Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Out of the blue, it’s now raining again. You might notice how green and thick the yards are. Not typical for mid July, even with sprinkler systems. IMG_0022.MOV 42.76 MB · 0 downloads Nice lush grass like in the spring here as well. Nothing unusual to have green or brown here in July. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Got dark enough for the street lights to turn on. Mostly heavy rain with some thunder and lightning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Looks like a gap in the line is headed for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Looks like CR will get a decent storm as it’s filling in and strengthening just in time! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 This line was a total joke. The cells split my yard on the west side of CR by only a fraction of a mile north and south. There is red on radar all over the CR area, but it has barely rained enough to wet the ground here. Unreal. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: This line was a total joke. The cells split my yard on the west side of CR by only a fraction of a mile north and south. There is red on radar all over the CR area, but it has barely rained enough to wet the ground here. Unreal. Bummer! I saw a very narrow crack, but thought your just north of that. A nice little downpour here. Now some c/g lightning to sse. Maybe you can catch some lingering cells to your sw. Edited July 14, 2021 by Sparky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 picked up a quick .50" with a bit of lightning and thunder. more showers look to be on tap as well. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 The strong line only dropped a few hundredths in my yard. Fortunately, the final trailing cell just produced a nice downpour that boosted my total to 0.24". 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 20 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: The strong line only dropped a few hundredths in my yard. Fortunately, the final trailing cell just produced a nice downpour that boosted my total to 0.24". Better than me. I might be at .15” now 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 My area has been fortunate this morning. I now have just over 1” during this morning’s multiple rains. It is a narrow band south of I 80 that just continues to re form. There are places not too many miles from here that have gotten little to no rain. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Very rare day in July in Central Nebraska to have light to at sometimes heavy rainfall most of the day. Temp still in the upper 60’s. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Tornado Watch til 9! Clouds are breaking up. Definitely humid out there. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 NWS future radar has training storms over my area throughout the evening. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 latest HRRR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 3km NAM 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Going to be a busy afternoon nw. of me. 10% unhatched tornado risk. Isolated cells beginning to develop in w. Iowa. I might be more interested in the cells in se. Nebraska since they are further south and more likely (maybe) to bring rain to my area later? Now if the heavier rain were expected here than storms would dive south into Missouri, but of course now they’ll probably stay north. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, BMT said: 3km NAM Hmmm. Just south maybe? Guess we’ll find out. Models still don’t agree! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, Sparky said: Hmmm. Just south maybe? Guess we’ll find out. Models still don’t agree! Well The HRRR didn't make it out as far as i took the 3km NAM so i wasn't really comparing apples to apples. (my bad) Differences still though yes, but the precip was still ongoing further south at the end of the HRRR run. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Already one tornado warned supercell in w. Iowa. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 14 minutes ago, Sparky said: Already one tornado warned supercell in w. Iowa. Here it is! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 2 confirmed damaging tornadoes on the ground in central IA! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Buddy on the tornado near Jewell,IA. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Looking good for heavy rain around Waterloo where they also missed out lately. Probably headed for James too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Im in Waverly, IA Walmart. We all got taken back to the shelter room. Tornado sirens going off. One touched down 2 miles south of here. We're all still crammed in the shelter room. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted July 14, 2021 Report Share Posted July 14, 2021 Not what I expected when I got here lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 There is a constant rumble coming from the strong Benton county storms, but this line has no sink to it, so I'll have to wait til the central Iowa storms move east. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: There is a constant rumble coming from the strong Benton county storms, but this line has no sink to it, so I'll have to wait til the central Iowa storms move east. Sinking now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Confirmed tornado near center point 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 I have a bad feeling the current storms will pass north of CR and then the central Iowa storms will sink south of CR. It has that look. