TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 The 00Z ECMWF was much more reasonable... kept Portland below 100. The 00Z EPS just showed consistent warmth... 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 Smoke is quickly accumulating again east of the Cascades as onshore flow weakens. Any ridging to the north right now would be very bad for the west side. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Smoke is quickly accumulating again east of the Cascades as onshore flow weakens. Any ridging to the north right now would be very bad for the west side. Clocks ticking on our beautiful blue skies. Going to go camping Sunday-Tuesday since I don’t know how much longer we will be in the clear with the upcoming weather pattern. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 Pretty smoky in southern OR too. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 66 here already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 10 hours ago, Jesse said: The progression in the mid to long range on the 00Z GFS is nice. Too bad it has about as much a chance of verifying as Acer hardware figuring out the most efficient way to downvote en masse. I saw this post last night and though, my God Jesse is angry. Then I read back through the comments and realized why. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Pretty smoky in southern OR too. Holy cow. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 Things get busy at work, I miss 12 hours on the forum and come back and we are looking at some real heat building back in. Looks like NWS is predicting 90+ at SLE 6 of the next 7 days. That would get them to 15 with one day left in the month, which is also looking like a 90+. We would have to run the table to match the 17 days of 90+ from July 2018, not out of the realm of possibility. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 Good morning everyone!! It’s going to be a beautiful Saturday!! Currently 59 and sunny!! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 If the NWS forecast verifies SLE will be VERY close to July 2015. I calculated at face value they will end the month at 72.8 which would be the 2nd warmest July on record and only 0.3F behind 2015. If the heat over performs than we will be breaking new ground. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 Phoenix was 83/73 yesterday with 0.80” rainfall. Nearly a third of their YTD precip in a single day. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 12z GFS trending Jesse’s way. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 The upcoming pattern is actually pretty unusual in the context of the last 9 years. Maybe similar in parts of the West as far as observed weather is concerned, but persistent large scale NW flow @ 500mb (as opposed to SW flow) hasn’t happened in the summer east of the Mississippi for almost a decade. I’ve been waiting for this type of pattern for a long a** time. ️️️ Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 11 hours ago, Jesse said: The progression in the mid to long range on the 00Z GFS is nice. Too bad it has about as much a chance of verifying as Acer hardware figuring out the most efficient way to downvote en masse. I've never really had the desire to downvote en masse. Might be a generational thing, Too bad we don't have stickies here, you could post instructions for doing it so everyone could vent their frustrations en masse. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: The upcoming pattern is actually pretty unusual in the context of the last 9 years. Maybe similar in parts of the West as far as observed weather is concerned, but persistent large scale NW flow @ 500mb (instead of SW flow) hasn’t happened in the summer east of the Mississippi for almost a decade. I’ve been waiting for this type of pattern for a long a** time. ️️️ Wish replies would work instead of flaking out on me on certain users won't post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, Phil said: 12z GFS trending Jesse’s way. This is a really stupid comment. No one on here is cheering for more extreme heat and smoke. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Acer said: I've never really had the desire to downvote en masse. Might be a generational thing, Too bad we don't have stickies here, you could post instructions for doing it so everyone could vent their frustrations en masse. Good. Shows you still have right from wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 45 minutes ago, MossMan said: Good morning everyone!! It’s going to be a beautiful Saturday!! Currently 59 and sunny!! You forgot about the part announcing some oldies that will blow you away! YAY it posted this time! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 2 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said: Pretty smoky in southern OR too. Western states should be fined for gunking up everyone’s air. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I saw this post last night and though, my God Jesse is angry. Then I read back through the comments and realized why. Because I gave him a few weenie's? Hardly. He is the king of handing out weenies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, Link said: Wish replies would work instead of flaking out on me on certain users won't post. I don’t understand what you’re saying here. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, Phil said: Western states should be fined for gunking up everyone’s air. Another stupid comment. Lets fine them for climate change being caused by the rest of the world when the western states are doing the most to make a difference. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: This is a really stupid comment. No one on here is cheering for more extreme heat and smoke. Huh? Where did I say that? