February 2014 in the PNW

[Brennan]

http://www.komonews.com/weather/

 

Komo’s Weather Graphics and Temperature Forecast makes this cold spell and possible overrunning event feel so pedestrian from an outsiders standpoint. 

[Guest Winterdog]

http://www.komonews.com/weather/

 

Komo’s Weather Graphics and Temperature Forecast makes this cold spell and possible overrunning event feel so pedestrian from an outsiders standpoint.

It will be interesting to see how accurate that forecast turns out to be. We are talking about Sea-Tac you know.

[HardDrinkinLincoln]

For those of you who like to track the movement of fronts into and out of the NW here are some useful tools ...

 

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/mwmap.php?map=nw&limit=1

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/mwmap.php?map=pqr

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/mwmap.php?map=colriver

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/mwmap.php?map=pdt

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/mwmap.php?map=portland

[TT-SEA]

http://www.komonews.com/weather/

 

Komo’s Weather Graphics and Temperature Forecast makes this cold spell and possible overrunning event feel so pedestrian from an outsiders standpoint. 

 

 

Probably pretty close.   5 sunny days in a row that start out chilly and end up in the 30s will not be very memorable.     More memorable maybe for all the sunshine in early February.

 

The only factor that could be memorable is the transition event which I am guess will be interesting for a few hours and then washed away rather quickly in some heavy rain.

 

Looks like we missed the chance to have a really great event from the start (e.g. 1989).

[Guest Winterdog]

Probably pretty close.   5 sunny days in a row that start out chilly and end up in the 30s will not be very memorable.     More memorable maybe for all the sunshine in early February.

 

The only factor that could be memorable is the transition event which I am guess will be interesting for a few hours and then washed away rather quickly in some heavy rain.

 

Looks like we missed the chance to have a really great event from the start (e.g. 1989).

Let me get this straight now. You think we will have a quick transition to warmer and wetter?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Probably pretty close.   5 sunny days in a row that start out chilly and end up in the 30s will not be very memorable.     More memorable maybe for all the sunshine in early February.

 

The only factor that could be memorable is the transition event which I am guess will be interesting for a few hours and then washed away rather quickly in some heavy rain.

 

Looks like we missed the chance to have a really great event from the start (e.g. 1989).

 

I went to bed on the night of February 18, 1993 after watching Jim Bosley on KATU in Portland forecast 1" of snow for the following day followed by a quick transition to rain. The next day was one of the largest one day snow totals of all time at the Salem airport. We had a one day total of 13" in Silverton. The airmass in place ahead of that event was much warmer than next weeks...So we'll see.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Probably pretty close.   5 sunny days in a row that start out chilly and end up in the 30s will not be very memorable.     More memorable maybe for all the sunshine in early February.

 

The only factor that could be memorable is the transition event which I am guess will be interesting for a few hours and then washed away rather quickly in some heavy rain.

 

Looks like we missed the chance to have a really great event from the start (e.g. 1989).

 

1989 started out great! BUT there hasn't been ANYTHING at all with this to suggest anything like that was POSSIBLE. So I don't really know why you keep bringing it up?

[HighlandExperience]

http://www.komonews.com/weather/

 

Komo’s Weather Graphics and Temperature Forecast makes this cold spell and possible overrunning event feel so pedestrian from an outsiders standpoint. 

 

Ya it is interesting how much colder the Portland METs are going compared with Seattle area forecasters. Just looking at the discussion, you really wouldn't think much of anything really interesting was coming. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ya it is interesting how much colder the Portland METs are going compared with Seattle area forecasters. Just looking at the discussion, you really wouldn't think much of anything really interesting was coming. 

 

I think there is a decent bet that Oregon will be colder than the Puget Sound area with this one, just like in December.

 

Of course there won't be 8" of snow helping Eugene hit -10 this time.

