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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Today is #42 for the dry streak at SEA,  tied for 5th all time from 1986 and we've now entered the driest stretch of the  year.

Next up is #45 from 1991-09/01-10/15. 

1991 was an incredible record considering how late into the calendar year this dry streak took place. 

After that, I can see the all-time mark falling. 

In 2017…sea-tac had their 55 day streak ended by a couple hundredths of an inch of rain.  Here at my location it didn’t end up measurable though…and we went on to go 90 days without rain. So for my house specifically we’ve gotta go all the way til September 16th to break the record. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Does look like the rain is picking up over S. Central Oregon. Good to see. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Today is #42 for SLE too. If they can make it through August they will be at 77 days... It is possible. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

How long is the all-time record?

EDIT: 55 days from 2017, right?

55 days from 2017 - 06/18 - 08/11. Only got broken by 0.02" of rain. It fell shorty before midnight, otherwise it would've been 56 days. 

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Flash Flood Warning just issued near Weed.

 

2021-07-27 15_14_05-Text Products for FFW Issued by MFR.png

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1 minute ago, Chris said:

precip.png

Looks like the burn scar must have gotten something but not enough. I'd like a severe storm to sit on them for 2 hours.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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15 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

+5 on PDX. Totally normal.

PDX is closer to the Columbia River Gap than Salem. It only makes sense that they would have slightly more marine influence.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Yeah, they average about 2 degrees cooler for highs in the summer.

It would be naive to say that would mean a constant 2°F marine displacement at all times of day at any point in the summer. There is a lot more subtlety, including the type of pattern, ocean temperatures, or simply how strong (or present) the onshore breezes really are.

In this case we have a strong ridge inland creating a steep gradients in heights right along the west coast. Again, it only makes sense then that there would be a steeper gradient in temperatures, even compared to "usual", oriented NW-SE. Though a 5°F depression is certainly not that much noticeable when sunny.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It would be naive to say that would mean a constant 2°F marine displacement at all times of day at any point in the summer. There is a lot more subtlety, including the type of pattern, ocean temperatures, or simply how strong (or present) the onshore breezes really are.

In this case we have a strong ridge inland creating a steep gradients in heights right along the west coast. Again, it only makes sense then that there would be a steeper gradient in temperatures, even compared to "usual", oriented NW-SE. Though a 5°F depression is certainly not that much noticeable when sunny.

I know. Just giving Andrew a hard time because SLE has been warmer than almost everywhere else on the westside.

A forum for the end of the world.

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18z GFS is a thunderfest, and not the dry kind. Cool too. Would be a great (albeit unlikely) outcome.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS is a thunderfest, and not the dry kind. Cool too. Would be a great (albeit unlikely) outcome.

Ye of little faith, put your trust in the lord of thunder and lightning, kneel before thee and be rewarded handsomely. 

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KLMT reporting 0.35" since midnight. Definitely picked up since middle of the afternoon (was .07" when Andrew replied). Downtown may have received 1/2".

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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E7Vr3HYUYAEMOdd.thumb.png.3b41c3f16275b872f8d7e5fa742089da.png

Ensemble support on this, too. This monsoonal moisture advection is the exact scenario we were hoping for all summer.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

List of 90+ degree highs since the late 90's. I didn't even realize last year had 34 which beats most of the list.

2021 - 37 (thru July 27)
2020 - 34
2019 - 11
2018 - 28
2017 - 38
2016 - 22
2015 - 25
2014 - 27
2013 - 21
2012 - 15
2011 - 4
2010 - 13
2009 - 21
2008 - 11
2007 - 10
2006 - 15
2005 - 13
2004 - 10
2003 - 21
2002 - 13
2001 - 14
2000 - 8
1999 - 12
1998 - 31

A site I like to use isn't pulling data from 1997 and earlier for KLMT. 

That's too bad. Wonder what it was in 1985 as July that year was pretty hot in the region.

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Tack on another one! Up to 91F!!

D19D7BC8-D31A-4EDC-B51E-564F58FD6D1D.jpeg

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Back from my road trip. Modified the itinerary and never made it to Okanogan County due to conditions being too smoky. Every time I checked purpleair.com readings were somewhere between unhealthy and hazardous there, blecch.

Stayed in Kittitas County for the most part. Very dry conditions, but no smoke until getting a little bit this morning.

Definitely could notice tree damage from June’s extreme heat in the North Bend area. Was not grab-your-attention dramatic, but it was there, particularly in cedar trees.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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Looks like SLE is up to 90 as well. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, Phil said:

Well this is something.

1AF5E613-7D1D-46CC-8E0D-BF5868CD359A.jpeg

Inject this right into my veins

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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There's already a next round of showers coming into the forecast area creeping up on radar. Those look a little stronger, maybe t'storms tonight.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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We will have to wait for the official numbers, but if SLE did indeed pump off another 90 today then we are going to run the table the rest of the month and match the 17 90+ highs we saw in 2018. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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21 minutes ago, Phil said:

Well this is something.

1AF5E613-7D1D-46CC-8E0D-BF5868CD359A.jpeg

Here’s hoping it materializes. Everything east of the Cascades is super bone-dry. Even the west side is dry. Even on the Franklin Falls trail, the forest floor is for the most part dry. I used to remember that area always being moist; even in the driest summers those mountains tend to wring significant moisture out of even the paltriest episodes of summer showers.

Aside: and boy has that area ever changed in the last 20 years or so! The masses have really discovered it! I remember when six cars parked at the (old, now unmarked) trail head was a busy day. Most people didn’t even know there was a stretch of the old highway between the two sets of opposing lanes of I-90.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Those precip anomalies on the east sides aren't impossible. I doubt any of that comes from frontal rain though. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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