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August Wx Obs in the Pacific Northwest


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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Could you give me a link to that site Rob? The one I use has a date that’s stuck in last October.

I use this one

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/show_diagrams.php?geoid=135643&model=gfs&var=201&run=0&lid=ENS&bw=

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Consequence of there being literally no episodes of moist southerly or SW flow since that event in mid June.

Unusual even for a dry summer. And the leeward side of the Olympics have been completely cut off.

By next spring/summer there will likely be some pretty broad swaths of tree mortality scattered around the region. Kind of like the central Sierra saw 5-7 years ago. Which of course sets the stage nicely for catastrophic fires.

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5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Consequence of there being literally no episodes of moist southerly or SW flow since that event in mid June.

Unusual even for a dry summer. And the leeward side of the Olympics have been completely cut off.

Yeah... the lack of SW flow rain has been quite frustrating.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

By next spring/summer there will likely be some pretty broad swaths of tree mortality scattered around the region. Kind of like the central Sierra saw 5-7 years ago. Which of course sets the stage nicely for catastrophic fires.

It’s okay…. Boats boats boats and more boats! In da watah.

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

It’s okay…. Boats boats boats and more boats! In da watah.

Lakes around here are full... should we not enjoy our blessings?     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, Jesse said:

By next spring/summer there will likely be some pretty broad swaths of tree mortality scattered around the region. Kind of like the central Sierra saw 5-7 years ago. Which of course sets the stage nicely for catastrophic fires.

Springfield is literally Paradise.

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Lakes around here are full... should we not enjoy our blessings?     

Did you somehow think this was directed at you? 😆 Did I say anything about YOU or anyone about not being able to enjoy your times in the waters? Don’t think I did. 

I live by a lake so it was a post about a lot of boats being in the water with this type of weather because Lake WA is filled with them this year. More than ever. 

 

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2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

So much for that goal!! Wasn't even close in the end.

1689869232_ScreenShot2021-08-31at12_02_33PM.thumb.png.b5c92e0c904d9806d2a16fc1726603af.png

He'll forever and ever be the goat of the forum ;)

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

He'll forever and ever be the goat of the forum ;)

Tom Brady type goat?   👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Tom Brady type goat?   👍

The greatest of the goats ;)

apps.26057.13882037073203566.da1afb62-bb11-43df-b6aa-9b0deb8f35d9.jpg

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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10 minutes ago, Kayla said:

So much for that goal!! Wasn't even close in the end.

1689869232_ScreenShot2021-08-31at12_02_33PM.thumb.png.b5c92e0c904d9806d2a16fc1726603af.png

Absolutely crushed it!! If this was a marathon, Tim already at the finish line while we all had just hit the 1km marker. 😆

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is farther north with the weekend rain and scales back amounts for western WA.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_48hr_inch-0886400.png

Had a feeling that was going to happen. 

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Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

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4 minutes ago, Jesse said:

This summer has been pure evil. Right down to the troughing the last 1/2 of this month to give everyone a false sense of hope that the nightmare could actually be ending.

image.jpeg.c86f5e0430667acb43ca436336ca8927.jpeg

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Yes this summer has been awesome Matt. Attack and mock everyone who thinks otherwise. 

Just you.🥰

Everyone else who dishes it out can take it.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Good news is that the 12Z ECMWF is less amplified next week compared to the 00Z run.

One, maybe two days in the low 90’s down here. If this is the early September spike that seemed inevitable, I’d call that a win.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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I never thought this suckfest would end before October. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

That’s not true at all but whatever. Pretty wide range of personalities on here.

I mostly liked the pic for the demonic dog in the background.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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After another dry September, another October 2019 would be a kick in the only nut we have left. 

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Good news is that the 12Z ECMWF is less amplified next week compared to the 00Z run.

This of course will be reasonable for up here but not for neighbors to the south. Not really complaining but would nice to have some precip tho. If anything, the heat shown seems like a quick hitter and moves out. No staying power. 

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1 minute ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

One of these years, we aren't going to green up in the fall. By the time the wetting rains come, the days will be too short and lack sufficient warmth to grow grass. 

I think it was last year or one of the recent falls that was close. 

Or we will enter a different regime that is wet again... even if the climate is still warming.     These things are not so linear as they seem in the moment.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I actually managed tp pick up 0.03" last night.  A lot of little ones have added up to about 1/3" this month.

  • Rain 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is farther north with the weekend rain and scales back amounts for western WA.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_48hr_inch-0886400.png

Why does it seem like this is the same type of post Tim would make about snow in Winter?  

Answer: Because it screws most of us.

Let the denial begin.

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8 minutes ago, Randyc321 said:

Why does it seem like this is the same type of post Tim would make about snow in Winter?  

Answer: Because it screws most of us.

Let the denial begin.

This makes no sense... if it showed way more rain than the previous run then I would have posted that as well.    Right now I am looking for any rainfall maps that would be favorable for the entire area.    If you don't like what is happening... take it up with mother nature.  

I also mentioned that the 12Z ECMWF shows rain next Thursday and that was way different than the 00Z run.   Here is that map for that event... and I am very sorry that it misses you again.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_24hr_inch-1275200.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This makes no sense... if it showed way more rain the previous run then I would have posted that as well.    Right now I am looking for any rainfall maps that would be favorable for the entire area.    

I also mentioned that the 12Z ECMWF shows rain next Thursday and that was way different than the 00Z run.   Here is that map for that event:

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_24hr_inch-1275200.png

But you won't post it until someone mentions it!

Oh Tim knows.... Tim knows very well!😉

 

btw, I'm just yanking your chain. :P

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This makes no sense... if it showed way more rain the previous run then I would have posted that as well.    Right now I am looking for any rainfall maps that would be favorable for the entire area.    

I also mentioned that the 12Z ECMWF shows rain next Thursday and that was way different than the 00Z run.   Here is that map for that event:

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_24hr_inch-1275200.png

Just having some fun Tim.  Gotta get your fun where you can now a days.

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1 minute ago, Randyc321 said:

Just having some fun Tim.  Gotta get your fun where you can now a days.

Regardless of the map... someone is always getting screwed and gets surly about it.  🤪

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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