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 17 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: I have a bad feeling the current storms will pass north of CR and then the central Iowa storms will sink south of CR. It has that look. Yes, Cedar Rapids looks to get absolutely nothing tonight, but I am not surprised. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indeedinger Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Very strong couplet in Northern Linn County east of where I grew up, Center Point. Here in Independence, nearly 3 inches on the day and thankfully no severe weather. In-laws in SW Cedar Rapids have received nothing so far. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 It keeps sinking so currently not looking good for CR. That’s to bad. Now it’s missing about 1 or 2 miles north of here for now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Storm is knocking on my door here. Wind is picking up. You can hear the thunder now. I’ve been sitting in my screened in porch soaking it in. Beautiful night about to be capped a nice storm. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 So I wasn’t going to chase today bc we’re leaving town tomorrow but mainly bc the setup didn’t look that great for tornadoes. But it seems like Iowa always has one of these days each year with some kind of an over performing tornado day. And today clearly was it. I unfortunately didn’t leave the house until 330 and therefore missed all the really good, big tornadoes by Lake City, etc. I was pretty bummed as I kept heading north out of Carroll, IA just hoping the last line of pretty pathetic storms could give me something. And it did! It was pretty much a surprise tornado in an odd location on the storms and looking at radar you’d never guess there would be or was a tornado. In fact my report to NWS Des Moines caused the warning to be issued just before 6p for the Rockwell City area. The tornado was brief so I couldn’t get closer. After this the storm really did get it’s act together and looked like it might drop a big tornado but it didn’t. Still glad I pulled the trigger and chased today! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 I was awaken by the outflows from the line of storms that rolled into NW/N IL around 2:00am ish as the rains pelted the side window. Man, IA has been the magnet for Tornado's over the past couple years. @james1976glad to hear your safe and sound. That must have been an experience you'll always remember. Meantime, we'll be tracking a rare summer time upper level wave from KC to DTX...wait a sec, a lower lakes cutter?? Haha, seems like winter is always on my mind. How many times have we seen similar set ups like this over the past number of months and nature continues to deliver some unusual wx this summer. The 0z Euro drops a "weenie band" of heavy precip across the eastern ag belt. Over the next 2 weeks, the Monsoon really fires up and includes more neighboring states of AZ as expected. Beautiful. Speaking of the Monsoon, how about a DP in the upper 60's and daytime temps near 100F??? That's what it felt like yesterday in PHX and over the next number of days. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Yesterday was one of those kind of rare days when the mean for the day was "average" The overnight low here at my house was a warm 75 it must have been cloudy all night long but there was no rain here. There was some lightning to the north and northeast last night but it was off in the distance. As I have stated before there has not been much thunderstorm activity here in the NW side of GR. At this time it is cloudy and 76 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted July 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 The JMA weeklies are in and they suggest a "window of warmth/heat" in Week 2 but primarily targeting the same areas that have been stuck in the same ol' pattern. I believe the farther east in our Sub overnight low temps will primarily drive the AN temp anomalies. Nice signal for a potential "Ring of Fire" pattern. Week 2... Temp/Precip... Week 3-4...this period underscores the idea of a major trough to end July and open Aug for the eastern Sub/CONUS. IMO, the next month of Aug we'll start seeing more re-occurring troughs driving S/SE out of Canada as the ridge builds out west into W C.A. Temp/Precip... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Last evening I kind of had the same luck as Hawkeye did yesterday forenoon being stuck in a little hole with rain all around me. The storm was kinda recycling and about half over before I still caught a good downpour of not even quite 1/2” total. I thought it was over so was surprised to be awakened after 3:00am. by more lightning/thunder and a brief downpour though most of it again managed to pass just north and south. Haven’t checked yet, but I think I’m finally approaching 1” event total. If the 3km NAM actually verifies like it was showing yesterday se. Iowa could have more heavy rain today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 The early week model runs had front limping through here this am with a half inch. Yesterday pm models got more robust. At 10 pm last night I watched the outflow boundary drop southeast from des metro. Storms fired on it and front sagged with West to east orientation. I knew at 10 pm we indeed would not be missed. Overnight I got 92/100 an pockets in davis, vanburen Monroe and Lucas counties clearly 2 to 4 inches. So since June 18th I have 9.3 inches and continue to be dry spot. Many in Southeast Iowa have 13 to 17 inches 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Not much in the way of severe weather is expected here today but heavy rainfall especially this evening looks to be likely. Amounts look to range from .5 to 5 inches, models are struggling. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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