TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Any word on that fire in junction city TWL? Still going. KEZI news in 30 so I’ll have more then Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: Once again the problem going on here tonight is people are talking about two different things. I'm talking about what is coming while others are talking about the current situation. Obviously it has been dry and warmer than normal for a while now. Nobody is denying that. Unfortunately the troughs coming up are going to be pretty dry for the most part, but it will be cool. I wasn’t arguing with you at all. I’m glad we have no heatwaves coming up. Should be smoke free for the foreseeable future. I was just talking about how dry it’s been lately. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Still going. KEZI news in 30 so I’ll have more then Hopefully it just ends up being a minor situation. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Once again the problem going on here tonight is people are talking about two different things. I'm talking about what is coming while others are talking about the current situation. Obviously it has been dry and warmer than normal for a while now. Nobody is denying that. Unfortunately the troughs coming up are going to be pretty dry for the most part, but it will be cool. You are 100% confident that you are right and the EPS is totally wrong? Why are you upset that people are taking what you say with a grain of salt and be a little cautious given that EPS does not see weeks of cold weather coming like you do? When you always promise cold troughs... no one know when its actually real or not. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Even the insane warm biased GFS has a high in the 60s later this week in SEA. Going to be nice! Yes... looks like a permanent pattern change. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 31 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Come live down here and say the same thing. Inhale 500+ ppm for 10 days and say the same thing… It's horrible. I don't want a repeat this year. I say that every year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 Everything Jim has been saying is factual based on what the model outputs show, he has not promised anything in any way like others are saying he has. But I guess Dbags gotta be Dbags constantly. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 East Vancouver Island is up to Drought Level 4. Been pretty dry up north here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yes... looks like a permanent pattern change. Permanent was never mentioned. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Everything Jim has been saying is factual based on what the model outputs show, he has not promised anything in any way like others are saying he has. But I guess Dbags gotta be Dbags constantly. Jim wants to know why is he is getting push back again. I explained. There are always model runs to support cold troughing. That is why he said the last week of June would be cold and troughy... and why it looked like July 1954 incoming... and why he said instead of summer starting on July 5th it might end on July 5th. That is great if you want to cheerlead and there is nothing wrong with that... but don't expect everyone to fall in line and believe everything you say will actually happen. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 Spent the day visiting this majestic and hiking down the 1/2 mile trail to the river. Lovely! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Jim wants to know why is he is getting push back again. I explained. There are always model runs to support cold troughing. That is why he said the last week of June would be cold and troughy... and why it looked like July 1954 incoming... and why he said instead of summer starting on July 5th it might end on July 5th. That is great if you want to cheerlead and there is nothing wrong with that... but don't expect everyone to fall in line and believe everything you say will actually happen. Still no reason for y'all to be douchebags! Which is what is happening. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, CloudBFIWx said: Spent the day visiting this majestic and hiking down the 1/2 mile trail to the river. Lovely! You were in my neck of the woods! And we were up in Bellingham today. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Still no reason for y'all to be douchebags! Which is what is happening. Certainly not my intent. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: It'll only be a matter of time before the winds shifts and we'll be socked in smoke. Looks absolutely horrible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 36 minutes ago, CloudBFIWx said: It'll only be a matter of time before the winds shifts and we'll be socked in smoke. Looks absolutely horrible. There are absolutely no signs of offshore flow for the foreseeable future. Even backing flow of any kind looks unlikely. 5 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 The 0z ensemble continues its slow cooling trend. Now it drops below normal on the 15th and remains at least slightly below normal the entire remainder of the run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: You were in my neck of the woods! And we were up in Bellingham today. We work on a limited time frame when it comes to our summers here so have to take advantage of it with every chances. Especially over the past year with the pandemic. Speaking of Bellingham, we'll be going to the San Juans sometimes in early August and then Chelan/Diablo Lakes. That should probably round out the summer around here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 9 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Still no reason for y'all to be douchebags! Which is what is happening. If “y’all” also implies me I didn’t say anything rude at all to him. I actually had a good talk with him over PM a few days ago and apologized for calling him crazy and that any disagreements I had with his posts wouldn’t be mixed in with insults. As for saying Jim makes no predictions…Jim actually makes predictions based on the models sometimes. Not sure where that came from. Our disagreement with what he’s saying is our interpretation of what the models are showing versus what he’s saying. I myself atleast am not being rude about it. But don’t act like Jim doesn’t catch some shade sometimes for no reason. Still like the guy and even though I disagree with what he says sometimes I don’t dislike him. Sometimes he is right! 