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February 2014 in the PNW


stuffradio

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The return of the rainy pattern (after it's absence essentially the whole winter) may be a good thing. Given the general pattern this winter, having solid moisture in place would increase the likelihood of snow when colder air intrudes rather than these "snowless" arctic outbreaks.

 

The window for winter weather is closing fast unfortunately.

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Wow... the 12Z WRF completely screws us up here.

 

It shows sunshine today and through all of tomorrow as well for most of Western WA.    Its definitely shifted south again.

I have a better feeling about the situation today up here.

 

Looking at the Satellite it looks more promising overall.

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Nice to see the snow over in Bellingham this morning, currently snowing just north of Victoria but only a trace fell in the actual city last night. We'll see how the day progresses but it's definitely looking a little better up this way than initially modelled. The GFS 6Z has moisture arriving on Sunday afternoon, this would be good news for those in Vancouver BC.

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I have a better feeling about the situation today up here.

 

Looking at the Satellite it looks more promising overall.

 

 

Every model is dry up here today.    And mostly sunny.

 

I don't think its going to happen today.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Storm has shifted south on satellite some so this will shave down snowfall amounts for Southern Washington. This is the new update based on the new shift numbers.

Freezing rain may mix in with this for some NW WA and SW WA locations ...

1799211_1461661774053861_1171629411_o.jp

 

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So it was cloudy all Morning but dry, skies have since become partly cloudy BUT it is now snowing lightly. Really reflecting off the sunshine, kind of cool looking.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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And just yesterday you said the EURO was the one to follow.

 

I will wait for that.

 

 

Sure... just going off what we have available with the new data this morning.

 

00Z ECMWF was totally dry for today as well.

 

Tomorrow it showed snow for our area... I will be very curious to see the 12Z ECMWF now that the GFS and the MM5 models have completely abandoned that idea this morning.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Sunny and snowy here. Temp is still just 18. East wind seems to be coming back to life too. It was pretty calm around sunrise.

 

Taking a walk down to the store to get crucial supplies (coffee). I will try to get some good pics!

 

I want pictures!    Do not forget.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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PDX broke their previous record min/max by 15 degrees yesterday!

 

New record low this morning too. 19, beating the old record of 21.

 

I think tomorrow's record low of 25 in in jeopardy as well.

 

The record min/maxes of 39 and 38 for today and tomorrow are also pretty much in the bag.

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I ended up with one solid inch... Since we are not going to get anymore snow I am just ready to move on. Bummer so many in WA are missing out on this one. A total disappointment considering what things looked like a number of days ago. Well, there is always next year. :)

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You guys are gonna like 12z GEM. A low aimed right at the Olympic Peninsula on Sunday. 60 hours out, monday's 00z or midnight sunday night.http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_060.jpg

Snow to rain event?  I am at work so hard to look. 

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Anyway here is our 48 totals(Sunday 4am, thanks Jesse) I believe all of this will be snow but Tim will be sure to dispute it. Looks like 5+ cm for most of the sound.

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048.jpg

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You guys are gonna like 12z GEM. A low aimed right at the Olympic Peninsula on Sunday. 60 hours out, monday's 00z or midnight sunday night.

 

Was about to post that but you beat me to it! :)

 

There's a myriad of crap moving SW to NE over the Pacific in our general direction. I find it hard to believe that most places in Western WA won't score at least an inch or two before Monday morning.

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Anyway here is our 48 totals(Sunday 4am, thanks Jesse) I believe all of this will be snow but Tim will be sure to dispute it. Looks like 5+ cm for most of the sound.

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048.jpg

 

 

That is not a 48-hour total... precip on there is in 12-hour increments.

 

Not sure about the precip type... that would probably bring southerly winds.    MM5 WRF shows south winds throughout the Sound on Sunday as well.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Anyway here is our 48 totals(Sunday 4am, thanks Jesse) I believe all of this will be snow but Tim will be sure to dispute it. Looks like 5+ cm for most of the sound.

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048.jpg

Finally a chance to get some snow around Puget Sound!

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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That is not a 48-hour total... precip on there is in 12-hour increments.

 

Not sure about the precip type... that would probably bring southerly winds.    MM5 WRF shows south winds throughout the Sound on Sunday as well.

I am going to ignore all negative models and just focus on the good ones! The MM5 WRF is out to lunch...because I said so :)

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1623842_548297746124_1352614686_o.jpg?oh

 1903642_548298025564_1199067997_n.jpg?oh

  • Like 7

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The PDX discussion reads like the product of someone who has had too much coffee.  

 

No doubt.

 

Fun read.

 

I am exhausted just from reading it.   Much more exciting than up here.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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21 with snow at EUG. According to the models they are in the 30s right now...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 major week long arctic outbreaks this season, and this is the most snow I have gotten from it...just depressing. My 3" of snow came from a non arctic storm that lasted about 6hrs. First time in my lifetime where we have had 2 dry outbreaks up here.

Three inches, awsome. That beats my total for the winter. I've just got a skiff this morning, but it is amazing the difference just a little snow makes to the view. Outside is gorgeous. 

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That is not a 48-hour total... precip on there is in 12-hour increments.

 

Not sure about the precip type... that would probably bring southerly winds.    MM5 WRF shows south winds throughout the Sound on Sunday as well.

I meant 12 hour total ending at hour 48. Anyway it the low is strong enough and stays south of Olympic peninsula we'll most likely see snow at least until it dies over Cascades.

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