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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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The high was at midnight here lol. The "afternoon" high was maybe 63.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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20 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Weren’t you just talking about a high end heat event in the wake of the last run? That would be more of the same.

I think another round of amplification is good possibility with some manner of cyclogenic (by mid summer standards) activity. As I said, it would be preferable if lightning didn’t strike twice in reference to late June.

it IS possible to have a more volatile pattern and still have to watch Woody Harrelson vomit.  

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Nice to see the desert SW in the blue now.

Was about to say, don’t see that too often these days. Maybe we can cut down the 4CH at its ankles.

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14 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I think another round of amplification is good possibility with some manner of cyclogenic (by mid summer standards) activity. As I said, it would be preferable if lightning didn’t strike twice in reference to late June.

it IS possible to have a more volatile pattern and still have to watch Woody Harrelson vomit.  

So if we see literally anything other than a stagnant, sprawling 4CH centered to our east and weak onshore flow west of the Cascades in the next few weeks you will call it a forecasting win. That’s like Phil level hedging. ;)

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15 minutes ago, Jesse said:

So if we see literally anything other than a stagnant, sprawling 4CH centered to our east and weak onshore flow west of the Cascades in the next few weeks you will call it a forecasting win. That’s like Phil level hedging. ;)

Hey, at least it’s something beyond just commiserationcasting.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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34 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

D**n, Salem!

Nicely done!

Not just a 90, 91!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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A bit warm today. Saw 86° in Woodinville. Clouds were a bit of a surprise this morning. Went into a Safeway and almost all the Gatorade was sold out!

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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10 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Hey, at least it’s something beyond just commiserationcasting.

Talking about how ridiculously warm and dry it’s been in a bad light is quite offensive. Not like people are actually affected by things like severe drought and wildfire. Now if they closed the Keizer In-N-out!!

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9 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Talking about how ridiculously warm and dry it’s been in a bad light is quite offensive. Not like people are actually affected by things like severe drought and wildfire. Now if they closed the Keizer In-N-out!!

I was going back home from a day trip to Corvallis a couple months ago and tried to go to the Keizer In-n-out just to see if it was worth the hype. Place was so packed the line of cars was spilling over onto the road. Got back on the highway and kept going.

They are considering Beaverton for their next location...

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4 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I was going back home from a day trip to Corvallis a couple months ago and tried to go to the Keizer In-n-out just to see if it was worth the hype. Place was so packed the line of cars was spilling over onto the road. Got back on the highway and kept going.

They are considering Beaverton for their next location...

They’re eyeing one of two sites here in Vancouver as well. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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I'm not big on fast food. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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NWS going with 100 Friday at SLE. Seems low. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

Well this is something.

1AF5E613-7D1D-46CC-8E0D-BF5868CD359A.jpeg

how does that map square with this? I guess 500% anomaly of their average 0.01 in precip over 5 days isnt very much? I know any precip at this point is good for E cascades and hopefully this can give fire work a breather before going into the final stretch. 

1628380800-YHwjqofFdGo.png

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1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

how does that map square with this? I guess 500% anomaly of their average 0.01 in precip over 5 days isnt very much? I know any precip at this point is good for E cascades and hopefully this can give fire work a breather before going into the final stretch. 

1628380800-YHwjqofFdGo.png

Different climo periods. Hopefully it’s a persistent shift and we can put the kibosh on fire season.

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5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Nice sunset,

And so early!

We are going to turn that around in less than 5 months... its almost here!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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24 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Nice sunset,

And so early!

I’ve definitely noticed it getting dark earlier in the evening. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Almost leaf blowing season! Summer is winding down. 

There have almost been enough withered dead leaves around here left over from the gates of hell opening for a couple days in late June to warrant a second leafblower season entirely.

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Almost leaf blowing season! Summer is winding down. 

In the last 15 years here at my location, august has ended up warmer than July 10 out of 15 times. I wouldn’t put the boat away just yet! 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Rain showers in the Tri Cities? A FB friend that lives in that area posted about some liquid falling from the sky.

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Looks like we will have to put the ac back into every room. Darn things poured water all over the floors when I pulled them out at our other place. 

Also, once I get my new phone I will be asking for good spot to put up my weather station via pictures.

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On 7/6/2021 at 8:51 PM, TacomaWaWx said:

I know that the scale of the fires up here isn’t near what happened down there in September…but that fire in Bonney lake was pretty crazy to see. On top of what happened in Oregon it’s just crazy to see these things happening. 

We had a drought one year that hurt our spruce forests. That encouraged spruce beetles, which proved too much for spruce trees and killed them. Then we got lightning fires. That lost us close to 6 million acres of forests. 
 

Our sea ice is also retreating, which is really hard on polar bears. Alaskan natives have been seeing polar bears swimming out at sea where it will be too far for them to avoid drowning. The polar bears don’t have enough territory on land for all the ones displaced from sea ice territories. They are crowding into villages looking for food. 
 

It gets depressing hearing climate change deniers. I can’t imagine what it will take to convince anybody who has missed what is happening around us already. Since climate change effects are going to keep getting worse, at some point it ought to get through to them. I fear it will be too late to stop climate change by then. 

 

 

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