February 2014 in the PNW

[Snowman5678]

  

http://i57.tinypic.com/2jfakad.png

back to showing between 6-10" for me. back and forward back and forward...

[seattleweatherguy]

back to showing between 6-10" for me. back and forward back and forward...

And bothell shows 2 to 4?

[AnthonyC]

And bothell shows 2 to 4?

GFS output shows 4 - 5 inches for Issaquah.  Too bad it's the only model showing that.

 

Had a little wet snow this morning, but no accumulation.  Temperature is back up to 39f now.

[Abbotsford_wx]

Outflow not going to kick in for a while. Flow is still weak southerly in the Fraser Canyon.

[luvssnow_spokane]

UPDATE: 38 and light rain here for a number of hours... looking forward to the real potential tomorrow.

[BLI snowman]

Outflow not going to kick in for a while. Flow is still weak southerly in the Fraser Canyon.

 

Temps have peaked here for now and seem to be going back down slowly. Made it up to 37 here earlier and am back down to 36. No outflow at Hope/Agassiz until about 03z this evening, so likely won't be until late tonight for us down here.

[AnthonyC]

  

 

Is this real output from the GFS?  This just seems ridiculous given the trend of the model runs the past day...

 

2 - 6 inches for almost all of Western WA??

[Phil]

I'm pretty bummed out about the forecast for a major El Nino next year, as well. Hearing talk of the strongest since the 1997-98 super Nino? That should do a doozy on global temps. Probably the warmest in hundreds of years.

 

But it's all just part of our gradual transition to global cooling by the 2020s, right?

We're heading for a Niño, but it'll be more of a 2006-07 type deal. The hype about a super-Niño is unwarranted based on the physical evidence.

 

Also, for reasons too complicated to explain right now, El Niños typically only spike global temps (general warming above/below 30N/30S) during solar minimum. El Niños during/after solar max (2002-03, 2006-07, etc) typically do not spike temperatures.

 

Furthermore, the globe is already cooling (albeit very slowly given solar max). For example, 2013 was colder globally than 2012, despite featuring a warmer ENSO. When we leave solar maximum, we'll begin a more rapid decline, beginning around 2017.

 

http://img839.imageshack.us/img839/3273/anok.jpg

[Radarwatcher]

Getting absolutely slammed with heavy snow in central Vancouver. Starting to accumulate to something noticeable, finally. Trace-1/4" so far.

[Weather101]

Getting absolutely slammed with heavy snow in central Vancouver. Starting to accumulate to something noticeable, finally. Trace-1/4" so far.

Same! Finally ! Trace amount on grass

[Skagit Weather]

Been raining here pretty consistently for the past 4 hours. Snow is now completely gone. What time do you guys think it may transition back over here? 36/35 currently.

[Skagit Weather]

I see the NWS has increased their snow total forecast here. Now 1/2" tonight, 2-4" tomorrow, and 1-3" tomorrow night. If even the lower end of that scale verified I would be very happy.

[BLI snowman]

Been raining here pretty consistently for the past 4 hours. Snow is now completely gone. What time do you guys think it may transition back over here? 36/35 currently.

 

Should be back to all snow for NW WA by 7-8pm, accumulations will depend on precip rates of course.

 

Down to 35.5 here with steady light rain.

[epiceast]

925mb really warmed over last 2 hours.... This is not good for tonight.

[Bryant]

Should be back to all snow for NW WA by 7-8pm, accumulations will depend on precip rates of course.

 

Down to 35.5 here with steady light rain.

 

North side of town has been a mix for about 30 mins. 36.9 degree's

[BLI snowman]

North side of town has been a mix for about 30 mins. 36.9 degree's

 

Pretty chunky rain here as well. It's coming!

[Bryant]

Pretty chunky rain here as well. It's coming!

 

I hope so! I doubt the totals the GEM and Euro were showing will work out however. If I remember correctly, they already had an inch or 2 here by this time. My guess would be 5-8 inches... but we'll see

[Parksvillewx]

Snowing quite moderately here now for the last hour.  Everything is slowly turning white again, except for the roads.

 

Is precip. suppose to continue throughout the night?

[Snowman5678]

BLI switched over to snow again after reporting light rain for a while.

[bainbridgekid]

Pretty chunky rain here as well. It's coming!

33.6 here with steady light snow. Doesn't look too close to sticking yet though.

