Jump to content
The Weather Forums

September Wx Obs for the PacNW (2021 Edition)


Recommended Posts

Brothers coming up this week from PDX and we’re golfing Chambers Bay early Thursday.  Looks like we will just be squeezing in a dry game a golf before the rains begin. Dang….haven’t even checked my gutters yet !!! I need to get busy if this is the beginning of our wet season this year!

Ended up with .07 yesterday

58* now and had a low of 52*

  • Like 6
  • Rain 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Brothers coming up this week from PDX and we’re golfing Chambers Bay early Thursday.  Looks like we will just be squeezing in a dry game a golf before the rains begin. Dang….haven’t even checked my gutters yet !!! I need to get busy if this is the beginning of our wet season this year!

Ended up with .07 yesterday

58* now and had a low of 52*

my gutter problems revealed themselves yesterday with the souping. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Haha. You’re going to have to lower PDX’s forecast based on 2020/2021 climatology. 
 

Oh, did I bust high on PDX? Sorry not to give under-performance credit where credit is due! 😉

Link to comment
Share on other sites

57 after a low of 46.  A nice day on the way.  Ended up with .12" of precip is all from our little event, and .18" for the month.  Now I want the grass to dry out enough to mow before the deluge.

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Acer said:

57 after a low of 46.  A nice day on the way.  Ended up with .12" of precip is all from our little event, and .18" for the month.  Now I want the grass to dry out enough to mow before the deluge.

 

Lol Jesse would’ve definitely given this a downvote 😂

  • Sun 1
  • Troll 2

Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12Z GFS is wetter and also quicker to rebound... it shows temps back into the 70s on Monday and around 80 by Tuesday.

  • Excited 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... it will definitely end the fire season which is already fading.   I don't see much smoke on the satellite now.

We really got lucky only having low level smoke just 2 days this summer. For how dry and hot that it was that’s pretty miraculous actually. Thought for sure we would be re-doing September 2020 all over again this year. 

  • Like 3

Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gfs shows an incredible amount of rain in a 24 hour period. We would be close to our average monthly September precip by the end of the weekend. We ll see. 

  • Like 6
  • Storm 1
  • Rain 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

We really got lucky only having low level smoke just 2 days this summer. For how dry and hot that it was that’s pretty miraculous actually. Thought for sure we would be re-doing September 2020 all over again this year. 

Yeah... smoke was not really much of an issue for us up here.   Much better than I feared back in late June.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gfs shows an incredible amount of rain in a 24 hour period. We would be close to our average monthly September precip by the end of the weekend. We ll see. 

Guess it’s mother nature’s way of making up for the last few months. Totals will probably come down closer to reality as we go through the week but still think it’s safe to say fall will be starting with a bang. 

Monthly rainfall-2.23”

Cold season rainfall-

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-63

Coldest Low-42

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A nice wet system, but we are still a few weeks away from a true start to the rainy season. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

GFS ensemble totals thru next Tuesday morning. Wetter than the evening or overnight run.

GFS ensemble precip totals.png

Nice regional soaking. 12z UKMET rainfall amounts through Sunday 5am.

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

  • Like 3
  • Rain 2

<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Nice regional soaking. 12z UKMET rainfall amounts through Sunday 5am.

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

Almost 4” here. Outstanding. 

  • Like 2
  • Excited 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

image.thumb.png.2f3306cd0861cbce01b7c5a69fe22b24.png

Not half bad. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Added to my list this morning as well 

I am off today, sounds like a good idea. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

One year ago. Might not see a map like this for a long while. 

A little later Level 1 included Wilsonville. 

119143592_3321597924592738_4572160907173049082_n.jpg

  • Like 1

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12Z ECMWF is wet!  

Also interesting how quickly the pattern changes in 2 days from Sunday to Tuesday... not sure I believe this yet but that is quite a flip in a short time span.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-2052800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-2268800.png

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
  • Storm 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Dynamic pattern!

Phriday looks phun.

Makes me all woolly inside. 🐛

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

GFS ensemble totals thru next Tuesday morning. Wetter than the evening or overnight run.

