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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Could save Portland north from what would otherwise be a boringly average-ish July.

Cause everyone know it has to be HOTTT or COLDDD, nothing in between.

The warmth has in fact been very real and persistent, in spite of a lack of high end heat this month. Pretty elementary level of nuance there.

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It’s not just SEA that’s cooler than average so far this month. The coastal region is very close to normal overall.

9F6E8686-C82C-429F-957C-A9D850E0C9AE.png

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice to see the smoke scoured out of eastern WA as well with this trough...

 

236201064_CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW-02-22_26Z-20210721_counties-usstrd-ushw-usint-map_-40-1n-10-100(1).gif

That is also just an incredibly cool scene.  Look at the clouds in the western portions of WA and Oregon and how they are HALTED by the mountains.  Very cool looking.  It kind of looks like running water.  The clouds coming in from the Pacific are neat to watch as well. 

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10 minutes ago, Phil said:

It’s not just SEA that’s cooler than average so far this month. The coastal region is very close to normal overall.

9F6E8686-C82C-429F-957C-A9D850E0C9AE.png

+2 to +4 is not "very close to normal" lmao

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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14 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

+2 to +4 is not "very close to normal" lmao

Wth are you talking about?

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35 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Watching the expansion draft. So happy to see our stunning weather on display with nice blue skies. No smokes!! Just beautiful!

Just turned it on... looks beautiful! 

 

DRAFT.png

DRAFT2.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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My wife made a comment this morning about how chilly it has been this month. I said yeah we have had mostly normal to below normal temps at home for July. 
Anyway, here is another lake pic! Was there around noon today. My redneck little temporary boat cover I put on last week when I thought it was going to rain last Friday looks absolutely amazing in this shot! 🥰
66/53 on the day. Looking forward to my day off on Friday to take the new boat on its maiden voyage and pull my old boat out of the water. I will not be using the red neck cover on the new boat. 

64 currently.

14B7F3CA-BD13-4503-871A-1A4A82F78B07.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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8 hours ago, Phil said:

West-Pacific is active right now. Similar to the early/middle part of June…and we know what happened afterwards.

Will this event produced a similar long wave response over the NPAC next month? Or will seasonality save the day?

I wish I could downvote this six thousand times.

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7 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I wish I could downvote this six thousand times.

If there’s good news it’s that models seem to be latching onto a strong polar blocking regime late this month into early August. Basically the opposite of late June/early July.

Historically speaking, strong polar/greenland blocks don’t usually teleconnect to big heat in the PNW, particularly at this time of year.

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Really beautiful day here. 74/51 spread with partly to mostly cloudy skies.

Enjoying it considering we are likely barreling toward another major heatwave to close out July due to the simple fact that the west Pacific exists and someone might have sneezed there at some point in the last 18 months.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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It's getting cloooooooseeeerrrrr......... 🍃❄️🌧️☁️

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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7 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Seattle is dying.

For once your actually right on the money!  Komo News 2 years ago: 

And the one from 7 months ago ALSO Komo News.

Never mind not sure why that one is blocked. Guess it hits TO close to the truth.

 

  “The Fight for the Soul of Seattle” examines the role of Seattle’s City Council in allowing the situation to reach what many experts consider epidemic levels under the guise of a compassionate approach to people who suffer from substance addiction and who commit

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

 

In the not so distant past those would just be regular summer vibes, since lows in the 40s were far from uncanny even at this juncture of the season. 

And unfortunately today looked to be the last sub 80 day for a long while to come, with still no rain in sight either. 

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1 minute ago, Tyler Mode said:

This graph shows the July lows below 50 at my station in Vancouver, WA (since 1996).  Average is 1.6.

For my Battle Ground station the average is 7.7.

Untitled.jpg

I’m interested to see if we can actually dip below 50 tomorrow morning. It’s hard to get into the upper 40s in July and august near the sound. Coldest low here for July is 47 and August is 48…and about half of the July/Augusts over the last 15 years haven’t dipped below 50. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Can see the West-Pacific influence here. But also the developing high latitude blocking.

Caveat is, it’s the GFS. Likely over-amping the NPAC, as usual.

2D93D459-9460-4684-B9B1-069A65548D65.gif

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11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Can see the West-Pacific influence here. But also the developing high latitude blocking.

Caveat is, it’s the GFS. Likely over-amping the NPAC, as usual.

2D93D459-9460-4684-B9B1-069A65548D65.gif

The most extreme heat solutions tend to verify. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The most extreme heat solutions tend to verify. 

Minus those 2 weeks, they haven’t really verified at all.

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Salem scored a sub-80 high today. WHOA!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

The warmth has in fact been very real and persistent, in spite of a lack of high end heat this month. Pretty elementary level of nuance there.

At this time in 2015 we were at the start of a troughy period much more "impressive" than anything we're going to see this month. From the 21st through 27th PDX averaged 75.6/58 with .54" of rain, good for -4.7 for the 7 day period including a sub 70 high on the 25th. 

#ColdJulyMemories

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Salem scored a sub-80 high today. WHOA!

Quick! We need to tell Robert Felix this!  ICE AGE IS A LOCK! We could have very nasty crop failure next spring if we keep having this happen...........All preppers arm yourselves against the city invaders 2022! 😲🙃..............................😂

The Great Willamette Valley Crop Failure The Movie coming soon to a cinema near you but remain 2m apart from all patrons at all times and wear double masks.  :)   We don't want you to breathe one bit during this film since you will die anyways from the crop failure.

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10 minutes ago, James Jones said:

At this time in 2015 we were at the start of a troughy period much more "impressive" than anything we're going to see this month. From the 21st through 27th PDX averaged 75.6/58 with .54" of rain, good for -4.7 for the 7 day period including a sub 70 high on the 25th. 

#ColdJulyMemories

That would've made Robert Felix and a few others pee in their pants at the thought of it. Should've made some really juicy headlines to prove Global Warming is a farce.  Never mind the later years of massive hot weather scrolling on the bottom of the screen.

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7 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

The warmth has in fact been very real and persistent, in spite of a lack of high end heat this month. Pretty elementary level of nuance there.

High end heat? Nothing even close to high end so far.

And if you want to ignore western WA ok, but 0 to +2 anomalies is pretty average-ish.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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1 hour ago, James Jones said:

At this time in 2015 we were at the start of a troughy period much more "impressive" than anything we're going to see this month. From the 21st through 27th PDX averaged 75.6/58 with .54" of rain, good for -4.7 for the 7 day period including a sub 70 high on the 25th. 

#ColdJulyMemories

Temps July 2021 to July 2015 to date:

PDX: -2

OLM: -3.5

SEA: -4.5

And there are going to be some impressive lows tomorrow morning, which you can suck.

#not2015

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A forum for the end of the world.

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