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: There are absolutely no signs of offshore flow for foreseeable future. Even backing flow of any kind looks unlikely. You're exactly right but I don't think it'll happen this month but perhaps in August or September. I just hope by then a lot of these fires are under control. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: If “y’all” also implies me I didn’t say anything rude at all to him. I actually had a good talk with him over PM a few days ago and apologized for calling him crazy and that any disagreements I had with his posts wouldn’t be mixed in with insults. As for saying Jim makes no predictions…Jim actually makes predictions based on the models sometimes. Not sure where that came from. Our disagreement with what he’s saying is our interpretation of what the models are showing versus what he’s saying. I myself atleast am not being rude about it. But don’t act like Jim doesn’t catch some shade sometimes for no reason. Still like the guy and even though I disagree with what he says sometimes I don’t dislike him. Sometimes he is right! Yes... there will be troughing at times and if you always predict troughing then sometimes you will be right. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 minute ago, CloudBFIWx said: You're exactly right but I don't think it'll happen this month but perhaps in August or September. I just hope by then a lot of these fires are under control. Eventually we will have to pay the price... we snuck through all of July 2017 but the smoke got us finally in August. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, CloudBFIWx said: You're exactly right but I don't think it'll happen this month but perhaps in August or September. I just hope by then a lot of these fires are under control. Hard to say. Many of the current fires will likely be contained before any backside pattern change so it will come down to how the fire season evolves over there. With the troughing, the east side will be quite windy at times. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 00Z ECMWF digs the trough deeper on Friday than its 12Z run... actually shows some rain. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 The fire situation is getting pretty bad in the southern half of bc. About 350,000 acres burned so far with about 300 active fires. It does look like some areas will receive some rain later this week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 Could still take several hours to days to contain the fire in Junction City according to KEZI. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Could still take several hours to days to contain the fire in Junction City according to KEZI. How many acres is it? Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 00Z ECMWF still shows sunshine and mid 70s by Saturday afternoon... quick rebound. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: The fire situation is getting pretty bad in the southern half of bc. About 350,000 acres burned so far with about 300 active fires. It does look like some areas will receive some rain later this week. That might our biggest issue with smoke later in the summer... it came from the north in 2017 as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: How many acres is it? Sounds like its a sawdust pile at a lumber yard... but did spread to an adjacent field but they got that out. https://www.kezi.com/content/news/Brush-fire-blazes--574812731.html 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z ECMWF still shows sunshine and mid 70s by Saturday afternoon... quick rebound. Does show a high of 69 here which would be our coolest day in a month. Only a couple hundredths of rain at best though. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Does show a high of 69 here which would be our coolest day in a month. Only a couple hundredths of rain at best though. Yeah... Friday is the best candidate for a sub-70 day. It would be so nice to just get a soaking rain for a few hours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: How many acres is it? Unknown. Probly not huge yet but it’s been spot firing into the grass. If we start to see our grass burn then our economy won’t recover. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z ECMWF digs the trough deeper on Friday than its 12Z run... actually shows some rain. That’s nothing over the central and south sound. Bleh. But still time for this to change! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 The fire is on the far SE side of town so not any urbanized area in that immediate vicinity with winds out of the N. View from downtown Eugene on the news… 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 Yet another ECMWF that shows full sunshine and almost no low clouds anywhere from Saturday afternoon onward. Regardless of what happens beforehand... that has been consistent once the trough bottoms out and starts to pull back. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 Should slow down some overnight but if it’s still not contained by tomorrow evening then things are looking pretty dicey. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 The Sunday-Wednesday period might be an example of a set up in which cooler than normal 850mb temps can lead to warmer than normal surface temps. And the ECMWF cool bias will be in play without an inversion. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The Sunday-Wednesday period might be an example of a set up in which cooler than normal 850mb temps can lead to warmer than normal surface temps. And the ECMWF cool bias will be in play without an inversion. Not everywhere, Hoquiam has been averaging below normal with daily high temps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2021 Report Share Posted July 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Not everywhere, Hoquiam has been averaging below normal with daily high temps. I am referring to a week from now. But I don't know much about the temps on the coast. Side note... HQM was +1 on the high today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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