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August Wx Obs in the Pacific Northwest


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2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Today will be two minutes and fifty eight seconds SHORTER than yesterday! 😌🙌

Sunrise at 6am, too!

Good riddance summer. Useless f**king season.

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yeah I just want to vomit every morning with scenes like this until we are back to 46 degree drizzle day after day…Can’t wait!! 

144DABCC-1025-479F-B97A-9B32D123AC91.jpeg

Summer is useless except for the fact that it provides us almost all of our food.    😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Summer is useless except for the fact that it provides us almost all of our food.    😀

Please.  Some of us here are on a strict diet of musk glands and squid testicles.

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2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Low of 70 this morning at PDX. Should be a new August record.

Checking in with the non-UHI afflicted stations...

EUG's record is 66. They hit at least 64.

OLM is 62. They did not come close with a low of at least 57.

 

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A forum for the end of the world.

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17 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Checking in with the non-UHI afflicted stations...

EUG's record is 66. They hit at least 64.

OLM is 62. They did not come close with a low of at least 57.

 

Let's check back in on Friday and see if those records still stand...

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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18 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Checking in with the non-UHI afflicted stations...

EUG's record is 66. They hit at least 64.

OLM is 62. They did not come close with a low of at least 57.

 

Looks like it was also a little bit colder in Vostok last night with a low of -98.

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Of course with an oversimplified attempt to downplay things, a little context is left out.

Essentially all valley locations stayed well into the 60’s this morning, even radiational havens. This after a day where the warmest locations were in the mid 90’s, dew points were about average and clear skies/calm winds.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It's easier to score record warm temps at stations with increased UHI. Is what it is.

I hear it's also easier for all stations to avoid record warm temps when we don't have the assistance of near record warm airmasses over the region. It is what it is.

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The 06z only had 1-2 days 90+ for SLE after this weekend. Brrr.... Seriously though it didn't look horrible. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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44 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Checking in with the non-UHI afflicted stations...

EUG's record is 66. They hit at least 64.

OLM is 62. They did not come close with a low of at least 57.

 

Ok.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

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(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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23 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Chances are no daily records are going to be threatened. 103 for today's record in 1992, and 101 tomorrow also in 1992.

That was the same year we had a June heatwave and a couple of those records still stand in Klamath Falls.

Analog for next winter? 

I hope so as 1992-1993 might be the best Tahoe winter ever. 90 straight days of cold and snow. No rain and no extended dry spells. The spring started right at the beginning of March. 

This video was taken in town (Aka banana belt) at the 6 minute mark you can see how deep the snow pack was at the end of Feb. 

 

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It’s gonna feel real good going from mid 90s on Friday to mid to upper 70s Sunday. Mid 70s at 10am is yuck. 

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Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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2 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I hope so as 1992-1993 might be the best Tahoe winter ever. 90 straight days of cold and snow. No rain and no extended dry spells. The spring started right at the beginning of March. 

It was one of the 10 snowiest seasons in Klamath Falls. Old station had about 80" (some localized totals over 90").

At the time it was the snowiest since the 50's winters. May have been the last time that downtown has seen depths 30" or over. 

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https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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92-93 is off the table as that was the Pinatubo winter.

Things getting really smoky and stagnant here. Air quality deteriorating fast and inside the house the smoke is giving me a headache on the side of my head with the RNS. 😞

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

I hear it's also easier for all stations to avoid record warm temps when we don't have the assistance of near record warm airmasses over the region. It is what it is.

Of course. Gotta have the very warm air mass regardless. 

An athlete has to have legitimate athletic skills to compete for a world record, if they are on PEDs they have a better chance of getting it. Sort of similar when a station has UHI enhancement vs their long term record.

A forum for the end of the world.

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4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

92-93 is off the table as that was the Pinatubo winter.

Things getting really smoky and stagnant here. Air quality deteriorating fast and inside the house the smoke is giving me a headache on the side of my head with the RNS. 😞

I feel you on that. The smoke headaches are terrible. I also feel lethargic and unmotivated when it gets Smokey. 

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Of course with an oversimplified attempt to downplay things, a little context is left out.

Essentially all valley locations stayed well into the 60’s this morning, even radiational havens. This after a day where the warmest locations were in the mid 90’s, dew points were about average and clear skies/calm winds.

Not oversimplifying at all. Stations like OLM and EUG actually add more context.

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25 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

92-93 is off the table as that was the Pinatubo winter.

Things getting really smoky and stagnant here. Air quality deteriorating fast and inside the house the smoke is giving me a headache on the side of my head with the RNS. 😞

Sorry about that, man. Visiting Spokane the other weekend was rough, even without any head issues. Headaches, dizziness, everything... if you are outside in the smoke for too long it just suuuucs. hang in there

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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14 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

The 12z WRF-GFS 4km keeps PDX under 100 through this heatwave. The HRRR likes 106 tomorrow and the NAM 3km likes 103. 

