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February 4-5th Possible Major Winter Storm


Tom

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We have a good chance of a fully phased system since we are reaching the jet streams peak in intensity this time of year.  Looks like this system slowed a bit from a couple days ago which may help this phasing happen.

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ORD at 48 inches. So we get the 6-8 inches Sat then we could be around 55 inches by Monday and if this delivers then we could be somewhere in the mid or possibly upper 60's with rest of Feb to go and even March/April. I think we have a good shot guys to break the record if pattern remains active after this.

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Your right Dominick, there is another storm the following weekend that we have to watch as well that looks to be a big one.  Skilling and Bill Bellis already talking about the one next weekend!  This would be epic if all these storms came into fruition.  It reminds me of what happened in Wisco during the 2007/2008 winter where they had over 100".  My friends summer home up near Castle Rock Lake had a snow depth over 36"+!  That was a great year for snowmobiling. 

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These OH posters on accuweather are such weenies lol

Most of the forum are Ohio Valley posters so of course they are wishcasting for their backyard. If their area gets missed then they really go off. If you tell them this big storm next week is going to move farther NW they will pretty much bash you so not even worth posting there.

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At least over on our forum we provide honest opinions on what a storm may or may not do and provide sufficient info to back it up.  I have to admit, back in the 2011/2012 winter there was some wish casting involved as that was the most depressing winter for snow lovers.  On the other hand, this winter is totally the opposite.

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WOW....my forecast for next week's storm already has me for snow likely??!!!! and possibly heavy???!!! Okay....so, whats going on here guys...forecasters seem too confident this far out. :o Very interesting. I'll tell you one thing, it will be a heck of a storm if it materializes and someone will get buried.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Well, latest CPC hazards has bumped north, from mby over to Nikos are "in" :D

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Same here. Already likely as I was saying. A classic Chicago-Detroit winter season in the makings. I see you guys are doing good to over there.

Definitely...so far for the season, I have picked up 55.2inches. Also, if I get a tenth of an inch or more snow from tonight's CF, it will be the all-time snowiest January. Currently for the month, I am at 38.3".

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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NWS not sold on the Tuesday-Wednesday storm yet. Hmm. This is our one shot. Hope you Cicago folks can break the all time record. That would be something.

 

Yeah looks like you have shot at some snows with this system. Long WAA ahead of it setting up and looks quite widespread.

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Hey guys I mostly just read the valuable information all of you guys post, but if I am understanding you guys correctly we could have 3ft of snow on the ground by the 10th of this month? If this does happen can we say that this could end up cracking the top 3 in worst winters (depending on how you look at it LOL!) ever.

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For what and where you live at?

 

BTW, Central IL under watches now for 5-7 north.

 

My Bad. I'm in SCMI, Marshall to be exact. 49068 (haven't had time to update my profile since the new forum format rolled out)

 

That's CPC's days 3-7 hazards map, so for the big(ger) storm Tues/Weds.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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