July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion

[UWStudent15]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

00Z GEFS through day 10...

 

Stays warm but is much more palatable than previous runs. Now we just need some rain.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, UWStudent15 said:

Stays warm but is much more palatable than previous runs. Now we just need some rain.

Actually quite a bit warmer than the 12Z run... but the total lack of rain is pretty annoying.   Just one wet day would be great.

[TacomaWaWx]

63 here…will be another +60 minimum today. Riding an impressive +60 low temp streak…have never had more than 4 in a row but today is #7. 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Looks like a pocket of warmer water in the Strait of Georgia after the heat wave. Looks like temperatures around 22~24C (72~75F). Would be a great time for a trip up to Parksville.

[Meatyorologist]

9 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Looks like a pocket of warmer water in the Strait of Georgia after the heat wave. Looks like temperatures around 22~24C (72~75F). Would be a great time for a trip up to Parksville.

Poor fish

[TacomaWaWx]

We average 25 days +80 and 2 +90 days per year here. So far we’re at 10 +80s and 3 +90s. Not to mention 2 +100s. 
 The hottest summer on record (2015) had 40 days +80…and 5 days +90. Should be interesting to see how this summer ends up comparing to that one.

we average about 17 +80 days in July and august combined so we’re ahead of schedule. 

[GHweatherChris]

Woohoo, 59°!!

[smerfylicious]

1 hour ago, UWStudent15 said:

I know this isn’t a geology forum, but Taal volcano on Luzon is rumbling, incredibly high levels of So2 have been emitted around the caldera this past few weeks. Will be interesting to see if it there is a large eruption. Hopefully everyone can be evacuated and there is no loss of life if that happens.

 

Hoping for everyone to be safely evacuated and a VEI 4+, so we can knock the global temp down a few degrees for a bit.

[Geos]

Saw a little sun today after 6pm. Definitely did not see 80. Being out and about the warmest was 75° I saw one the Eastside. Most of the time at was like 72-73°.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Hoping for a VEI of 7 or more and everyone evacuated in time.

[smerfylicious]

23 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Hoping for a VEI of 7 or more and everyone evacuated in time.

That's the spirit!

[Meatyorologist]

4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Hoping for a VEI of 7 or more and everyone evacuated in time.

I do wonder about the aerosol deposition in the tropopause/stratosphere from the fires. Experience/intuition suggests minor/none, though the Australian wildfires did have an impact on the NHEM strat+trop PV. Unfortunately, aerosol deposition in BC (thus far) doesn't seem to have come remotely close to the extent of the Aussie fires, so the destruction may be all for naught.

[smerfylicious]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

I do wonder about the aerosol deposition in the tropopause/stratosphere from the fires. Experience/intuition suggests minor/none, though the Australian wildfires did have an impact on the NHEM strat+trop PV. Unfortunately, aerosol deposition in BC (thus far) doesn't seem to have come remotely close to the extent of the Aussie fires, so the destruction may be all for naught.

It's an early fire season. We may come to rue this comment tbh. East of the cascades is a tinderbox just waiting for a light

[Farmboy]

Well, the Euro/EPS was not very encouraging to anyone looking for troughing in the next 10 days...

[The Swamp]

I hope this marine layer BS breaks soon.

Nothing but endless gray and gloom all day long.

Bring on the sunshine D**n it!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice morning, but the layer is noticeably thinner. 

[TT-SEA]

It's actually raining!    Not just drizzle either... but genuine rain.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Currently 60°F and overcast after a low of 58. First time in over a week the temperature has been below 60.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 hours ago, UWStudent15 said:

I know this isn’t a geology forum, but Taal volcano on Luzon is rumbling, incredibly high levels of So2 have been emitted around the caldera this past few weeks. Will be interesting to see if it there is a large eruption. Hopefully everyone can be evacuated and there is no loss of life if that happens.

Despite being a developing country, the Philippines has generally done a pretty good job on volcano safety. They saved a lot of lives by moving decisively to evacuate people from around Pinatubo before it had its big eruption. They have already established a safety perimeter and started evacuating people from around Taal.

[TacomaWaWx]

First low in the 50s since 6/24…low of 58. Nice marine layer for the 4th day in a row. 

[Phil]

Sun-up confirms I have to replace my rain gauge and anemometer. Fück. Definitely didn’t budget this in.

[TacomaWaWx]

6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Marine layer is already looking a little more loose this morning as evident by satellite. Even have a bit of sun poking through here after zero sun the past two days.

Low of 60 here after a 73/61 day yesterday.

Looks like smoke aloft is moving out of BC into northern WA. Should be aloft but it’ll be noticeable once the clouds burn off. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

23 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Looks like smoke aloft is moving out of BC into northern WA. Should be aloft but it’ll be noticeable once the clouds burn off. 

HRRR says smoke aloft should be a thing west of the mountains until Sunday evening. Not forecast to get down to the surface on the west side… for now.

[Omegaraptor]

2 hours ago, ..... said:

I hope this marine layer BS breaks soon.

Nothing but endless gray and gloom all day long.

Bring on the sunshine D**n it!

Agreed. Just can’t take this endless gray gloom anymore. Looking at vacation homes in Laughlin and Lake Havasu right now.

[BLI snowman]

Beautiful sun-free morning so far.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Down here in Salem, seeing a lot of blue sky, but should remain mostly cloudy at least until about 10am. Not bad. 

[Link]

What happened to the upvotes? I don't see any mention of changes in the board section of this forum.

[Timmy Supercell]

Despite being under an air quality alert, we've been fortunate to have clear mornings and the sun is back to normal.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Next weekend is looking warm/hot. CFS getting really bullish on the Nina. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Surely wunderground jests I think... Another 100 pops up at the end of the 10 day.

Went 8 years without one, but no biggie I'll have 4+ in one year. lol

[HoodCanalBridge]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

It was kind of weird how it was not unusually hot in California during the big heatwave up here. This would be more typical. 

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Yeah... another GFS run this morning showing temps around 100 eventually in Portland.     Not a good trend right now.   

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It was kind of weird how it was not unusually hot in California during the big heatwave up here. This would be more typical. 

Yeah not a surprise another heatwave is coming. Pretty much the whole western US looks hot…going to be a long 2 months unless a big change in the weather pattern occurs. 

[Deweydog]

The amount of people who have no idea how to read an ensemble mean appears to be growing.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

There is definitely smoke aloft. The color of the daylight is being affected by it.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... another GFS run this morning showing temps around 100 eventually in Portland.     Not a good trend right now.   

Anyone who thinks this month will not be very similar to July 2014 or 2018 is just fooling themselves. 

[Phil]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

It's actually raining!    Not just drizzle either... but genuine rain.

That looks beautiful. I’d be chilling out on the porch all day.

[Timmy Supercell]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Anyone who thinks this month will not be very similar to July 2014 or 2018 is just fooling themselves. 

So another record one basically.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Timmy_Supercell said:

So another record one basically.

Top 5 warm seems like a lock.