 

It never actually transitioned to rain here at 300 feet. Just an all-day slushfest.

[Bryant]

Ferndale and Lynden getting hit pretty good per the DOT cams

[brody]

As far as I'm concerned, Everett needs to be excluded from the WSW

 

I dont see anyone Everett south getting accumulation this weekend

[brody]

Heavy rain and 40F here

[AnthonyC]

I have a moderate rain/snow mix here in Issaquah...at about 500ft.

[AnthonyC]

It looks like some observations over the northwest interior (right along the border) have switched to a NE wind...arctic seepage starting?

[TT-SEA]

A picture from today... the luckiest horse alive.  

 

[AnthonyC]

A picture from today... the luckiest horse alive.  

 

 

Now THAT is awesome!!! 

 

I desperately need a vacation...

[Bryant]

Burlington is the cut off line right now... dumping snow at Lake Sammish per the DOT cam... just rain to the south

[Weather101]

Snow here all day and I'm at sea level near the water temp only got to 35F down too 33F sticking now. Updates on Vancouver tonight and tmrw for snow anyone ?

[brody]

Burlington is the cut off line right now... dumping snow at Lake Sammish per the DOT cam... just rain to the south

No it's not, it's snowing all the way down to Bow Hill rest stop in N. Marysville 

[Jesse]

A chilly 42/31 out here today, with a clear morning then overcast skies most of the afternoon.

 

Monday/Tuesday still look really up in the air out here. The NWS says it could be anything from cold rain everywhere to snow from Multnomah eastward, and ZR as far west as Troutdale.

 

All depends on how deeply arctic air penetrates the Columbia Basin.

[MossMan]

No it's not, it's snowing all the way down to Bow Hill rest stop in N. Marysville

 

Snow changed to rain here around 2PM and the temp got up to 36.8, been dropping since, down to 34.6 now.

[Tyler Mode]

Bham has picked up a slight NE wind...anything better than southerly.  Back to snow as well.  Looks like a good bit of precip coming for you guys too!

 

Meanwhile, 42 here with high clouds.  Actually was a great day, and a nice sunset too.

[Bryant]

Coming down good in the usual spot

 

http://images.wsdot.wa.gov/nw/005vc24625.jpg

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Looks like the Arctic high has started pushing into the south-central BC interior. Williams Lake currently sitting at -8C with strong northerly winds and rising pressure. Looks like the precipitation pattern around southern Vancouver Island might be starting to change now. Hard to tell for sure, but it appears that precipitation is now moving down the Juan de Fuca and pushing in to the south of Bellingham. The NW movement of precip down the Strait of Georgia appears to be weakening, perhaps even turning more to a N/NE movement. This could be a nice setup for some localized convergence on that side of the Strait. It'd sure be nice to see that evolve into a full out rotation around southern Vancouver Island. Still nothing sticking here at sea level but places further inland on the east side of the island are starting to see snow sticking to the roads. The real snowfall threat is starting for SW BC/NW WA.

[MossMan]

Back to snow now! My wife has started going into labor so I might not be posting as often

[GHweatherChris]

Back to snow now! My wife has started going into labor so I might not be posting as often

Congratulations.

[Weather101]

Looks like the Arctic high has started pushing into the south-central BC interior. Williams Lake currently sitting at -8C with strong northerly winds and rising pressure. Looks like the precipitation pattern around southern Vancouver Island might be starting to change now. Hard to tell for sure, but it appears that precipitation is now moving down the Juan de Fuca and pushing in to the south of Bellingham. The NW movement of precip down the Strait of Georgia appears to be weakening, perhaps even turning more to a N/NE movement. This could be a nice setup for some localized convergence on that side of the Strait. It'd sure be nice to see that evolve into a full out rotation around southern Vancouver Island. Still nothing sticking here at sea level but places further inland on the east side of the island are starting to see snow sticking to the roads. The real snowfall threat is starting for SW BC/NW WA.

You really think the real snowfall threat is starting for us on Vancouver BC? What do u think for tonight?

[Snowman5678]

Rain snow mix here at 550ft. Congrats MossMan!

[VancouverIslandSouth]

You really think the real snowfall threat is starting for us on Vancouver BC? What do u think for tonight?

 

Well I think it's safe to say all the precip you get tonight will be in the form of snow. The amounts will depend on if the the low can get any definition together and how it interacts with the outflow. Still too early to call.