[TT-SEA]

1989 started out great! BUT there hasn't been ANYTHING at all with this to suggest anything like that was POSSIBLE. So I don't really know why you keep bringing it up?

Brennan said it looked boring and mocked their forecast. What do you want them to show??? It will be sunny and in the 30s in Seattle.

[TT-SEA]

I went to bed on the night of February 18, 1993 after watching Jim Bosley on KATU in Portland forecast 1" of snow for the following day followed by a quick transition to rain. The next day was one of the largest one day snow totals of all time at the Salem airport. We had a one day total of 13" in Silverton. The airmass in place ahead of that event was much warmer than next weeks...So we'll see.

Always a chance... moisture should be there.

[Tyler Mode]

Here is a video looking NW from around the 1,200' level of Angel's Rest.  This was just about 100 or so feet above the inversion.  This is 20 minutes of video compressed to 1:40.

Biddle Butte is the peak slowly being consumed in the back left.

[TT-SEA]

 

Here is a video looking NW from around the 1,200' level of Angel's Rest. This was just about 100 or so feet above the inversion. This is 20 minutes of video compressed to 1:40.

 

Biddle Butte is the peak slowly being consumed in the back left.

 

 

Very cool!

[brody]

Amazing what one bad run ( 18Z ) can do to this place and overall it wasn't that bad 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

How's the CFS looking?

[50shadesofvan]

This topic has already gotten over 5000 views though today. Not too shabby.

 

18Z runs don't have the most up to date information from radiosonde (weather balloons), for those wondering why the 6Z and 18Z runs often get bashed a lot of the time. Oh and I wrote about groundhogs,and now I'm trying to throw something together comparing this event to Feb. 1989. We'll see. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

http://www.komonews.com/weather/

 

Komo’s Weather Graphics and Temperature Forecast makes this cold spell and possible overrunning event feel so pedestrian from an outsiders standpoint. 

I can guarantee that 99% of the publics memory of this will be a big fat zero if we do not get significant wide spread snow. Honestly it will barely be a blip on the radar for the average person as it really will not feel all that cold except for a few days, and the sun will really not make it feel all that cold from a public psychological standpoint. If we end up with snow, specially snow that were to last for more than a couple days the memory impact would be much larger. I know why the mets are making this pedestrian because to the average person it is.

 

I hope we can get a surprise out of this and all walk away with some awesome memories other than comparing stats and looking at thermometers. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

I think there is a decent bet that Oregon will be colder than the Puget Sound area with this one, just like in December.

 

Of course there won't be 8" of snow helping Eugene hit -10 this time.

I agree!  I also feel they will be significantly colder! Bastards!! lol

[Jesse]

Just got back from my hike and checked out the 18z. Kind of a bummer, until I saw the 12z runs and the ensembles.

[FroYoBro]

I can guarantee that 99% of the publics memory of this will be a big fat zero if we do not get significant wide spread snow. Honestly it will barely be a blip on the radar for the average person as it really will not feel all that cold except for a few days, and the sun will really not make it feel all that cold from a public psychological standpoint. If we end up with snow, specially snow that were to last for more than a couple days the memory impact would be much larger. I know why the mets are making this pedestrian because to the average person it is.

 

I hope we can get a surprise out of this and all walk away with some awesome memories other than comparing stats and looking at thermometers. 

I find it odd that people always mention the opinion of the public. Who cares about the public? I personally enjoy cold statistics and the chance of snow, regardless of the public perception of the event. 

[Jesse]

I find it odd that people always mention the opinion of the pubic. Who cares about the public? I personally enjoy cold statistics and the chance of snow, regardless of the public perception of the event.

Exactly. The general public probably finds the Justin Bieber saga to be more interesting than any weather event. Does that mean we should hope this event features more Bieber, thus making it more memorable in the eyes of the public?

 

The answer is yes!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I find it odd that people always mention the opinion of the pubic. Who cares about the public? I personally enjoy cold statistics and the chance of snow, regardless of the public perception of the event. 

