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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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Looking at the sat pic it appears the Puget Sound region is in the zone of heaviest cloud cover today with lots of clearing both east and west of us.  Nice chance for the house to cool down.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Still just 83F and cloudy. Maybe we can keep it under 90F!!

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 60F (Oct 13)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Have had some light rain showers most of the morning…had enough to be considered a trace at about 11am. Still only 71. 

Monthly rainfall-1.16”

Cold season rainfall-1.16”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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Rain totals bumped up on the latest euro run in Washington…but not much change down in Oregon. More in the cascades and Oregon coast range but willamette valley not much. 

56AA61FC-C9F3-47F4-9811-6257D0785DAC.jpeg

985EABBE-7D55-4338-A724-F96C9A5F6601.jpeg

Monthly rainfall-1.16”

Cold season rainfall-1.16”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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Got up to 92 yesterday and only cooled down to 63 last night.  A few splatters on the windshield when I took my son to the farmer's market, but nothing more than that at this point.  I definitely wouldn't mind some rain today!

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Euro has a couple highs in the mid 60s too. Really hoping this cool weather and rain verifies. 

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Monthly rainfall-1.16”

Cold season rainfall-1.16”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Picked up over an inch here last night.

Good sign for up here as well. Monsoon has got some extra punch this year!

Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 16.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16.0"

Highest snow depth: 15.0"

Coldest high: 29.7º

Coldest low: 25.3º

Number of subzero days: 0

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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2 hours ago, Kayla said:

Safe travels! Smoke isn’t too bad today (plenty of blue sky!) and looks to only improve throughout the weekend here.

Much better in Butte... some haze but not bad.   And a little cooler. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The EPS is far from sold on a return to warm ridging after the trough.  The PNA only goes very slightly positive after the trough on the mean.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Much better in Butte... some haze but not bad.   And a little cooler. 

Continental Divide! Storms building and moving in from the south here now as well.

Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 16.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16.0"

Highest snow depth: 15.0"

Coldest high: 29.7º

Coldest low: 25.3º

Number of subzero days: 0

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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It's been 47 days IMBY without measurable rain.  Up until today there hadn't even been a trace since June 14.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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For those who think extreme summer dryness is something new for the NW...think again.  For the Puget Sound Lowlands out of the 10 driest Julys all but 2 were from 1960 or earlier.  As I've been saying overall dry conditions used to be more common, due to more influence from the Pacific High.  Here are the top 10 dry Julys for the Puget Sound Lowlands.

1. 1922 = 0.00"

2. 1958 = 0.01

3. 1960 = 0.01

4. 2013 = 0.03

5. 1896 = 0.04

6. 1930 = 0.05

7. 2017 = 0.05

8. 1914 = 0.06

9. 1926 = 0.06

10. 1910 = 0.12

 

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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7 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Trending cooler with the trough, as expected.

And no clear indication of a follow up ridge on the 500mb level progs.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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78 in North Bend... looks like a little more sun is filtering in out there. 

Screenshot_20210731-150920_Chrome.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Kayla said:

Continental Divide! Storms building and moving in from the south here now as well.

I see that!  

20210731_151453.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Positive (westerly)  200mb zonal wind anomalies are a very ninaish signal.

Yes, though that is 200mb velocity potential not U-wind anomaly. But dateline subsidence is typical during La Niña (esp central/west based) and Indian Ocean MJO transits.

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Much cooler than expected today, only 86 so far for a high at SLE and it looks like they are currently down to 84. Don't worry, an 86/69 spread should still clinch the warmest July of all-time!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Just a 74/68 spread so far today. Haven’t had any rain drops in awhile though

Monthly rainfall-1.16”

Cold season rainfall-1.16”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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No way it's making it to 80° with this cloud deck. 72° has been the high so far where I am in north Kirkland. 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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1 hour ago, NWbyNW said:

Currently 65F and full cloud deck.  Even a few errant drops of precip at times, but only one's and twos.  No actual showers or rain. 

The temperature has actually gone down since I posted this.  It is 63F outside.  Still completely cloudy.  A few online forecasts claim there is a 40% chance of showers around 7pm tonight in my area.  I'll believe it when I see it.

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I don't think anyone would have thought it possible SEA would be at 71 today at 3pm.  Nice surprise!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I don't think anyone would have thought it possible SEA would be at 71 today at 3pm.  Nice surprise!

2018…..

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GFS up to its usual waffling. Unfortunately this is the driest run it has featured in a while for W. WA for the first week of August. Not too concerned just yet, see few more runs. 12Z Euro was showing a nice soaking still. 

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I don't think anyone would have thought it possible SEA would be at 71 today at 3pm.  Nice surprise!

Midnight highs!!!

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Bye bye orange.

D8FFDA87-4E37-49D0-AB6F-6C3337375694.gif

No doubt we are locked in a repeating regime right now where ENSO SST anoms consistently peak during the northern hemisphere summer months and fall during the autumn and winter.  We've seen that for a number of years now.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

GFS up to its usual waffling. Unfortunately this is the driest run it has featured in a while for W. WA for the first week of August. Not too concerned just yet, see few more runs. 12Z Euro was showing a nice soaking still. 

Still looks the same at the 500mb level.  Surface stuff always waffles.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

I don't think anyone would have thought it possible SEA would be at 71 today at 3pm.  Nice surprise!

I'm amazed at how cool it can stay over there. You got your natural air conditioner just to your West. 105 and haze here.

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1 hour ago, Cloud said:

GFS up to its usual waffling. Unfortunately this is the driest run it has featured in a while for W. WA for the first week of August. Not too concerned just yet, see few more runs. 12Z Euro was showing a nice soaking still. 

I’d bet on the euro. It’s still pretty good most of the time…interested to see how the upgrade goes. 

Monthly rainfall-1.16”

Cold season rainfall-1.16”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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We did it again!!! 90F!!!

AB0B2C3B-5FEF-4DB3-830F-2212959847EA.jpeg

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 60F (Oct 13)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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