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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

76* here currently (72* yesterday at this time).  
Should be able to reach 83* today here locally 

I’m thinking 81-83 on this side of the bay. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Just now, Jginmartini said:

This is from July 30th last year……hoping to get up there this next week for another hike and I’ll snap another photo for comparison. 
North side of mountain fyi 

9740233A-459C-4465-A050-20C1F1078809.jpeg

Awesome photo. Yeah the south side had the most significant melt off being directly in the sun but I’m sure the north side comparison will be telling too. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS... warmth seems to peak and then we return to a pattern similar to what we have now. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-7128000.jpg

Looks like 3 opportunities for a +90 day potentially the last 3 days of the month. I’m guessing atleast one +90 day at SEA. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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We did it again! 90F

E1849826-6DB5-4041-8CB5-768B42FF0754.webp

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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16 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

89 at pdx for the 3pm reading. Today looks to be a slight overperformer. 

And there goes the 75-90 range for July.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, Jginmartini said:

Just hit 80* 

NW breeze of 12

We might max out a bit before 5pm again today with the wind coming off the sound. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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93 at SLE now, warmest temp of the month so far. Should see it hit about 95. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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In Woodinville now and it is 84°. Breeze is making it more tolerable. Interesting observation in that I see some puffy fairweather cumulus over the Olympics, but no where else this afternoon.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Salem now forecast to hit 90+ all of the next 7 days to close out the month. 

Taking the NWS forecast at face value for SLE they would end the month at 73.4, which would break July 2015 for the hottest July on record. Looks like a good chance they go back to back in June/July, just like in 2015. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

93 at SLE now, warmest temp of the month so far. Should see it hit about 95. 

The new normal. No rain either for Springfield. The airport had some mist on one morning that accumulated a massive 0.01" so a huge help to combat the impending wildfire disaster.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Salem now forecast to hit 90+ all of the next 7 days to close out the month. 

Taking the NWS forecast at face value for SLE they would end the month at 73.4, which would break July 2015 for the hottest July on record. Looks like a good chance they go back to back in June/July, just like in 2015. 

The region is dying before our eyes.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Salem now forecast to hit 90+ all of the next 7 days to close out the month. 

Taking the NWS forecast at face value for SLE they would end the month at 73.4, which would break July 2015 for the hottest July on record. Looks like a good chance they go back to back in June/July, just like in 2015. 

Modeled projections put OLM finishing close to 3 degrees cooler than July 2015, and SEA finishing about 3.5 degrees cooler.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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32 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Modeled projections put OLM finishing close to 3 degrees cooler than July 2015, and SEA finishing about 3.5 degrees cooler.

Coastal fog belts have been cooler. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Coastal fog belts have been cooler. 

I guess PDX, VUO, downtown Portland, OLM, SEA, Seattle WFO, and BLI are all in coastal fog belts, as they've all been much cooler than SLE. 

Hell, even EUG and and Roseburg are running cooler anomalies than SLE.

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13 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Beautiful Saturday, clear blue skies. Currently breezy and 68F at 4:52pm in Everett.

 

Would love to see some rain though, or even clouds to darken the skies.

We are on the north side of Lake Stevens now just east of Everett dropping off my daughter at a friend's house.... its 80 here.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

I guess PDX, VUO, downtown Portland, OLM, SEA, Seattle WFO, and BLI are all in coastal fog belts, as they've all been much cooler than SLE. 

Hell, even EUG and and Roseburg are running cooler anomalies than SLE.

It's a top tier warm month for most of the PNW. You are arguing semantics and will never give up on a losing argument, you can continue to spread misinformation, that is your prerogative, I am done arguing with reality. Funny the two people telling us it hasn't been hot, do not live here. 

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It's a top tier warm month for most of the PNW. You are arguing semantics and will never give up on a losing argument, you can continue to spread misinformation, that is your prerogative, I am done arguing with reality. Funny the two people telling us it hasn't been hot, do not live here. 

 

Once our cities burn they'll know...

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

82 at SEA at 3... that was projected high on the 12Z GFS.    That model is such garbage... always ridiculously warm.

Compared to the ECMWF, it is trash. That is an indisputable fact.

I recall the GFS busting warm by 10+ degrees for SEA a week or two ago. Worse than the ECMWF has ever busted.

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Up to 94 at SLE. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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91 at PDX. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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At least over here I think we have passed the hottest part of summer. If anything is going to be like 2015 much of August won't be a torcher. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It's a top tier warm month for most of the PNW. You are arguing semantics and will never give up on a losing argument, you can continue to spread misinformation, that is your prerogative, I am done arguing with reality. Funny the two people telling us it hasn't been hot, do not live here. 

 

👍🍻

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Compared to the ECMWF, it is trash. That is an indisputable fact.

I recall the GFS busting warm by 10+ degrees for SEA a week or two ago. Worse than the ECMWF has ever busted.

It's trash for sure... on both sides.   It's the source of endless ridiculous cold temp maps on here all winter.   None of which verify.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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A nice memory from 2017. Back when it wasn't so impossible to have thunderstorms. lol

 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It's a top tier warm month for most of the PNW. You are arguing semantics and will never give up on a losing argument, you can continue to spread misinformation, that is your prerogative, I am done arguing with reality. Funny the two people telling us it hasn't been hot, do not live here. 

Arguing semantics by sharing facts about temps and anomalies. Got it.

I don't have to live there to be able to see SLE represents one end of the spectrum for the western lowlands and is an outlier. That's not up for debate, literally all other major stations north of Medford have seen cooler anomalies this month.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF had 77 at SEA today... GFS had 82.    Actual was 84.    GFS wins today... despite also being too cold.

Geez 7 degrees off usually it isn’t that much from some of the times I remember. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF had 77 at SEA today... GFS had 82.    Actual was 84.    GFS wins today... despite also being too cold.

Gotta keep in mind that's just one station on one day, though. I doubt the Euro was off by 7 degrees most places.

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