 

Totally agree. Was about to post the same thing...BTW you said pubic instead of public...

 

But anyways I bet half the "pubic" in Eugene can hardly remember the big snowstorm and -10 temps they had 2 months ago. These kind of things fade quickly. Most people I know talk about the December 2008 snow, but cannot remember what year it happened.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Exactly. The general public probably finds the Justin Bieber saga to be more interesting than any weather event. Does that mean we should hope this event features more Bieber, thus making it more memorable in the eyes of the public?

 

The answer is yes!

 

He's had a rough month.

 

 

Had to delete that pic, I wouldn't want to offend our more sensitive members.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I'm like a kid at Christmas waiting for the 00z runs...

[Jesse]

Totally agree. Was about to post the same thing...BTW you said pubic instead of public...

 

But anyways I bet half the "pubic" in Eugene can hardly remember the big snowstorm and -10 temps they had 2 months ago. These kind of things fade quickly. Most people I know talk about the December 2008 snow, but cannot remember what year it happened.

 

Yeah, most people now refer to it as "that time it snowed a lot around Christmas a few years back".

[Jesse]

I am pretty concerned that 99% of the public might find tonight's 00Z GFS VERY uninteresting.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

NAM looks cold.

[Jesse]

The 12Z EURO was crazy cold. Solid ensemble support for this too. The ensemble mean looks almost identical to the operational run through day 6.

[epiceast]

18z GFS we could see a half inch -inch going into the blast. Better than December?

[Weather101]

18z GFS we could see a half inch -inch going into the blast. Better than December?

So dead here tonight. What gives?

[snow_wizard]

Probably pretty close.   5 sunny days in a row that start out chilly and end up in the 30s will not be very memorable.     More memorable maybe for all the sunshine in early February.

 

The only factor that could be memorable is the transition event which I am guess will be interesting for a few hours and then washed away rather quickly in some heavy rain.

 

Looks like we missed the chance to have a really great event from the start (e.g. 1989).

You will be quite surprised.

[MossMan]

So dead here tonight. What gives?

Not much to chat about until the 00z I'm guessing? I am hoping for at least 1" of snow cover going into this. But if not, oh well. At least it would be better than the train wreck we had for two January's in a row now.

[brody]

So dead here tonight. What gives?

Apparently there is some sort of big football game, I think?

[snow_wizard]

I can guarantee that 99% of the publics memory of this will be a big fat zero if we do not get significant wide spread snow. Honestly it will barely be a blip on the radar for the average person as it really will not feel all that cold except for a few days, and the sun will really not make it feel all that cold from a public psychological standpoint. If we end up with snow, specially snow that were to last for more than a couple days the memory impact would be much larger. I know why the mets are making this pedestrian because to the average person it is.

 

I hope we can get a surprise out of this and all walk away with some awesome memories other than comparing stats and looking at thermometers.

People will very much notice the cold. I don't think a lot of people quite realize just how cold it is going to be. It will be a stinging type of cold.

[Weather101]

Apparently there is some sort of big football game, I think?

Lol Super Bowl is tmrw

[snow_wizard]

As I have said repeatedly this is destined to be the third coldest February blast since 1936. If people aren't impressed by that that's their problem.

[Weather101]

Not much to chat about until the 00z I'm guessing? I am hoping for at least 1" of snow cover going into this. But if not, oh well. At least it would be better than the train wreck we had for two January's in a row now.

I'm hoping but if not sunny and cold with a possible overrunning event sounds great too me

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Apparently there is some sort of big football game, I think?

 

I heard the Broncos are playing!

[Weather101]

I heard the Broncos are playing!

Seahawks 27-20

Bank on it.

[snow_wizard]

Lol Super Bowl is tmrw

OMG...you said Super Bowl on public forum. You will probably get sued. As you can tell I think the fact Super Bowl can't be said in any radio or TV ad is absurd.