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: Huh? Where did I say that? The GFS is trending everyone's way... more reasonable temps and less chance of being inundated with smoke. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 We’re about to hit 70 here at 10am. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The GFS is trending everyone's way... more reasonable temps and less chance of being inundated with smoke. Okay? So my post was accurate, then? I don’t see what the issue is. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The GFS is trending everyone's way... more reasonable temps and less chance of being inundated with smoke. Let’s pray that it works out that way. Just going to enjoy the clean air while it lasts. Wether the smoke shows up in a week or 2-3 weeks out it’s probably going to happen eventually. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Things get busy at work, I miss 12 hours on the forum and come back and we are looking at some real heat building back in. Looks like NWS is predicting 90+ at SLE 6 of the next 7 days. That would get them to 15 with one day left in the month, which is also looking like a 90+. We would have to run the table to match the 17 days of 90+ from July 2018, not out of the realm of possibility. I was starting to think we would escape July with a max temp of 83 here but I guess not. Will be interesting to see how the month finishes up and how high it pushes the averages. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 Can we have just 1 year without a perma-vortex in NE-Canada? Just one year? I don’t see why this should be so difficult. Long range 12z GFS is the epitome of every problem we’ve had, wx-wise, over the last decade. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 54 minutes ago, Phil said: Western states should be fined for gunking up everyone’s air. You suck. There, is that what you wanted? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 So much anger on the forum this morning! Everyone should go out and play a nice round of golf and relax today! 2 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 2 hours ago, Omegaraptor said: Phoenix was 83/73 yesterday with 0.80” rainfall. Nearly a third of their YTD precip in a single day. That whole area got hammered yesterday with some good rainfall! Must be miserable today with the high humidity levels….yuk! Moisture currently hanging just south of Phoenix. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 12Z ECMWF shows 78 for a high at SEA today. It's 77 at noon. Cold bias is back with the marine layer inversion gone. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows 78 for a high at SEA today. It's 77 at noon. Cold bias is back with the marine layer inversion gone. Yeah it’s already 75 here. Beautiful day. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 1 hour ago, MossMan said: So much anger on the forum this morning! Everyone should go out and play a nice round of golf and relax today! Lol it’s more depression than anger today. Kind of starting to seem like we may get some offshore flow and smoke filtering in eventually. Have been lucky up to this point to have lots of upper 70s and low 80s with blue skies. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol it’s more depression than anger today. Kind of starting to seem like we may get some offshore flow and smoke filtering in eventually. Have been lucky up to this point to have lots of upper 70s and low 80s with blue skies. And at least some sort of significant east wind event with a CCG during the next few weeks too. RIP to this area once that happens. There will be no way to stop the amount of fires that will rain into the city. Not even kidding, the University would be destroyed. Up to 86F so it's going to be back to the 90s later this afternoon. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: And at least some sort of significant east wind event with a CCG during the next few weeks too. RIP to this area once that happens. There will be no way to stop the amount of fires that will rain into the city. Not even kidding, the University would be destroyed. Up to 86F so it's going to be back to the 90s later this afternoon. We will see what happens. I wouldn’t be surprised if summer actually came to an end earlier this year like some have discussed on here…in late August or early September. It’s always good to be prepared after what happened last year down that way but sometimes things end up not how we expect them to. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Yeah I went and looked through some of my mountain photos from right before the heatwave and from other years around a similar time. Striking difference can’t recall seeing the mountain so bare. Wonder what it’ll look like by the end of summer/early fall right before they start getting snow up there. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows 78 for a high at SEA today. It's 77 at noon. Cold bias is back with the marine layer inversion gone. 76* here currently (72* yesterday at this time). Should be able to reach 83* today here locally 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 24, 2021 Report Share Posted July 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Yeah I went and looked through some of my mountain photos from right before the heatwave and from other years around a similar time. Striking difference can’t recall seeing the mountain so bare. Wonder what it’ll look like by the end of summer/early fall right before they start getting snow up there. This is from July 30th last year……hoping to get up there this next week for another hike and I’ll snap another photo for comparison. North side of mountain fyi 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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