TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 60 here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 53! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 00z Canadian is a thing of beauty. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Nice convective complex w/ low level onshore flow in the LR. No fire starts with that low level humidity. Plsssssss 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 SEA down to 57 before midnight in July is pretty impressive. Going to be nice to have some widespread below normal temps the next few days. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 39 minutes ago, Phil said: 00z Canadian is a thing of beauty. No doubt this is looking like the second half of this summer could go in a very interesting direction. As I mentioned earlier 1950s analogs are popping up. People can look for themselves if they don't believe it. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Did southern OR bake in the 1950's? There's not many summer records from that decade. They probably didn't. This might end up being a split summer. The CPC analogs are for the pattern that's upcoming. I've seen 1953, 1954, 1955, and 1956. All summers that eventually had epic torches in the East. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 The GEM does get quite pretty alright. A lot of hinting going on. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: They probably didn't. This might end up being a split summer. The CPC analogs are for the pattern that's upcoming. I've seen 1953, 1954, 1955, and 1956. All summers that eventually had epic torches in the East. Except we always find a way to torch. Especially during the midsummer - early autumn timeframe. That by itself isn’t indicative of a 1950s regime. But yes, end of July to mid August looks f***ing hideous east of the Rockies if MJO/eQBO climo holds sway. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 We partying like the 1950s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Still 62 in North Bend... and its completely cloudy now. Not going to be chilly tonight here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Still 62 in North Bend... and its completely cloudy now. Not going to be chilly tonight here. It’s 61 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Number one analog for the GFS at day 11 tonight is from July 1955. This COULD get interesting. 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 One of the stations near Port Angeles shows 47 degrees now. Hard to believe some places in this very same state were well over 100 today. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 The EPS has the ridge axis east of the Rockies as we get into week 2 now. The plot thickens. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Down to 55 at SEA now. That is noteworthy for them this early in the evening. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Those near to moderately above average temps on the models the next 7-10 days are pretty dreamy. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Cloudy and 55 this morning. Low clouds started to filter in around 11pm last night so a pretty thick marine layer. Hopefully we will manage to score our first below average days in about a month today and tomorrow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 00Z EPS is a combo of 1954 and 1955... with some 1964 mixed in. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Drizzling here... not really enough to be meaningful though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Today will be one minute and fifty seconds SHORTER than yesterday! 2 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 6 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Down to 55 at SEA now. That is noteworthy for them this early in the evening. Guess it didn’t really mean much considering it stuck there most of the night? Currently a cool 56F at home and still 55F at SEA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, CloudBFIWx said: Guess it didn’t really mean much considering it stuck there most of the night? Currently a cool 56F at home and still 55F at SEA. Yea that was a swing and a miss on his part. Low of 55 this morning too. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Today will likely end up pretty cool in the Seattle area... the ECMWF says the low clouds stick around in King County through the afternoon in a weak c-zone signature. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Today will likely end up pretty cool in the Seattle area... the ECMWF says the low clouds stick around in King County through the afternoon in a weak c-zone signature. Noticed this so I’m gonna guess a couple degrees cooler. Yesterday ended up being a below average day and a high of only 74. I’m guessing 71-72F today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Light drizzle and 53. Low of 50. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z EPS is a combo of 1954 and 1955... with some 1964 mixed in. Already looks likely to bust warm on several upcoming days. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Already looks likely to bust warm on several upcoming days. When? Tomorrow looks about right and Saturday onward will be sunny. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: When? At this point, today, tomorrow and Sunday all look like likely candidates. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Thankful for onshore flow... check out that smoke plume heading into Idaho. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: When? Tomorrow looks about right and Saturday onward will be sunny. Today is most likely a bust. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 56˚F and broken overcast. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: At this point, today, tomorrow and Sunday all look like likely candidates. I agree with today due to the low level inversion. The trough provides mixing tomorrow and then its basically sunny over the weekend... so I would not count on an inversion then. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I agree with today due to the low level inversion. The trough provides mixing tomorrow and then its basically sunny over the weekend... so I would not count on an inversion then. FWIW, tomorrow could bust for the Euro too. NWS calls for a high of only 68 tomorrow for SEA. Their forecast looks on point for today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Just now, CloudBFIWx said: FWIW, tomorrow could bust for the Euro too. NWS calls for a high of only 68 tomorrow. Their forecast looks on point for today. Tomorrow is a wild card... the mixing will break the inversion but also bring clouds and even some showers so it comes down to timing on sun breaks. Low 70s is certainly possible but if there are no sun breaks then upper 60s is probably the warmest we can muster. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 59F and mostly cloudy. Looks like we got down to 54F. Very pleasant. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I agree with today due to the low level inversion. The trough provides mixing tomorrow and then its basically sunny over the weekend... so I would not count on an inversion then. You don't have to have an inversion for it to be below 80 and sunny. And tomorrow could easily stay in the upper 60s if it is mostly cloudy. That's what the NWS is forecasting for Seattle. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: You don't have to have an inversion for it to be below 80 and sunny. And tomorrow could easily stay in the upper 60s if it is mostly cloudy. That's what the NWS is forecasting for Seattle. I said the same thing about tomorrow. But I do think the weekend temps will be close. The ECMWF shows no low clouds anywhere on Sunday and 850mb temps a little warmer than normal. That should mean surface temps in Seattle can reach their full potential which is probably around 80. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Went to Pamelia Lake, one of the few, as of now, unburned places in the Mt. Jefferson Wilderness. Nice easy hike. My 4 year old made it up and back easily. 7 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 15, 2021 Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 Already getting some filtered sunshine through the clouds so there might be some breakage in the marine layer. If this is the case, it’s probably going to end up a little bit warmer than forecast. Up to 57F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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