 

For the last heatwave, the GFS was the king. We'll see what happens this time.

The run up to this heatwave has been pretty unusual. There still is quite a bit of model variability even 24 hours out. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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26 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Not oversimplifying at all. Stations like OLM and EUG actually add more context.

Not sure what it proves other than the fact that at stations that typically decouple efficiently, their warm season record max/mins default to setups where something effectively f*cks with the boundary layer.

That said, it’s worth mentioning that Eugene’s morning low was a +12 while PDX was a +9…

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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It is pretty hazy out there, but at this point I don't see smoke impacting temps to a ridiculous degree. Maybe something like August 2017, which could have set some all-time records if smoke hadn't taken a few degrees off temps. Something akin to September 2017 is probably a worst case scenario, that probably bumped temps down 5 to MAYBE 10 degrees in places. What we saw last September was an extreme scenario, we do not have multiple 200K acre fires burning in close proximity to us as we saw then. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Not sure what it proves other than the fact that at stations that typically decouple efficiently, their warm season record max/mins default to setups where something effectively f*cks with the boundary layer.

That said, it’s worth mentioning that Eugene’s morning low was a +12 while PDX was a +9…

So it's all about decoupling, UHI is irrelevant? That's what it sounds like you're saying. 

I disagree. The proof is there when you look at overall anomalies vs stations with increased UHI. Or look at number of daily records set. Or monthly records.

The decoupling aspect washes out with those. 

A forum for the end of the world.

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It is pretty hazy out there, but at this point I don't see smoke impacting temps to a ridiculous degree. Maybe something like August 2017, which could have set some all-time records if smoke hadn't taken a few degrees off temps. Something akin to September 2017 is probably a worst case scenario, that probably bumped temps down 5 to MAYBE 10 degrees in places. What we saw last September was an extreme scenario, we do not have multiple 200K acre fires burning in close proximity to us as we saw then. 

I'll never forget highs in the upper 60s and somehow it feeling hot, sticky, and everything covered in grime.

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1 minute ago, iFred said:

I'll never forget highs in the upper 60s and somehow it feeling hot, sticky, and everything covered in grime.

The weirdest was when we were allowed back in to check on our animals, it was Sunday afternoon (We had evacuated on Tuesday morning), temps in the valley were in the mid-60s, but it was mid-80s up at our house above the inversion the smoke had created. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Looks like smoke may be impacting temps down in the Rogue Valley. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Euro has Tacoma at 91, 96 and 91 the next 3 days. Probably will hit 80 by noon here…78 currently. 

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Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

So it's all about decoupling, UHI is irrelevant? That's what it sounds like you're saying. 

I disagree. The proof is there when you look at overall anomalies vs stations with increased UHI. Or look at number of daily records set. Or monthly records.

The decoupling aspect washes out with those. 

Areas without UHI don’t decouple well. It’s basic meteorology.  Shallow inversions just don’t get a chance to establish themselves. Rarely do you see PDX see intra-hour temp falls of more than a degree or two because of it.

This is why spots like Eugene or Olympia’s warm season record lows are almost always going to be associated with some sort of mixing or cloud cover. It really doesn’t seem all that complicated…

At any rate, last night was pretty f*cked up warm here in the valley, all things considered.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Hoquiam is already up to 82, 4 degrees above NWS forecasted high, busted.

85 here.

They always bust the forecasts in that area during heatwaves based on your reports. 

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Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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12Z ECMWF shows really nice timing... Sunday is still warm and sunny until the evening and then King County gets in on some nice c-zone action on Sunday night into Monday morning.    

A warm, sunny weekend which is immediately followed by rain to water everything for free... perfect!  👍

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_12hr_inch-9126000.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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57 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

92-93 is off the table as that was the Pinatubo winter.

Things getting really smoky and stagnant here. Air quality deteriorating fast and inside the house the smoke is giving me a headache on the side of my head with the RNS. 😞

Unfortunately your right on the line of the smoke based on satellite imagery. 

Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows really nice timing... Sunday is still warm and sunny until the evening and then King County gets in on some nice c-zone action on Sunday night into Monday morning.    

A warm, sunny weekend which is immediately followed by rain to water everything for free... perfect!  👍

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_12hr_inch-9126000.png

That doesn’t look too far off of what the last rain event was like…just less rainfall overall. 

Monthly rainfall-0.81”

Cold season rainfall-15.96”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-42

Coldest Low-34

 

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And then sunny across the entire area by Monday afternoon on the 12Z ECMWF... with cool temps and clean air.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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