July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

We were thinking about going to... but you have to be able to be mobile depending on the weather and that won't be known until about 5 days beforehand.   It's easier when its close to home!  I guess you could just be in Tulsa and go from there. 

Yeah, that was kind of what I was thinking. We can just do it as a long day trip. 

[TacomaWaWx]

19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS shows the ULL dipping down to the PNW for a few days late next week and then shows the 4CH expanding again and pushing everything back to the north and west. 

Sounds like a realistic solution. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS loop... I think we finally see Phil's big troughing event coming into focus!   

[TacomaWaWx]

69 and sunny…should be a few degrees warmer than yesterday. 

[Cloud]

Nice to be able to come back and still experienced the marine layer this morning. It was pretty much wire to wire cloud cover at Cannon Beach so it’s nice to get some burn off inlands. The mariner layer was thick enough here this morning to produce some overnight dew so it must be nice for the plants. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

UGH...

[The Blob]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Another total eclipse coming in 2024... Texas should be the popular spot for that one since its in April and clear weather is more reliable down there at that time of year.  

It goes right through where my inlaws live. We may pass on it. 2017 was pretty cool even though we never went anywhere to get the full effect. 

[Phil]

EPS has an MJO-turning-CCKW crossing the Pacific during week-2. This suggests (to me) a more variable pattern over the next 3 weeks (as opposed to unrelenting troughing). 

Interestingly enough, guidance hints at an emergent dipole signal over the IPWP associated w/ stronger ISM which generally isn’t favorable to keep convection over the West-Pacific for long periods of time.

Would be a huge, huge win if we can avoid a Beirut sodium-nitrate explosion over the west-pacific between late July and mid-August, and instead keep convection in the Indian Ocean.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

EPS has an MJO-turning-CCKW crossing the Pacific during week-2. This suggests (to me) a more variable pattern over the next 3 weeks (as opposed to unrelenting troughing). 

Interestingly enough, guidance hints at an emergent dipole signal over the IPWP associated w/ stronger ISM which generally isn’t favorable to keep convection over the West-Pacific for long periods of time.

Would be a huge, huge win if we can avoid a Beirut sodium-nitrate explosion over the west-pacific between late July and mid-August, and instead keep convection in the Indian Ocean.

Thank goodness... the troughing has been unrelenting this summer! 

[TT-SEA]

79 here and only 71 at SEA... this seems to be a summer when my area runs warmer than SEA almost every day.  

[Phil]

Finally swapped out and calibrated my new temp/humidity sensor. Sure enough, the old sensor was apparently running about 1-2 degrees too high with the dewpoint.

Back in line with other sensors now.

[Phil]

Next up: UV sensor (dead) anemometer (almost dead), and rain gauge (almost dead).

Man this equipment degraded quickly. It’s a mess. That thunderstorm was just the straw that broke the camel’s back.

[TT-SEA]

Lots of speckly, terrain-driven clouds over BC... but does not appear to be any big fires or large areas of smoke.    It looks so much better than last week.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Next up: UV sensor, anemometer, and rain gauge.

Man this equipment degraded quickly. It’s a complete mess. That thunderstorm was just the straw that broke the camel’s back.

I need a new station. Mine conked out for good in March. 

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, Phil said:

Next up: UV sensor (dead) anemometer (almost dead), and rain gauge (almost dead).

Man this equipment degraded quickly. It’s a mess. That thunderstorm was just the straw that broke the camel’s back.

 

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Finally swapped out and calibrated my new temp/humidity sensor. Sure enough, the old sensor was apparently running about 1-2 degrees too high with the dewpoint.

Back in line with other sensors now.

My rain gauge has apparently been broken for a few weeks now.  0.00 inches.

[Phil]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I need a new station. Mine conked out for good in March. 

What station was it, and what exactly conked out?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Lots of speckly, terrain-driven clouds over BC... but does not appear to be any big fires or large areas of smoke.    It looks so much better than last week.  

What's the Jack Fire looking like this afternoon?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

What station was it, and what exactly conked out?

I'm not sure the brand, it was given to me by a co-worker and I used it to replace my old station. It just stopped working. I thought maybe it was the batteries, but it still does not work after I changed them. I've never had a top of the line station, thinking of upgrading when I get a new one. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What's the Jack Fire looking like this afternoon?

 

[Phil]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm not sure the brand, it was given to me by a co-worker and I used it to replace my old station. It just stopped working. I thought maybe it was the batteries, but it still does not work after I changed them. I've never had a top of the line station, thinking of upgrading when I get a new one. 

If you can afford it, I’d definitely upgrade to a unit with detachable sensor components for versatility in siting, as opposed to an all-in-one unit. The higher quality stations are not only more accurate, but also last longer, not to mention the sensor components can generally be replaced without replacing the entire unit.

I’ve had the same ISS for a decade. Swap out sensors and electrical components as needed. In fact, I’m going to replace the fan aspirator and clean the fins on my unit when I return from vacation. Should take 30 minutes, max.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Not super crazy. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And another one!! 91F

[Jesse]

15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm not sure the brand, it was given to me by a co-worker and I used it to replace my old station. It just stopped working. I thought maybe it was the batteries, but it still does not work after I changed them. I've never had a top of the line station, thinking of upgrading when I get a new one. 

Why did you make Tiger's so overexposed

[TT-SEA]

81 here... 11 out of the last 15 days have been above 80.   

[Rubus Leucodermis]

7 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Why did you make Tiger's so overexposed

So he can have fun recording lots of 90’s.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

13 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And another one!! 91F

My guy!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Why did you make Tiger's so overexposed

EUG is officially at 91. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

For the 4th day in a row SLE has joined the 90s party!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

12 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Why did you make Tiger's so overexposed

It’s 90F at the airport too…

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

It’s 90F at the airport too…

Actually 91 on the latest 5 min obs.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still don't have the official #'s from Silver Falls during the heatwave, but Silverton hit 113, broke their previous all time record of 104 which was set in 1981. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Up to 93 in Roseburg with 18% humidity. YIKES.

[TacomaWaWx]

75 here…might get close to or hit 80

[TT-SEA]

SEA jumped 6 degrees in the last hour... up to 77 now and will probably get over 80.   Inversion is definitely weaker today.

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

SEA jumped 6 degrees in the last hour... up to 77 now and will probably get over 80.   Inversion is definitely weaker today.

Just bumped up to 76 now so 80 is looking more likely here too. 

[Phil]

This is vomit.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=KMTN&num=168&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

[Rubus Leucodermis]

73°F here.

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Pure vomit.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=KMTN&num=168&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

Bellingham just did that last week.  Next…

[Cloud]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Next up: UV sensor (dead) anemometer (almost dead), and rain gauge (almost dead).

Man this equipment degraded quickly. It’s a mess. That thunderstorm was just the straw that broke the camel’s back.

You might as well just get a new station. I’ve been looking for a new one and will wait until the rainy season starts to get. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Pure vomit.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=KMTN&num=168&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

Dew point above 80°F! Fun times!

Seriously, the one afternoon BLI had with DP’s in the mid/upper 70’s a week and a day ago was bad enough.