CentralNebWeather Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 It’s raining again. Thunderstorm Watch until 10 pm. Getting a steady rain here, no hail. Lots of thunder and lightning. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 Was gone all weekend. Got home a while ago and dumped out a surprising 1.1". Not liking the 7 day forecast. All 90s again 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 By Friday we will see a high of 94 which will be a relief. However Tuesday we can welcome a high of 90. What a relief! We’re very tired of these high and dry 90’s. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 We had a wonderful time on the Chicago river yesterday enjoying the Blue Angels put on a show. Tons of boaters, anglers and tourists were out and about in the city. As you will see below, skies were mostly clear and with a nice NE breeze off the lake and temps in the mid 70’s it was Perfection! Glad to have been able to see these jets fly overhead for about an hour. Edit: Apologies for the BLEEP in the last video...my excitement got to me when the jets literally flew right over us about a couple hundred feet! IMG_0703.MP4 IMG_0862.MOV IMG_0702.MP4 IMG_0701.MP4 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 Nice line of storms near @james1976 and heading towards CR...should provide a welcomed garden variety blessing... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 I’m wondering how far south these storms will sag. CR. is looking pretty good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 Looking real good for CR. I just ran out to get the gauge set up and move pots into the garage. The outflow was pretty gusty. At the moment it looks like storms will pass north of Sparky, but radar shows the outflow boundary diving south so more storms should bubble up behind it. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Tom said: Nice line of storms near @james1976 and heading towards CR...should provide a welcomed garden variety blessing... Yup! Lot of thunder and lightning woke me up. Picked up a nice 1.48" 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 What a great way to start the week. Glad we are getting this before the heat sets back in 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 What a summer. Another 1.40" overnight. Places 15 miles south of me picked up 4-6" or more in places. The bad news is this rainfall will only add to the dews this week that were going to be high anyway. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 Storms got closer than I expected, but the southward turn was a hair to late. Only some sprinkles with maybe a little shower soon at the tail end. My August total is only 0.30” attm. Before I finished typing this there were some close lightning strikes, so went to look at the clouds as another cell developed over and just a mile south. Had a good little downpour with brief high rainfall rates even with orange radar returns overhead. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 C.R. should be over 1” by now and maybe I.C. as well as places just east of me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 1.13" in my gauge. The rain lasted 90 minutes so it was able to soak in well. 5 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 Got 0.46” here. The first cell dropped .30” with about .15” from the last shower. Not much, but better than expected. (.65” half mile ne. and .85” three miles east.) I think C.R. and Waterloo had their driest summer (June-Aug.) on record before today’s rainfall nullified that. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 6 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: The bad news is this rainfall will only add to the dews this week that were going to be high anyway. That's the truth. Barely any rain here since June and the grass is fried but dews still have no issue hitting 70. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 OMG! I know its August, but, dang it, its going to be a scorcher the next 10 days and maybe longer. I don't see a below average day for all 16 days on the latest GFS 12Z run. (Maybe a few in there)Only thing that might give us a below average day would be if we get some convection 1 week from today. We have not had a wet summer, I would say more average. When we have received the rains, its been torrential rain. Pretty good rains in KC the last two weeks, but they have been fast rains and only lasting 2-3 hours. Temps have been above average for the summer and after this heat wave, we will finish August around +3. I would say a pretty typical summer here in KC. Warm Autumn you say, TOM?? I seen the map you posted from a long range model....WARM LRC complaint: Gary calls this year's LRC pattern a 46 day cycle. Today is August 23rd, -46 days gets you back to July 9th. Starting on July 10th and lasting 13 days, we had 2 days at average, 9 days below to well below average, and 2 days above average on temps. So, you would call this period a cooler then average pattern. I also had 4 days of rain totaling 3.1 inches. Fast forward 46 days, we are on the first day of what appears to be a 10 day heat wave and maybe longer with little to no moisture. My question, how is this cycling?? This is not the same pattern from 46 days ago. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 12 DAYS with zero rain at my house. Garden doing well, but my lawn is bye bye. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 18 minutes ago, MIKEKC said: OMG! I know its August, but, dang it, its going to be a scorcher the next 10 days and maybe longer. I don't see a below average day for all 16 days on the latest GFS 12Z run. (Maybe a few in there)Only thing that might give us a below average day would be if we get some convection 1 week from today. We have not had a wet summer, I would say more average. When we have received the rains, its been torrential rain. Pretty good rains in KC the last two weeks, but they have been fast rains and only lasting 2-3 hours. Temps have been above average for the summer and after this heat wave, we will finish August around +3. I would say a pretty typical summer here in KC. Warm Autumn you say, TOM?? I seen the map you posted from a long range model....WARM LRC complaint: Gary calls this year's LRC pattern a 46 day cycle. Today is August 23rd, -46 days gets you back to July 9th. Starting on July 10th and lasting 13 days, we had 2 days at average, 9 days below to well below average, and 2 days above average on temps. So, you would call this period a cooler then average pattern. I also had 4 days of rain totaling 3.1 inches. Fast forward 46 days, we are on the first day of what appears to be a 10 day heat wave and maybe longer with little to no moisture. My question, how is this cycling?? This is not the same pattern from 46 days ago. MikeKC, this is exactly what my post of few days ago suggested. IMO, the LRC is very useful and at times, it is by far one of the best LR forecasting tools in the Autumn, Winter and Spring...once we get into mid/late Summer, I feel that it looses its "umph" in forecasting. Is it bc the jet stream weakens? Or bc the cyclical pattern sorta fades away? I'm not completely sure but IMHO, it's much more difficult to predict the LR pattern in the months of July/Aug and into early Sept. Hurricanes are a bit different animal when trying to predict a potential track using the LRC but temp/precip patterns in the general CONUS is harder. