February 2014 in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

Eeeesh... Tomorrow evening could be a hot mess.  

 

 

Yeah... you will be cheering on warm air in a hurry.

[Deweydog]

PDX found that bizarre warming.  25 to 28 in the last hour.  

[Deweydog]

Yeah... you will be cheering on warm air in a hurry.

 

I could do without the ice.  

[TT-SEA]

Total snow from 4 a.m. Saturday through 4 a.m. Sunday:

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/snow24.36.0000.gif

[GHweatherChris]

A certain member near the coast is going to like this image from 7-10 p.m. tomorrow evening!

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/snow3.30.0000.gif

It will be borderline.

 

The gap will have to do its offshore magic once again.

[epiceast]

GEM is running now. So far it looks like it initialized the current low way offshore & North of where it wanted to put it 12 hours ago.

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_000.jpg

[TT-SEA]

WRF at 1 p.m. on Sunday:

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/slp.45.0000.gif

 

 

That is the problem with GFS scenario... but its the likely outcome. 

 

Low cruises up the coast and the warm air floods northward as offshore flow is cut off.   Except for Jesse.  

[GHweatherChris]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=LGX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

 

Depressing.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some snow mixing in now with the sleep. Of course, as it is about to end!

[bainbridgekid]

Here's a picture of the little bit of snow we got this morning here at WWU.

 

Wasn't more than 1/4" but since the ground was so frozen it caked everything impressively well.

 

[epiceast]

WRF at 1 p.m. on Sunday:

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/slp.45.0000.gif

 

 

That is the problem with GFS scenario... but its the likely outcome. 

 

Low cruises up the coast and the warm air floods northward as offshore flow is cut off.   Except for Jesse.  

I think the GEM scenario is more likely. Three lows all ride the arctic air boundary, and when it gets pushed up slightly north a weak low breaks through the boundary? Doesn't look likely at all to me.

[Deweydog]

Some snow mixing in now with the sleep. Of course, as it is about to end!

 

It's not too late to sleet like a baby, Matress World!

[GHweatherChris]

Here's a picture of the little bit of snow we got this morning here at WWU.

 

Wasn't more than 1/4" but since the ground was so frozen it caked everything impressively well.

 

I bet that melted when the sun came out, we got a real good education on that earlier. HEHEHE LOL

 

Sorry Tim, I know I was annoyed earlier with that conversation but I couldn't pass up a barb.

 

Had to say it.

[bainbridgekid]

I bet that melted when the sun came out, we got a real good education on that earlier. HEHEHE LOL

 

Sorry Tim, I know I was annoyed earlier with that conversation but I couldn't pass up a barb.

 

Had to say it.

Didn't so much melt as it did evaporate in the sun.

 

The ground is still totally white here in places that didn't get much direct sunlight.

[TT-SEA]

I bet that melted when the sun came out, we got a real good education on that earlier. HEHEHE LOL

 

Sorry Tim, I know I was annoyed earlier with that conversation but I couldn't pass up a barb.

 

Had to say it.

Thats OK.

[Deweydog]

Didn't so much melt as it did evaporate in the sun.

 

The ground is still totally white here in places that didn't get much direct sunlight.

 

Oh god, here we go...

[TT-SEA]

Didn't so much melt as it did evaporate in the sun.

 

The ground is still totally white here in places that didn't get much direct sunlight.

Thats called melting in the sun... it was above freezing there. I have seen small amounts of snow evaporate when its 15 degrees... it called melting at 36.

[GHweatherChris]

Oh god, here we go...

No comment.

[TT-SEA]

Picking up my boys at a dance right now... east wind cranking again here in the parking lot.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Mary's Peak west of Corvallis just went above freezing.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Didn't so much melt as it did evaporate in the sun.

 

The ground is still totally white here in places that didn't get much direct sunlight.

Ground here is totally green in places that didn't get any snow.

[don asta weather]

Winter decided to catch us briefly before heading back to normal I bet we don't see snow till next year

[TT-SEA]

Hard to tell the surface details on Sunday on the Canadian... anyone have better maps?

[epiceast]

Hard to tell the surface details on Sunday on the Canadian... anyone have better maps?

00z is at at 0 right now.

[epiceast]

Well at least the precip shield stopped shrinking and spreading into Eastern WA now. Maybe that's good news for Olympia & South Eastern suburbs.

[luterra]

Mary's Peak west of Corvallis just went above freezing.

 

I'm thinking the snow is over for the south valley.  Now if only it would clear out for a weekend of skiing around the lowlands.  Nope, ice and 33-degree rain.  Hoping for more of the latter and less of the former.

 

This is at least double the snowpack I have ever seen in the PNW lowlands, will remember this one for a long time.

[Deweydog]

Gotta disagree with the NWS at this point.  Another 2-4 overnight?  Very unlikely.  Then to not mention the possibility of a mixed bag for tomorrow afternoon/evening...

[pscz1140]

Gotta disagree with the NWS at this point.  Another 2-4 overnight?  Very unlikely.  Then to not mention the possibility of a mixed bag for tomorrow afternoon/evening...

 

How much did you get today? (snow-wise)

[Deweydog]

How much did you get today? (snow-wise)

 

1.5 inches or so and that might be generous.  The warning definitely didn't verify for the metro area.  

[KMartin]

Definetly may need an Ice Storm Warning for the Willamette Valley.

[pscz1140]

1.5 inches or so and that might be generous.  The warning definitely didn't verify for the metro area.  

 

Strange. The radar the looked pretty good much of the day. Maybe a bit south and west did better?

[whitechristmas]

New Winter Storm Watch issued for PDX for Saturday. Third one!
 

[KMartin]

New Winter Storm Watch issued for PDX for Saturday. Third one!

 

I'm going to go Ice Storm Warning for NW OR to SW WA

[Deweydog]

Strange. The radar the looked pretty good much of the day. Maybe a bit south and west did better?

 

Yeah, it's been steady since about 3pm but very light for the most part.  

[Tyler Mode]

I believe most areas south of the Columbia River saw 3"+ 

 

Here in BG, we may have an inch today?  And most of that is recent with the most moderate snow of the day falling here.

1.5 inches or so and that might be generous.  The warning definitely didn't verify for the metro area.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Seattle nws discussion a good read this evening.

[luminen]

There's about a 1.5 cm / 0.60" coating of ice on everything here in Eugene. Rain is still falling but much lighter than earlier this afternoon. It was actually pretty heavy at times. 

[Deweydog]

I believe most areas south of the Columbia River saw 3"+ 

 

Here in BG, we may have an inch today?  And most of that is recent with the most moderate snow of the day falling here.

 

Yeah, I guess the SW metro area sounds like they got a bit more.  Still, as it turns out the models handled this one pretty well although for the second time they didn't handle the deformation precip all that well.  

[whitechristmas]

I believe most areas south of the Columbia River saw 3"+ 

 

Here in BG, we may have an inch today?  And most of that is recent with the most moderate snow of the day falling here.

 

Yah, this one didn't produce at all. Don't think we even got an inch in Washougal. Most all of it has come in the last 2 hours. Very light snow. Hopefully heavier tomorrow before the dreaded south wind breaks through!

 

[pscz1140]

Seattle nws discussion a good read this evening.

 

Yeah, interesting. I definitely wouldn't want to be those guys having to make a forecast for the next couple of days. Coin-flipping time...