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June 2021 Pacific Northwest Obs


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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I'm always excited for extreme weather, but by no means am I rooting for this. If we do end up breaking our all-time heat record, that's neat, and I'm somewhat glad I've lived through it. But if it flops, and we only get to the low-mid 90s for a few days, that's a victory worth celebrating.

Another thing is that I've already experienced heat much worse than this down in California and Arizona. I already know what 122F feels like; so record heat this weekend would only be novel to me through location, not amplitude.

I would be more excited if we had more of a mix of extreme cold and warmth. Seems like 9/10 times the records we set are record highs. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I'd be looking forward to this weekend a lot more if there were a distinct back end showing up right now.

As I've said before, my bigger issue is the duration and lack of relief. Smashing records is fun if we're talking on a scale of a single day or two.

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I would be more excited if we had more of a mix of extreme cold and warmth. Seems like 9/10 times the records we set are record highs. 

There were a lot of lows that were threatened this last Spring here, to be honest.

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (7)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I would be more excited if we had more of a mix of extreme cold and warmth. Seems like 9/10 times the records we set are record highs. 

This x1000

There's no offset anymore. It feels as if these hot months and extreme temperatures come without "retribution" like they used to. It feels like the anomalous warmth can extend for weeks and months with no anomalous cold to "balance it out."

It's as if we're watching our average temperatures curve upwards in real time.

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1 hour ago, Jesse said:

Not going to panic over the 18z GFS when the 12z Euro and EPS trended shorter with the event.

18z GEFS also looks better in the LR. More cool members.

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We did it again baby!! #6


37546A21-B578-47AD-B65E-6AB93ACB9B04.jpeg

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Both the EPS and GEFS settle into a warm but not extremely hot pattern after the main heat wave... the EPS is almost always too cool but it pretty well agrees with the GEFS right now.

 

eps ens.png

eps2.png

Not comfortable by any means but at least it’s not extreme. Gone are the 70s. 
 

i remember previous heatwaves of the past usually end with an onshore push… this does not seems to be the case as we stay warm 

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4 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Not comfortable by any means but at least it’s not extreme. Gone are the 70s. 
 

i remember previous heatwaves of the past usually end with an onshore push… this does not seems to be the case as we stay warm 

I think it will end with an onshore push. The 12z Euro and at least half of the EPS members head in that direction.

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11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That's also more climatologically accurate.

That's back when the climate worked correctly.  We are in new territory or (old) new territory if we go by 1,000AD records. 

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51 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

This x1000

There's no offset anymore. It feels as if these hot months and extreme temperatures come without "retribution" like they used to. It feels like the anomalous warmth can extend for weeks and months with no anomalous cold to "balance it out."

It's as if we're watching our average temperatures curve upwards in real time.

We can't be having climate change nor we can't have manipulation going on. Jeeze no way would people be that despicable or stupid depending on how you view it. 👌

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Am I the only one on the forum looking forward to this weekend? 

My inner geek is geeked about it.  And I’m not much of a climate justice warrior so ya know… We’re going kayaking at Lake Merwin Sunday morning so that’s something to look forward to!!!

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Having an unexpected fast-moving but intense little cell moving through here right now, high winds, lightening and some heavy rain...

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"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

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48 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Last visit to T-Mobile before the place goes up in flames this weekend!

 

863F0213-142E-42FD-8808-7074BA4E324F.jpeg

I have them -1 wishing you all the best!

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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A much cooler than last evening 88 degrees currently. Though these clouds must have popped the humidity up a bit, my back was sweating as I was prepping the boat for the drive home tomorrow…First time this trip! 

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Time to have the GFS blowtorch us again.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

A couple degrees cooler on Friday. Not very noticeable. Hopefully that continues into the weekend.

That's what happened last weekend when this Monday was supposed to be 100. The closer we got to the predicted temperatures, the cooler they got, even if it was just a few degrees.

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Still looks hot, just more realistic. We'll see if it keeps up on other models.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

trend-gfs-2021062300-f138_sfct.us_nw.gif.2f4a7096b21752f338031673b6bad072.gif

Finally, some positive news. Monday is as much as 15F cooler on the westside.

Awesome.   Keep the extreme heat as short as possible.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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