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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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Up to 81F. So nice to have the low 80s instead of the low 90s.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Clown range GFS looks epic out there.

😁

Still shows 84 at SEA on day 14.    

And I will take any bet that the 384-hour solution does not verify... or anything close it.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

😁

Still shows 84 at SEA on day 14.    

And I will take any bet that the 384-hour solution does not verify... or anything close it.  

If this D9-16 projection verifies, can I visit you?

A156E349-C95C-4892-A741-A0D016F3848F.png

E2869FFB-3487-47D4-B231-9E61480BD733.png

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

If this D9-16 projection verifies, can I visit you?

A156E349-C95C-4892-A741-A0D016F3848F.png

E2869FFB-3487-47D4-B231-9E61480BD733.png

Sure!

But even under a ridge... our weather is usually much more comfortable than yours.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The system today really stripped out the marine moisture.   The 18Z ECMWF shows just some scattered low clouds in the Seattle area tomorrow morning and then a mostly sunny afternoon.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Good thing we have westerly winds coming up for now. This isn’t all the fires but these are the big ones showing up. The fire east of Klamath falls seems to be blowing up. 

573018E6-2B30-4EED-AF63-DF52D7E0E3F9.jpeg

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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59 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Good thing we have westerly winds coming up for now. This isn’t all the fires but these are the big ones showing up. The fire east of Klamath falls seems to be blowing up. 

573018E6-2B30-4EED-AF63-DF52D7E0E3F9.jpeg

Sneak preview.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Good thing we have westerly winds coming up for now. This isn’t all the fires but these are the big ones showing up. The fire east of Klamath falls seems to be blowing up. 

573018E6-2B30-4EED-AF63-DF52D7E0E3F9.jpeg

Not so concerned about the fires as I am the Giant chicken loose on the west coast 😱

Hoping Mother Nature goes alt rout later this month and puts a damper on things.  
High of 72 and currently 69* ☀️

 

 

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Looks like we topped out at 84F. Airport just 82F as was Tangent when I was picking up the kiddos so a much nicer day.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

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57 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Sneak preview.

It’s sad that this May only be the beginning if we don’t get some appreciable rainfall. Onshore flow helps west of the crest…but we need some rain. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Amazing day.  SEA appears to have topped out at 71, and is already down to 66.  On top of that the dew points are the lowest they've been in quite a while.  A reasonable July overall is looking like a better bet all the time.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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35 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Looks like we topped out at 84F. Airport just 82F as was Tangent when I was picking up the kiddos so a much nicer day.

Even that is pretty warm.  Salem just keeps overperforming.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Amazing day.  SEA appears to have topped out at 71, and is already down to 66.  On top of that the dew points are the lowest they've been in quite a while.  A reasonable July overall is looking like a better bet all the time.

This post just guaranteed us a major late month heatwave.

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20 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Amazing day.  SEA appears to have topped out at 71, and is already down to 66.  On top of that the dew points are the lowest they've been in quite a while.  A reasonable July overall is looking like a better bet all the time.

Just realize that the models show that today is expected to be one of the 2 coolest days in the next two weeks.

gfs-ensemble-all-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5680800.png

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5659200.png

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Oof... Those three fires seem to have gotten much smokier since I last checked satellite earlier today. No bueno.

SmartSelect_20210707-200032_Samsung Internet.jpg

Yeah these images are about 3 hours apart. I’ve also noticed some wildfires burning over in Idaho and far SE Washington. 

979B30D3-2C52-465E-91DD-5C7D8E939083.jpeg

14B75DB5-A2CA-43D2-82AF-27CB19DFA4FF.jpeg

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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37 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Even that is pretty warm.  Salem just keeps overperforming.

Jim, I'm in Springfield, not Salem...60+ miles south of there and way worse in terms of weather.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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43 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Amazing day.  SEA appears to have topped out at 71, and is already down to 66.  On top of that the dew points are the lowest they've been in quite a while.  A reasonable July overall is looking like a better bet all the time.

We just barely made it thru the first week. 

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The air has a totally different feel to it this evening.  Much more refreshing.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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9 minutes ago, CloudBFIWx said:

I’m genuinely curious how Mass feels about this. The study have yet been peer reviewed but it appears to be extensive with about 27 international scientists involved. 
 

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/western-north-american-extreme-heat-virtually-impossible-without-human-caused-climate-change/

S**t like this is why so many people don’t trust climate science/scientists.

Said claim is vague and impossible to verify. Similar events *have* happened through the Holocene (the Medieval Mega-Droughts being just one example).
 

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