OttumwaSnomow Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 3 hours ago, Hawkeye said: The entire weekend was yet another dud for my area. There is one more chance of a shower or storm late tonight as the upper low drops in from the nw. The model trend is to produce most of the rain north of CR. The 3kNAM misses us completely. I have finally enter the dry zone. Basically no rain in August, .08 once on a shower. If we miss out on the Tuesday precip I may be looking at a 15 to 20 period of no rain. Everything thing plenty green. But some new plantings are are struggling. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 Had a very heavy tiny cell track overhead yesterday dumping a little over .50" of beneficial rain. I was hoping to get a good drenching of the garden variety so I wouldn't have to water the plants and that is exactly what happened. ORD hit 92F yesterday making it the 15th day of the season hitting 90F or better which is avg for the season. Prob tack on a couple more days this week before we get into some more comfortable wx Fri-Sun. Looks like a top notch wx weekend on tap for Chicago. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 @bud2380 @dubuque473 appear to be benefiting from some heavy rains this morning... @Hawkeye, did you get anything overnight? The north side of CR looked to get swiped by a band of rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 No rain overnight. At this point, I just assume we'll get little or nothing so it won't be such a disappointment. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 It’s amazing how the storms keep missing much of eastern Iowa!I thought we surely should’ve seen one good round of storms by now, but it’s always north, south, or….. And yesterday’s clouds helped keep temps cooler, but didn’t help storm chances. Only up to 83° yesterday, but it felt much warmer with the high dews! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 Hot,Dry…rinse repeat.. till late this coming Sunday. We’ll see 99* through the week until a front brings us rain in the forecast this coming Sunday and through the week with temps 92-94*. it’s been an odd summer with rain, fronts and periods of rain. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 While not all that hot it has been very humid for the last 3 days. At Grand Rapids the dew points have been in the upper 60's to as high as the mid 70's over the last 3 days. The dew points at GRR have been a few degrees higher than other locations around the area. As I said while the humidly has been high the air temperatures have not been that high. The warmest accrual air temperature has been just 87 the highest dew point at Grand Rapids so far has been 75 and the reported highest heat index so far has been 94. At other locations the dew points have been between 2 to 5 degrees lower. The overnight low here at my house was 73 at the airport they reported a overnight low of 70. At this time it is cloudy and 77 here with a dew point of 71. The last reading at GRR was 75 with a dew point of 71. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 Just got hit by another torrential band of rain that lasted 10 min...the line forming over the norther burbs (where they need it most) is forecast to drift south and couple possibly turn into strong/severe storms later today. . HRRR at 5:00pm local time... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 Some very impressive rain overnight in parts of Iowa and over the last few days in WI and MN. Ever since the NWS destroyed their radar I haven't had a good site that I knew of to check radar estimated precip, but I have found a new one and it seems to be pretty accurate (link below for those that want to bookmark it). Nearly 8" fell near Charles City, IA last night. https://www.iweathernet.com/total-rainfall-map-24-hours-to-72-hours 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 This is unreal! I got 0.3" of rain on Thursday but very little this weekend. Cedar Rapids just keeps getting missed over and over again! Of course, the strong storms are going to develop to the east of here and Cedar Rapids gets nothing! This has easily been the lousiest summer I have seen here in a long time. We had better get something today or tomorrow because of course, Cedar Rapids looks to stay hot and dry for the rest of the month after this. We need a thunderstorm to sit over us and drop 4-6" of rain to help get rid of the drought. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 47 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Some very impressive rain overnight in parts of Iowa and over the last few days in WI and MN. Ever since the NWS destroyed their radar I haven't had a good site that I knew of to check radar estimated precip, but I have found a new one and it seems to be pretty accurate (link below for those that want to bookmark it). Nearly 8" fell near Charles City, IA last night. https://www.iweathernet.com/total-rainfall-map-24-hours-to-72-hours Was just coming in here to post that Nashua, IA received almost 9" of rain last night! