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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, Link said:

Geez. Couldn't put his phone down for ONE minute so he could rest and start early. Too much Fortnite? 

I can't believe I went this many years barely knowing what Fortnite was, and why so many people are into it.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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I did take a pleasant walk in downtown this evening, not a whole lot of smoke (for late July standards is saying alot). After catching my breath I almost want to go back out. But I should hydrate. lol.

Looks like we had a high of 95. 

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Shockingly, the GFS is bowing down to the Euro on the 00z. Highs around 90 or above at PDX through the end of next workweek. Rain is gone too. 

CMC adamantly disagrees. Let's see if the Euro holds serve.

gem_z500a_namer_31.thumb.png.12397eb1ed46867b77a722337223969c.png

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A forum for the end of the world.

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52 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

CMC adamantly disagrees. Let's see if the Euro holds serve.

gem_z500a_namer_31.thumb.png.12397eb1ed46867b77a722337223969c.png

As usual... the ECMWF follows the GEM.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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54 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

CMC adamantly disagrees. Let's see if the Euro holds serve.

gem_z500a_namer_31.thumb.png.12397eb1ed46867b77a722337223969c.png

That is a beautiful little cutoff low. We all dream this comes to fruition in order to wet the vegitation enuf to nip the fire danger in the bud so to speak

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5 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

You must be right on the water in Everett? Your location has a great ability to maintain a cool enough marine breeze to keep your temp way down compared to other local areas. It's pretty cool to see your temp updates. ;)

You are right.  My station is about 171-200 feet up from the water, but looking directly at it.  Everett's entire waterfront and downtown get a nice cool marine air.  The city's official reading location is Paine Field, an open airport that sits at a high elevation and bakes in the sun.  It is very inaccurate to use for the city's official weather station.  If you ever wanna cool off, come check out the waterfront beaches and restaurants! :D Plenty of cool opportunities.  

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Wow. Euro spits out a 66F for SEA next Saturday by 5PM.  That's basically the high for that day. 

Would LOVE for this run to verify. Decent amount of moisture and cool temps. Note that it's still raining at the end of the run. Still 10 days out though. 

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6 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

I can't believe I went this many years barely knowing what Fortnite was, and why so many people are into it.

Maybe I was wrong and he was still trying to collect hidden pokemon in Pokemon Go.  A VERY controversial game that led several people to deaths by placing them in dangerous areas causing Nintendo to stop doing it. They were going to do the same concept with Mario Kart on a phone where you use a real car to go to certain spots to collect rewards but when that show happened with Pokemon I can see why they cancelled.

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7 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/seeing-snow-first-time-62-brazilians-revel-icy-snap-2021-07-30/

Off topic, but southern Brazil is getting snow. It's not that uncommon in the highlands but this looks like an unusually severe event. Looking at models it looks like the 528 thickness line managed to just barely reach Brazil. Freeze warnings for agricultural regions there currently.

OMG! Robert Felix's Ice Age comes true!!!!!!  Warm summer cancelled! 

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Lol not really sold on those high totals yet considering the run beforehand had like 0 rainfall. We will see where we’re at in a few days. Hopefully there’s atleast something on the models by then. 

Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

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00Z EPS showed the trough solidly moving inland later next week... I am pretty optimistic that it will actually rain this time. 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1627603200-1627603200-1628899200-10.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Patchy low clouds in Kelso!!!

#not2015

Some smoke aloft too. 

60BA67C1-74A7-47EB-A3E7-077D6C76DE6F.jpeg

Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

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I’d be surprised if this upcoming pattern yielded more than 1/3” of an inch of rain considering it’s the first 1/3 of august. You never know it’s been an unusual summer. We could sure use some high rain totals right about now. One thing that the really warm summers of 2014 and 2015 was they had wet August’s here locally. 

Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

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33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z EPS showed the trough solidly moving inland later next week... I am pretty optimistic that it will actually rain this time. 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1627603200-1627603200-1628899200-10.gif

I see the 6z was also troughier, faster than the 0z GFS.

At least at this point, we have pretty good model agreement that it will turn troughy and probably rain many places within a week from now.

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1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

PDX barely eeked out a below 70 low. 69 for a period of a couple minutes. Tonight could be warmer. 

That’s surprisingly toasty, given that my low of 56°F was not wildly higher than seasonal norms. The pattern of the warm departures being higher the further south one gets continues.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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6 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

Depending how quick that scoots out of the area it could mess with high temps today.

HRRR indicates it will continue to stream in and stick through the weekend, though it will only be at upper levels, so air quality at the surface will be spared.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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Well one thing is for sure I've had worse smoke (2018/2014 anyone?), actually July 2015 was better in regards to that.

Some sprinkles happened around 7:50am but quickly passed through. Today hopefully has better storms than yesterday. They'll have rain trust me; next one could do more.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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A lot of new fire starts east and southeast of Eugene. Rob is tracking them on his FB group, and it is concerning to say the least...

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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SLE's monthly mean is now up to 73.0, just 0.1F below the vaunted July 2015 and tied with August 2017. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A lot of new fire starts east and southeast of Eugene. Rob is tracking them on his FB group, and it is concerning to say the least...

From lightning? We had a few starts yesterday from lightning but had a lot of rain to go with it, so they have not spread much. Hopefully any storms today and tomorrow are wet for all areas. 

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Just now, AlTahoe said:

From lightning? We had a few starts yesterday from lightning but had a lot of rain to go with it, so they have not spread much. Hopefully any storms today and tomorrow are wet for all areas. 

Yes there has been some lightning along the foothills the past few days, mainly south of where I am at, but it could drift north today. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

SLE's monthly mean is now up to 73.0, just 0.1F below the vaunted July 2015 and tied with August 2017. 

OLM is at 65.2. Record hot July is 1958 with 69.1.

Don't think they'll get there.

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Really smoky this morning. Trying to see how close the fires are.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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12 hours ago, Cloud said:

Not sure why he thought this was a good idea. Sad and tragic. Hikers are urged to hike only before 10am, but article says he most likely started his hike when it was 118F with 91% humidity.

 

https://www.fresnobee.com/news/california/article253131128.html

 

118f with 91% rh???

 

WTF? They might want to recalculate that

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29 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Really smoky this morning. Trying to see how close the fires are.

They are NE of Oakridge, that is where the "Middle Fork Complex Fire" is now burning. 9 lightning started fires. 

Also heard there was one taking off near Fall Creek. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

They are NE of Oakridge, that is where the "Middle Fork Complex Fire" is now burning. 9 lightning started fires. 

Also heard there was one taking off near Fall Creek. 

Shitt that's just SE of Jasper FML I really hope we don't have any sustained SE winds...

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Shitt that's just SE of Jasper FML I really hope we don't have any sustained SE winds...

Fall Creek drainage has burned 2-3 times in the past 20 years. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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