GFS ensemble precip totals.png

Crap, looks like its going to be a busy project week, gotta get the lawn mowed and moss killer on the roof today (sorry mossman), then I need to get my kayak hung back from the garage ceiling so I can pull my car in to clean/check my sunroof drains.

 

That said, glad to see the rains coming in...

  • Excited 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Crap, looks like its going to be a busy project week, gotta get the lawn mowed and moss killer on the roof today (sorry mossman), then I need to get my kayak hung back from the garage ceiling so I can pull my car in to clean/check my sunroof drains.

 

That said, glad to see the rains coming in...

Lawns down here have been dead since May. 

  • Like 1
  • Sun 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

One year ago. Might not see a map like this for a long while. 

A little later Level 1 included Wilsonville. 

119143592_3321597924592738_4572160907173049082_n.jpg

The black dot is approximately the location of my house... it wasn’t looking good there for a while. 

08C784F0-5D77-4967-84D7-992438C9DA9C.jpeg

  • Storm 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Lawns down here have been dead since May. 

I have a small enough yard that I can water and keep it somewhat green (and barely growing).  It has started growing more over the past few weeks with the cooler weather and occasional rain we have gotten up here.  If we get half of what is projected, my back yard will get pretty swampy, so better get it done while I can.  I'll be curious what it will be like after the .78" we got yesterday.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I have a small enough yard that I can water and keep it somewhat green (and barely growing).  It has started growing more over the past few weeks with the cooler weather and occasional rain we have gotten up here.  If we get half of what is projected, my back yard will get pretty swampy, so better get it done while I can.  I'll be curious what it will be like after the .78" we got yesterday.

A couple more like Friday's rain will be a decently wet month for southern Oregon.

However what will push me up to 2019's precip will be a really good thunderstorm before that season ends.

  • Like 1

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (9)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 08/05, 08/13, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Crap, looks like its going to be a busy project week, gotta get the lawn mowed and moss killer on the roof today (sorry mossman), then I need to get my kayak hung back from the garage ceiling so I can pull my car in to clean/check my sunroof drains.

 

That said, glad to see the rains coming in...

Doing the overhead storage of the kayaks was a life changer.

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I haven't watered in a couple of weeks, the rain we have gotten has gotten it this green...

IMG_1561.jpg

We’ve only had about 1/4” in the past 3 months. I have been strategically watering for a few weeks and the longer nights have helped things green up. The pasture is still dead. The rain this weekend might be early enough to get it to green up before it goes dormant in late October. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Doing the overhead storage of the kayaks was a life changer.

It was fine with my 14' but I added a 17' a few years ago and that one is a giant PITA.  Between shelves along the wall, upright freezer and a big rolling tool chest, plus the fact that my garage is only about 6" wider than my kayak it long, it sucks putting it away and taking it down.  I actually want to build an outbuilding to house them.  I have a plan in mind, but lumber has been too expensive (I think it is finally coming down).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

38 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

It was fine with my 14' but I added a 17' a few years ago and that one is a giant PITA.  Between shelves along the wall, upright freezer and a big rolling tool chest, plus the fact that my garage is only about 6" wider than my kayak it long, it sucks putting it away and taking it down.  I actually want to build an outbuilding to house them.  I have a plan in mind, but lumber has been too expensive (I think it is finally coming down).

We have four 10 footers, which we stacked in the corner one winter until the lightbulb (thanks to YouTube) finally went off. We’re lucky to have a deep third bay so we had lots of room to ratchet them up into the cold season oblivion.

  • Like 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Cloud said:

Our AC just went down… Good for about 3 months this year. Any warmup from here on out the fan will have to do. Thinking of also doing some gutter and drain inspection later in preparation for the rainy season. 

Can't imagine needing AC any more... even we do get into a warm pattern.     The nights are long and the house does not heat up like it does in the summer.

  • Like 2

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Can't imagine needing AC any more... even we do get into a warm pattern.     The nights are long and the house does not heat up like it does in the summer.

Yeah! I was actually thinking of taking it down back in late August but the thought was there could be a couple days warmup in September that we need to use it. We used it during those 79-80F days along with a couple of humid nights, even though it was not necessary. 
 

At this stage, it’s no longer needed and it’ll just be a waste of electricity if we do. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...