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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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The ECMWF and the HRRR bring the low clouds up to the Covington and Maple Valley area by morning but they aren't able to get over our ridge here.   ECMWF shows the low clouds hanging around down there until maybe 11 a.m. or noon.

 

hrrr-washington-total_cloud-5929200.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Riding from Monmouth to Springfield, into the smoky sky hits different.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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10 minutes ago, Phil said:

00z GFS looking much improved. :D

A couple marine layer days... but mainly focused in the central Sound with sun to the north and south and then totally sunny again by Saturday.   Exactly what the ECMWF has been showing.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Settling in down here in Saint Simons, GA.

Literally the exact same weather as back home, no discernible difference at all. 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

A couple marine layer days... but mainly focused in the central Sound with sun to the north and south and then totally sunny again by Saturday.   Exactly what the ECMWF has been showing.  

Yeah looks like the lower 500mb heights actually help mix out the marine layer on this run. Lapse rates steeper. Cooler than average at the top of the boundary layer still, but maybe warmer at the surface than would otherwise be the case.

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Very decent GFS run.  The phasing between the eastern GOA ULL and the PV over NW Canada appears to back on again around day 5.  That creates a more vigorous trough which digs in more effectively.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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43 minutes ago, Phil said:

00z GFS looking much improved. :D

I'm pretty happy with it.  At the very least the doom and gloom proclamations about the rest of this summer were apparently overblown.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Brisk NW winds have returned to the coast thus resuming the cold upwelling and cool temps out there.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Fantastic evening! Was at the winery down the road from us for the Friday evening live music and the place was hopping! The weather was perfect! Topped off by a quiet evening in the back yard! 
77/53 on the day. Currently 57. 
Going to try and make it to the lake tomorrow for some 35yr old boating fun! 

A3335EAA-B996-4572-899D-B17008774AD2.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Just realized we have .18 of precip recorded in the bucket this month so far!!

I’m at .02” for the month! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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There's actually a somewhat realistic chance SEA won't hit or exceed 85 over the next 15 days.  A couple in there could do it, but it's iffy.  Sanity has returned.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Just realized we have .18 of precip recorded in the bucket this month so far!!

I have a big fat zero.  I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if a number of places don't have a drop this month.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Fantastic evening! Was at the winery down the road from us for the Friday evening live music and the place was hopping! The weather was perfect! Topped off by a quiet evening in the back yard! 
77/53 on the day. Currently 57. 
Going to try and make it to the lake tomorrow for some 35yr old boating fun! 

A3335EAA-B996-4572-899D-B17008774AD2.jpeg

So nice to have things getting back to normal after COVID.  The last year will be just a bad memory soon enough.  It's incredible how fast your area cools off early in the evening compared to here.  Still 70 here.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Fantastic evening! Was at the winery down the road from us for the Friday evening live music and the place was hopping! The weather was perfect! Topped off by a quiet evening in the back yard! 
77/53 on the day. Currently 57. 
Going to try and make it to the lake tomorrow for some 35yr old boating fun! 

A3335EAA-B996-4572-899D-B17008774AD2.jpeg

We have talked about stopping at that winery several times on the drive to Bellingham... one of these times.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We have talked about stopping at that winery several times on the drive to Bellingham... one of these times.  

You definitely should! They now have food on top of great wine and a fantastic low key atmosphere! Though I might be a bit bias since it’s 4 minutes from my house! 😀 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Haniger!!!

Mitch? Guess I should start following them again! And the Seahawks first pre season game is just weeks away…This is like Jesse’s worse nightmare!! And it’s not long until Kraken Mania begins!!! 😀 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Mitch? Guess I should start following them again! And the Seahawks first pre season game is just weeks away…This is like Jesse’s worse nightmare!! And it’s not long until Kraken Mania begins!!! 😀 

We went in on Kraken season tickets with a group.  I intentionally steered clear of any December games as I suspect roads will frequently be impassable.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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I'm keeping track of the number of 90+ readings in Spokane and Spokane Valley since June 1st. Through 7/8 Spokane has recorded 18 readings of 90+. Spokane Valley has recorded 22 90+ readings. The top link is Spokane Valley, and the bottom link is Spokane.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/climate/temp_graphs.php?wfo=otx&p=temperature&year=2021&stn=KSFF

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/climate/temp_graphs.php?wfo=otx&p=temperature&year=2021&stn=KGEG

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm pretty happy with it.  At the very least the doom and gloom proclamations about the rest of this summer were apparently overblown.

It’s July freaking 9th.

How would you feel if someone was saying the calls for a cold rest of the winter were overblown on January 9th, following an all time record cold outbreak in late December and a solidly colder than average January to date with nothing but near to below average weather on the horizon.

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4 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=vef&sid=DEVC1&num=72&raw=0

Death Valley has hit 130. Didn’t expect that today.

Automated reading obviously, so this one will also require verification. However apparently last year’s was 129.9 on the dot, so this could break the reliable world record.

How in the f**k is it possible for it to be at 106F in what seemingly the coolest part of the morning? Christ that’s terrifying! 

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5 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=vef&sid=DEVC1&num=72&raw=0

Death Valley has hit 130. Didn’t expect that today.

Automated reading obviously, so this one will also require verification. However apparently last year’s was 129.9 on the dot, so this could break the reliable world record.

I'm glad I don't live there.👹🔥

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Today will be one minute and thirty seconds SHORTER than yesterday! 😀🤙

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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6 hours ago, iFred said:

The euro cloud maps show that there won’t be any fake cold and most people like a warmer January. Time to stick a fork in it because if the next couple weeks ain’t cold then winter is done.

Winter does not even begin until February lately.  No forks allowed before St Patty's Day!

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Wound up with a 79/53 spread in Tacoma yesterday…low of 56 this morning. 
 Looks pretty smoky over in Idaho…fires must’ve blown up even more than last night. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sure hope we stay with westerly onshore flow.

We should be good atleast for another week or so. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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