TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 76 here at noon... summer perfection today with wall-to-wall sunshine, no smoke, and a pleasantly warm but not hot temperature. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 What the hell are you guys expecting. Some big trough with rain and mountain snow. LOL At least the weather looks semi-tolerable the next couple weeks. A win in this climate. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: What the hell are you guys expecting. Some big trough with rain and mountain snow. LOL At least the weather looks semi-tolerable the next couple weeks. A win in this climate. I guess marine layer days are the big score now in our new climate regime. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: I guess marine layer days are the big score now in our new climate regime. Pretty much. The big score would be having them happen between mid-July and mid-August. We've had like 4-5 this year down here and maybe one lasted the entire day, so still pretty much non-existent. 25 years ago the big question would be if the layer would break at all. Now we get excited if it makes it past noon. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Up to 80F so mid to upper 80s is looking like a good bet. Got down to 51F so that was nice. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: This my favorite satellite link... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Pac_NW-02-48-0-100 Are there archived satellite loops anywhere? I feel like I remember somebody posting a link to one a few years back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Pretty much. The big score would be having them happen between mid-July and mid-August. We've had like 4-5 this year down here and maybe one lasted the entire day, so still pretty much non-existent. 25 years ago the big question would be if the layer would break at all. Now we get excited if it makes it past noon. July 1996 was pretty toasty. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Marine layer burned off quite fast today and as result, it’s much warmer. Can’t complain though but very much preferred last couple days with the morning clouds and afternoon sunshine. Up to 74F with lots of sun! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: July 1996 was pretty toasty. 7/17/96 though!!! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 7/17/96 though!!! October 1996 was one of the only times I had a 90+ degree high in middle of fall. There were some real indian Summers in the 90's and they seemed to have tapered since then. I'm lucky to get one or two 80's in a row in October now. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 What would the heatwave in late June been like if it was the first week of August in Portland? Statistically their hottest part of the summer and they could have had one more day in the 110's before it ended. Lows potentially warmer too. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy_Supercell said: What would the heatwave in late June been like if it was the first week of August in Portland? Statistically their hottest part of the summer and they could have had one more day in the 110's before it ended. Lows potentially warmer too. One of the things that seemed to make the heatwave more intense was it was close to the solstice. Had extra time for daytime heating to occur as well. Hard to say though. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Shocking. Quite evident on our way to OR last week. One side of the mountain is completely snow/ice free. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 I haven't seen Shasta since the end of June so I can't say if there's white on it now. Probably only the tip. But there was plenty of white on it before the 100's down here. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 12Z EPS... trough can't quite move into the PNW. The large 4CH is pretty much in charge. That does not mean hot here though. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: I haven't seen Shasta since the end of June so I can't say if there's white on it now. Probably only the tip. But there was plenty of white on it before the 100's down here. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: I haven't seen Shasta since the end of June so I can't say if there's white on it now. Probably only the tip. But there was plenty of white on it before the 100's down here. Here’s a webcam of Shasta from Mt Shasta City today. Almost completely barren. Up on Paulina Peak several days ago (8000’) there were no patches of snow at the summit at all. I believe normally you’d still expect to have some snow there. On a very clear day you can see Shasta from Paulina Peak but it was hazy and I could only see to about the Deschutes/Klamath divide. However Diamond Peak and Thielsen have a few patches left. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: Looking at the 850 graph on the 12z GFS it isn't bad. Pretty much normal or below from the 15th on. 12Z EPS shows below normal 850mb temps for about 2.5 out of the next 15 days. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 12Z EPS for Seattle: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Only about 16 more weeks until every clown range model gets looked at under a microscope looking for “The Goodies” And DJ resumes The Night Shift! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: The Canadian smoke model keeps the smoke out of our area for the next 3 days at least. It shows strong westerly flow at the upper levels and that really pushes everything east very efficiently. There is some in the upper levels right now, but the HRRR concurs on the onshore flow keeping it out of the lower levels, and also says the stuff that’s aloft should clear out over the weekend. But, someday, our luck will run out. