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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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2 minutes ago, jakeinthevalley said:

So Palm Springs set a new record high of 120f. Salem hit 117f. I still have a hard time believing that actually happened here, but it puts it in a whole new realm when you consider the proximity of that temperature to the, historically, hottest places in the country.

It was 113 out here in Spokane Valley. I'm still trying to grasp that. The 110 in Forks boggles my mind. The previous record was 99.

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4 minutes ago, jakeinthevalley said:

So Palm Springs set a new record high of 120f. Salem hit 117f. I still have a hard time believing that actually happened here, but it puts it in a whole new realm when you consider the proximity of that temperature to the, historically, hottest places in the country.

Las Vegas, NV managed to tie Salem’s all time record high yesterday. Hard to imagine a place like Vegas getting as hot as the western valleys of Oregon, but it happened. Uncharted territory.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Down here the summer would have no choice but to not be as hot the second half. 

2021 would be unrivaled the next 100 years if not.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Just now, Deweydog said:

On a related note, I’m ready to say that the western valleys or coast will not see temperatures of 110 degrees or higher this summer.

If anyone wants to jump on board, feel free.  

Seems like you're just trying to piggyback off of Jared's genius at this point with some of this stuff.

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8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

On a related note, I’m ready to say that the western valleys or coast will not see temperatures of 110 degrees or higher this summer.

If anyone wants to jump on board, feel free.  

I'm concerned there may be a crisis of leadership aboard the #hottestsummaeva train now that Andrew has abandoned it.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

I'm concerned there may be a crisis of leadership aboard the #hottestsummaeva train now that Andrew has abandoned it.

It’ll be interesting to see where a lot of spots are at come half time this week.  Andrew’s bold call for a warm August might be all spots need.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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We are up in Bellingham.... catching up now and sort of confused by all this cold talk and summer ending soon.   

Here is the 12Z EPS... when it looks like this it won't be cold for too long.   Silly to be talking about a long term chilly pattern.   

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1626004800-1626004800-1627300800-10.gif

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1626004800-1626004800-1627300800-10.gif

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-6004800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

It’ll be interesting to see where a lot of spots are at come half time this week.  Andrew’s bold call for a warm August might be all spots need.

I am predicting another heatwave in August. I would love to be wrong, but I think there are pretty good odds spots in the WV hit 100 again in August. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Hard to not like the pattern later this week.  We're incredibly lucky the out of season PV and the eastern GOA ULL manage to join forces and produce a nice trough for us.  On their own neither would have done the job.  Looks like northern BC is going to have some widespread freezing low temps if this verifies.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

That’s the sort of feeling i have this summer. I think the fall will be pleasantly wet

Or cold...or both.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Gorgeousness… 

I mowed! Currently 73. 

CC9DE536-728F-429A-AFD1-9C81658991CE.jpeg

Incredible weather...all this sunshine and not even 80.  My lawn is utterly fried so I don't have to mow anymore.  Even the false dandelions are crispy.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We are up in Bellingham.... catching up now and sort of confused by all this cold talk and summer ending soon.   

Here is the 12Z EPS... when it looks like this it won't be cold for too long.   Silly to be talking about a long term chilly pattern.   

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1626004800-1626004800-1627300800-10.gif

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1626004800-1626004800-1627300800-10.gif

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-6004800.png

In reality that’s more likely to be a few spikes in the upper 80s surrounded by low/mid 70s. Ensemble spread yields smoothed/extended low 80s which is unlikely to verify.

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Salem making a run at 90 after all. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I am predicting another heatwave in August. I would love to be wrong, but I think there are pretty good odds spots in the WV hit 100 again in August. 

It could certainly happen.  Especially given the track record of 21st century summers.  We shall see.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looks like a new fire in the range/juniper SW of Culver. My friend just sent me this. 

No description available.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

In reality that’s more likely to be a few spikes in the upper 80s surrounded by low/mid 70s. Ensemble spread yields smoothed/extended low 80s which is unlikely to verify.

Yeah...and it should be noted the EPS control shows a second trough like the GFS.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I am predicting another heatwave in August. I would love to be wrong, but I think there are pretty good odds spots in the WV hit 100 again in August. 

Seems reasonable. At this point, it’s become obvious that about every 7-10 days someone in the lower 48 is or will be seeing a significant heat wave.  It’ll likely be back before we’re done. Lower sun angles!!!

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like a new fire in the range/juniper SW of Culver. My friend just sent me this. 

No description available.

Really impressive smoke plume for a fairly small fire.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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95 in Redmond. 

No description available.

No description available.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, Deweydog said:

Seems reasonable. At this point, it’s become obvious that about every 7-10 days someone in the lower 48 is or will be seeing a significant heat wave.  It’ll likely be back before we’re done. Lower sun angles!!!

I do think the East is going to get their turn shortly.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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20 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

The score is not looking all that great but the weather is absolutely perfect.

20210711_152913.jpg

That is a beautiful stadium for sure.  Real people in the seats!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Salem making a run at 90 after all. 

I feel like we swapped climates with Salem this last 10 days. 90 at SLE is like 80's here.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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The GFS is still advertising a 3 pack of cool troughs.  Still much uncertainty of where we go after the late week trough.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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On 7/9/2021 at 9:27 PM, Phil said:

Settling in down here in Saint Simons, GA.

Literally the exact same weather as back home, no discernible difference at all. 

Where do you guys stay when you go there?  We used to rent a house, but I think the family that still goes end up staying at the King and Prince or one of the other hotel/resorts.

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Did somebody just really do a down vote on every post I've done in the past half hour?  Sheesh.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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41 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I'm concerned there may be a crisis of leadership aboard the #hottestsummaeva train now that Andrew has abandoned it.

Dude it’s been a very hot first half of the summer for a lot of the region. It wouldn’t take much for it to be a top 5 summer…and hottest ever is in the realm of possibilities depending on if we get some anomalous torching. You act as if it’s such an outlandish possibility but it really isn’t. One cool week in June and some potentially below normal days coming next weekend don’t change that much. Nobody truly knows…but it’s not impossible and top 5 seems pretty realistic based on the first half and how recent 21st century summers have been going. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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