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 3 hours ago, bud2380 said: Some very impressive rain overnight in parts of Iowa and over the last few days in WI and MN. Ever since the NWS destroyed their radar I haven't had a good site that I knew of to check radar estimated precip, but I have found a new one and it seems to be pretty accurate (link below for those that want to bookmark it). Nearly 8" fell near Charles City, IA last night. https://www.iweathernet.com/total-rainfall-map-24-hours-to-72-hours I had another part of this site bookmarked and kinda forgot about this map, so this reminded me again. Another site I like to use if I want to see more than the current day’s precipitation is the IEM Automated Data Plotter. There are plenty of color schemes and a choice of any time frame of any state, and or the entire Midwest too. Here’s a link…http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=84§or=IA&_ugc_state=IA&ugc=IAC153&src=mrms&opt=acc&usdm=no&ptype=c&sdate=2021%2F08%2F08&edate=2021%2F08%2F09&cmap=nipy_spectral&cmap_r=on&dpi=100&_fmt=png And for a quick check on the current day I often use this site, especially the first map which will take you to the Time Machine if you tap on it to check previous day’s precip. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/index.phtml/precipitation 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 Day 2 SPC outlook is appearing kind of stormy just northeast of me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 It is warm and humid here today here is the 4 pm readings from GRR Humidity 79% Wind Speed S 15 mph Barometer 29.90 in (1011.9 mb) Dewpoint 71°F (22°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 80°F (27°C) Last update 9 Aug 3:53 pm EDT Here at my house it is cloudy and t 80 with a dew point of 72. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 Tornado warned cell moving E of RFD at a slow crawl of 10mph....atmosphere gearing up for an interesting evening... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 First day of sports practice in Nebraska today. It is currently 95 with heat index of 103 with a 70 dew. My son is a sophomore playing football. I’m guessing it’s a little steamy in their helmets. I’m now coaching 7th and 8th grade football, and we don’t start practice until next Monday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 There have been reports of debris aloft on radar near Volo, IL where my brothers place is in Lake county. These storms are certainly dialing up some severe activity. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted August 9, 2021 Report Share Posted August 9, 2021 Gross. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 Nothing lower than upper 80s through day 10. Turning out to be a long summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 Omg Chicago pulled a Cedar Rapids! I’ve never seen storms dissipate so quickly lol ugh! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 This supercell is a beauty 2 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 # 2 worse day of summer. Incredible heat and humidity. High temp 94, High dewpoint 84!! And unfortunately I had to spend much of the day from 8am to 8pm outside. Horrible 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 One year ago today. Nice write up by NOAA. I was in bed awakened by my son (and wind) that the power had just gone out. The unusual thing about this derecho - at least where I live, (the strongest missed me to the N) was longevity of the severe winds. At least 15-20 mins first round followed by another 10-15 mins of 57+mph winds. Was out of power for exactly 50 hours. The longest stretch in my 18 years (now 19) in this house. Where were you when it happened if affected? https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/one-year-ago-the-midwest-derecho/ Another very detailed write up- https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/f98352e2153b4865b99ba53b86021b65 6 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 Coincidentally, on the anniversary of last year's Derecho, it was an eventful day across N IL yesterday with numerous Tornado's, but the one the caught my eye was the one up in McHenry county that track just south of my brothers place near Volo/Waucanda. There wasn't a warning even issued but spotters saw a brief tornado touch down. The heavens certainly blessed the northern burbs with heavy rainfall. My local reporting station indicates 1.17" of precip fell which sounds about right. Perfect scenario to be honest as I could pass on the severe stuff. Large wedge Tornado near Paw Paw, IL... Nice video of the tornado near Sycamore... Round 2 today??? On what will likely FEEL like the hottest day of the year, the NWS has issued the season's first Heat Advisory as Heat Index values reach the low 100's. Many of you have dealt with these sorta temps this season, so this will be the first time for my area. Thanks for sharing! Haha, j/k...the atmosphere should be primed for severe wx later this evening. I think this could be a big deal, esp front line winds if this line does come into fruition. Severe wx reports... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 I was sadly missed well off to the north by every thunderstorm last night. The window is closing for heavy rain, and I'm still in a severe drought. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 This weekend we will likely see a Hurricane track into the NE GOM where this years LRC hot spot exists. We had a weak tropical system develop in this region last cycle and this cycle should produce a stronger storm. Both the Euro/GFS show a storm hugging the west coast of FL... @Clinton, are you anywhere near this potential track??? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 This was from nearly 6 hours ago and way up by where Beltrami lives- but I do not recall a TS moving 85 mph before. Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 220 AM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021 MNZ006-100745- Lake Of The Woods MN- 220 AM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021 ...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Lake of the Woods County through 245 AM CDT... At 220 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7 miles northwest of Carp, or 48 miles east of Roseau, moving northeast at 85 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. This strong thunderstorm will be near... Baudette and Clementson around 230 AM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 4837 9486 4837 9495 4849 9516 4892 9469 4888 9468 4883 9471 4878 9469 4874 9464 4872 9459 4872 9456 4870 9454 4869 9445 4870 9443 4859 9443 TIME...MOT...LOC 0720Z 229DEG 74KT 4857 9477 MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH 2 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Tom said: This weekend we will likely see a Hurricane track into the NE GOM where this years LRC hot spot exists. We had a weak tropical system develop in this region last cycle and this cycle should produce a stronger storm. Both the Euro/GFS show a storm hugging the west coast of FL... @Clinton, are you anywhere near this potential track??? Yes I am but we will be leaving Friday so I think we'll be out of here on time. I would expect it to hit somewhere between Tampa and Panama City. I am currently just outside of Pensacola. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 Looks like some storms are about to roll through KC. Hope it cools things off up there I've heard it's been ridiculously hot. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 The HRRR continues to insist today's most widespread action will be from northern Missouri through central IL, with scattered cells farther north (more east of the river than west). Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 The 3kNAM, HRRR, and FV3 are all wildly different with the convection this afternoon and tonight. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 Well here at my house there was some lightning last night but there was no rain. 0.30" of rain did fall at the airport. The overnight low both here and at the airport was 71 at this time it is cloudy and 75 here with a dew point of 71. The last days have been warm and for this area very humid. So while NOT a heat wave it has been more like a humid wave. But the case can be made as to why there is no long term records keep for the dew points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 17 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: The 3kNAM, HRRR, and FV3 are all wildly different with the convection this afternoon and tonight. How do you think this is all going to play out? Do you think Cedar Rapids will get missed again, or do you think we are in a good spot to get heavy rain and strong thunderstorms? I would think the sunshine now would help us out and get stronger storms to develop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 It is going to be blistering hot here today! I wonder what will happen if we overshoot temps, in regards to the severe chances? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 22 minutes ago, Iowawx said: How do you think this is all going to play out? Do you think Cedar Rapids will get missed again, or do you think we are in a good spot to get heavy rain and strong thunderstorms? I would think the sunshine now would help us out and get stronger storms to develop. I expect there will be scattered cells in our area this evening. The instability is certainly there. We just have to get lucky for once. A year ago today we had high instability, but there was already a strengthening MCS moving in from the west. Today we are capped and have to hope it breaks in time to get storms before everything moves off to the east and south. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 Looks like the SPC has expanded the enhanced risk of severe weather to include CR. I sure hope the HRRR is wrong because that model has nothing here. The NAM has CR getting two rounds of strong storms. Having CR in the enhanced risk makes me feel better about us getting storms here later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 This is going to be another bust for svr weather for most of IA. The instability is sky high-- but need something to set it of. Not happening. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 3 hours ago, Hawkeye said: The 3kNAM, HRRR, and FV3 are all wildly different with the convection this afternoon and tonight. yep, sadly models are little help. Which is very often the case with severe weather. It just shows how long we still have to go in modeling severe storms. People always ask me if it's going to storm (because they know I watch the models) and I typically have to say, I really don't know. Some models say yes, some say no. You basically just have to watch the radar. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 I'm in a severe t-storm warning! That happened quickly. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 10, 2021 Report Share Posted August 10, 2021 1 inch hail reported just north of Waverly, IA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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