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 Farmers are picking up irrigation pipe that they barely had to use this year. My brother in law said that center pivots are also done being used in this area, and also were barely used. What an odd summer with this much above normal precipitation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 It's miserably hot today, the only thing helping at all is a south breeze at 10 mph. Currently 94 with a HI of 108 dew point is 77. 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted August 23, 2021 Report Share Posted August 23, 2021 Only .15” over the weekend in MBY. Grass is definitely browning up. Chased yesterday in SoDak and had a great time. Amazing structure, big hail, and a tornado warning on a storm that tried really hard but the RFD was too strong. Will post some pics later. Meanwhile another day in paradise 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 8 hours ago, Sparky said: Got 0.46” here. The first cell dropped .30” with about .15” from the last shower. Not much, but better than expected. (.65” half mile ne. and .85” three miles east.) I think C.R. and Waterloo had their driest summer (June-Aug.) on record before today’s rainfall nullified that. Actually, I’m not sure about that statement after all. This chart was as of August 18. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Low 80s next week with 50s for lows? Hoping the local met is on to something. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Nice line of storms heading towards the MSP area this morning... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Boy, it's a soupy and muggy morning 77F/73F...hopefully this will provide the fuel for firing up storms later today...I like the latest trends off the long range HRRR that includes E IA into N IL/S WI... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Not 1, not 2...but 3...possibly 4 solid rounds of storms are targeting the northern regions by months end...blessings are underway! You couldn't script this any better than this but the idea that the northern half of the Sub will benefit from moisture is the epitome of what these maps show. #I80North...are we tracking yet??? That leads us into a new month which is looking like big changes are underway as we head into Labor Day. The idea that #Autumn is lurking as we flip the calendar is indeed showing merit, esp for those who have been Frying all summer long up north. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 We’ll see 3 more days in the high 90’s then the tropics will send us a week in the low90’s. Texas usually awaits tropical action to break into our back door and shake things up. The heat isn’t over but it’s a good sign. We’re so ready for that 1st cool morning. 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 While I would not call it a true "heatwave" the Grand Rapids area now has had 6 days in a row of highs in the mid to upper 80's and lows in the mid to upper 60's It has been rather humid also for the past 6 days. The overnight low here at my house was a mild 68. The official low at GRR looks to be 67. At this time here at my house it is cloudy and 71 with a dew point of 68 while at the airport the 8AM reading was 70 with a dew point there of 68. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Andie said: We’ll see 3 more days in the high 90’s then the tropics will send us a week in the low90’s. Texas usually awaits tropical action to break into our back door and shake things up. The heat isn’t over but it’s a good sign. We’re so ready for that 1st cool morning. I think the Gulf is about to get supper active in Sept, I think there is a chance of 3 or 4 hurricanes having an impact. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Heat index today for values from 104-109. Went to watch JV Football last night. Horribly muggy night and I wasn't playing in full pads. Boys were exhausted, but excited about the victory. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Heat index today for values from 104-109. Went to watch JV Football last night. Horribly muggy night and I wasn't playing in full pads. Boys were exhausted, but excited about the victory. Congrats! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Clinton said: I think the Gulf is about to get supper active in Sept, I think there is a chance of 3 or 4 hurricanes having an impact. Completely agree. Yucatán looks ripe for TS. All of this tropical air will eventually collide in Texas with cooler air. Late summer weather in Texas may be about to get bumpy. We’ve seen it many times but few pay attention it until it explodes into big weather and is a lot more fun tracking. 4 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Severe Thunderstorm Warning for my county. 60mph wind and gulf ball sized hail possible. Currently 91 and feels like 100. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Very heavy rain here at work. Also some pea sized hail and very windy. Power briefly went out. Severe Thunderstorm Watch out now til 7pm. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 94F/72F with HI of 102F...ORD has hit the highest temp of the year but not quite the hottest "feeling"... 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 Temp has dropped to 72. More development trailing back into west central IA. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 The thunderstorm track may be similar to yesterday morning except this time we’re approaching peak heating! Might get interesting after awhile, but the CAMS seem to be pretty clueless in not showing much action where storms currently are and may move. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 1 minute ago, james1976 said: Temp has dropped to 72. More development trailing back into west central IA. I like that. Hopefully it will increase and eventually all sink further south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 24, 2021 Report Share Posted August 24, 2021 6 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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