here are the cactus flower pictures.

In order: Opuntia phaeacantha, unidentified Opuntia sp., O. imbractica, O. clavata.

There are non-Opuntoid cacti in this part of NM, but none I have noticed in this immediate area.

P1100199_scaled.jpg

P1100204_scaled.jpg

P1100210_scaled.jpg

P1100215_scaled.jpg

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks tomorrow will be another quite cool day.  The ECMWF is going for 60 and the GFS around 55.  Normal is 70.  Month to date averages should be below normal after tomorrow.  Maybe even after today.

00Z GFS actually shows temps getting in the low 60s before the rain tomorrow.   

And then mid 70s and dry on Saturday... nice timing there.    

I also think the chilly nights are done for awhile now.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS actually shows temps getting in the low 60s before the rain tomorrow.   

And then mid 70s and dry on Saturday... nice timing there.    

I also think the chilly nights are done for awhile now.

Yay for a dry Saturday!!! 

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6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Interesting... was it thunderstorm related?  

SEA actually ended up perfectly normal for rainfall in July 2011 with .70 and there was only 1.03 inches out here in the Snoqualmie Valley which is drier than normal.    

Of course days with rain is what I really care about.   A month like August 2015 was dry for the vast majority of the month but still ended up much wetter than normal up here due to 3 days.   And then you have a month like July 1993 when it rained on the majority of the days.   

There was a pretty significant stratiform event down here I believe at mid-month. A rarity for July. Battle Ground had a 64/49 day with over a half inch of rain on the 17th.

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53 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Tonight’s gfs run looks like it’s a bit wetter overall. 

4C38BB47-6443-48DD-BC34-7A2072842D34.jpeg

Yeah it does. Brookings sure gets drenched!

Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6", 2/15

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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Quite an OMG change on the 6z GFS.  No heat at all.  Kind of moving toward the much troughier ECMWF solution  for week two.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Quite an OMG change on the 6z GFS.  No heat at all.  Kind of moving toward the much troughier ECMWF solution  for week two.

EPS has been much more steady in showing a generally warmer pattern ahead... 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1623369600-1623369600-1624665600-10.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I have no idea why the GFS thought it was going to get so warm this morning.  About 5 degrees off the pace right now.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

EPS has been much more steady in showing a generally warmer pattern ahead... 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1623369600-1623369600-1624665600-10.gif

It still has that GOA ridge signal developing.  I think Phil is going to be right about the last third of the month.  Probably cool.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It still has that GOA ridge signal developing.  I think Phil is going to be right about the last third of the month.  Probably cool.

Don’t think troughing will re-establish until the 25th or a bit later. PNW is likely to be warmer than average during the retrogression process, then cool afterwards.

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Monday is also warm and fairly dry on the 12Z GFS... mid 70s again after mid 60s and rain on Sunday.  

A wet pattern is more enjoyable when every other day is warm and basically dry in between the rainy days.  😃

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Monday is also warm and fairly dry on the 12Z GFS... mid 70s again after mid 60s and rain on Sunday.  

A wet pattern is more enjoyable when every other day is warm and basically dry in between the rainy days.  😃

Been raining cats and dogs here since yesterday afternoon and it hasn’t prevented me from going outside. 😉 Some places have received 10” in the last 24hrs, yet people are still outside enjoying life.

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Been raining cats and dogs here since yesterday afternoon and it hasn’t prevented me from going outside. 😉 Some places have received 10” in the last 24hrs, yet people are still outside enjoying life.

I wish I could just live underwater.    Why did we evolve to have lungs and not gills???  😀

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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47 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I have no idea why the GFS thought it was going to get so warm this morning.  About 5 degrees off the pace right now.

61 and still dry here... even see some sun through the clouds.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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My brother down in Coos County said they have had pretty much nothing today. 06z was a gift from the LORD, 12z is a satanic devil sandwich of crap. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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