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS shows below normal 850mb temps for about 2.5 out of the next 15 days. Stop being such a Debbie Downer and just focus on the two days that are going the way you want. Science! 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS for Seattle: Could be looking at a week left in July without a single 85+ day for the month at SEA. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 77 at SEA... 82 in North Bend and 81 here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 85+ days at SEA in recent Julys. 2020: 5 2019: 3 2018: 16 2017: 5 2016: 3 2015: 12 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: 85+ days at SEA in recent Julys. 2020: 5 2019: 3 2018: 16 2017: 5 2016: 3 2015: 12 Another similarity to 2017... July that year was consistently warm but not hot. 4 of those 5 days you indicated in July 2017 were exactly at 85. There was only one day that month above 85 and that was 87 on 7/25. And there was basically no rain at all in July 2017. That it a tight rope to walk... with almost every single day between 70-85 and no rain and no heat. Goldilocks weather. We seem to be on a similar path this July. SEA finished July 2017 at +1.6 I remember people on here saying that July could not have been more beautiful if you scripted it out. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 2 hours ago, James Jones said: Are there archived satellite loops anywhere? I feel like I remember somebody posting a link to one a few years back. Here you go... goes back to 2007 for satellite images. https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/archive.html 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 77 in Tacoma should hit 80. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 HIO 3°F warmer than PDX. Into midsummer we go... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 18Z GFS decided to join the ECMWF with the troughing later next week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Mesowest says Sunriver’s diurnal range has passed the 50-burger today. Low of 37 this morning, currently 88. Prineville also joined the 50 club with 91/41. Alturas is the West Coast winner at 100/43 so far. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Looks like Vegas might break their all-time high temp today. And if not today, almost certainly tomorrow. 1 1 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 59 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Another similarity to 2017... July that year was consistently warm but not hot. 4 of those 5 days you indicated in July 2017 were exactly at 85. There was only one day that month above 85 and that was 87 on 7/25. And there was basically no rain at all in July 2017. That it a tight rope to walk... with almost every single day between 70-85 and no rain and no heat. Goldilocks weather. We seem to be on a similar path this July. SEA finished July 2017 at +1.6 I remember people on here saying that July could not have been more beautiful if you scripted it out. Let's discuss August 2017. Looks like we get June 2015 on steroids followed by July 2014 and August 2017. KOOL. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Let's discuss August 2017. Looks like we get June 2015 on steroids followed by July 2014 and August 2017. KOOL. June 2015 was both warmer and drier for much of the PNW than June 2021. July 2014 had nine 85+ days at SEA. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Let's discuss August 2017. Looks like we get June 2015 on steroids followed by July 2014 and August 2017. KOOL. We don't know how August 2021 will play out. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 And that’s another one!! Up to 92F! 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 44 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Mesowest says Sunriver’s diurnal range has passed the 50-burger today. Low of 37 this morning, currently 88. Prineville also joined the 50 club with 91/41. Alturas is the West Coast winner at 100/43 so far. I may approach the mid-50's in diurnal change here. Right now 96/45. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: We don't know how August 2021 will play out. Since I don't think I've ever seen 3 toasty months in a row. August will cool but may still be a +1 type month. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: I may approach the mid-50's in diurnal change here. Right now 96/45. Welcome to the 50 club! Redmond, Lakeview, and Chester (CA) have also joined the club. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 9, 2021 Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 Actually June 2021 was warmer than 2015 at many PNW locations, and even if it didn't beat 2015 in spots, 2015 blew away all other June's by so much that just being in the ballpark was in itself unimaginable. The false narrative Jim and Jared are pushing here is misleading and distracting. Sure the first week of July was not as hot as 2015, but it was hot, with no cool down in the foreseeable future. They want to talk about troughing when we are looking at 5-6 90+ days in a row. Seems like we have been seeing major west coast heatwaves every 2 weeks since the end of May, good chance we see another major stretch of 90s the last week of the month. 5 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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