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September Wx Obs for the PacNW (2021 Edition)


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7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A3C40653-8361-48C4-A9ED-124FE3B6E757.jpeg

I suspect there’ll be a lot more blue next month than indicated by that map. Especially mid/late month.

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13 hours ago, Phil said:

Several locations in W-WA saw more snowfall in Feb 2019 than Dec 2008. Also, the upper level pattern was more persistent and remained in place longer in Feb/Mar 2019 than Dec 2008.

Yes, but the snowfall was much more widespread in Dec 2008. I think that is what makes 2008 so memorable. Feb 2019 was epically snowy for for Seattle, but Portland and Vancouver for the most part missed out on the winter fun.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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31 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

On a family ski trip as a kid we went to bachelor and the conditions were just the worst. Winds blowing so hard, couldnt see 10 ft in front of your face, just miserable. Got stuck on the chairlift for like 20 minutes in what seemed like hurricane force winds. Couldnt see the ground, or the chairs in front or behind you, swinging like crazy...nightmare stuff for a 10 year old. 

Wow yeah that’s pretty scary…the even today with a light breeze I felt a little uneasy in the lift going up lol. Not going to the top today…just going to hang out at a little spot up the hill at about 8300’ for a bit and come back down. Don’t really have the right gear to make it to the top some of the snow drifts even down here are a couple feet deep. 

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Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Yes, but the snowfall was much more widespread in Dec 2008. I think that is what makes 2008 so memorable. Feb 2019 was epically snowy for for Seattle, but Portland and Vancouver for the most part missed out on the winter fun.

February 2019 was a much different animal to me. It was not as intense as December 2008, but had longer duration. 2008 happening during the holiday season automatically makes it more memorable. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Cutoff low off the California coast appears out of nowhere. 

The EC's ol' cutoff bias showing.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

February 2019 was a much different animal to me. It was not as intense as December 2008, but had longer duration. 2008 happening during the holiday season automatically makes it more memorable. 

Locals probably won't remember Feb 2019 here despite being one of the snowiest. Snowed all month long in K-Falls but had no 6+ inch snowstorms. That one went down to the little details and did not close any schools I don't think.

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https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Yes, but the snowfall was much more widespread in Dec 2008. I think that is what makes 2008 so memorable. Feb 2019 was epically snowy for for Seattle, but Portland and Vancouver for the most part missed out on the winter fun.

Solidly wet Snotel maps did extend all the way to southern OR and I'm guessing Mount Shasta area come spring time that year. In that regard Feb '19 was very widespread. The maps that January ran below throughout.

Redding also had a good snowstorm late that month and stirred up quite a few accidents. 

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https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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43 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

So nice to have fresh, clean air and snow back in the mountains.  Kind of a dream to get a good soaking rain and a dusting of snow then right back to sun.  If we could just repeat this every week through October...

242397999_10225091304823394_8113579398070143676_n.jpg

Was so amazing to be able to have a bunch of snow and then no clouds or smoke afterwards. Had an amazing hike today up in the snow hope you did as well. 

Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Huge change on the 18Z GFS... significant rain event for WA one week from today and Oregon by the next day.

Kind of weird, ridging quickly rebuilds once the front moves through. 

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Kind of weird, ridging quickly rebuilds once the front moves through. 

 

Yeah... but we are seeing ridging build in fast behind this past storm as well so it can happen.   Huge 500mb pattern flip in progress right now.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... but we are seeing ridging build in fast behind this past storm as well so it can happen.   Huge 500mb pattern flip in progress right now.  

True. That would be nice. Hope it happens. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Absolutely beautiful day!  Crisp, clear, clean.  63F.  Yesterday was amazing watching the weather change here in the convergence zone.  Rained most of the day with on and off showers, but some impressive cloud formations and colors.  It was fantastic including a few claps of thunder and torrential rain.  Here are a few bad photos I took of all that. 

2021-09-19 18.51.36.jpg

2021-09-19 19.34.40.jpg

2021-09-19 19.34.52.jpg

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I find it amazing how fast the grass can green up again after this last rain event. In our front yard, the 4 corners and the edge where the burnt grass meets the sidewalk are starting to green up again already (quite noticeable). Will see more spreading of this next few days as moisture continues to seep through and we get more sunshine during the day/dew during the night.

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2 hours ago, Cloud said:

I find it amazing how fast the grass can green up again after this last rain event. In our front yard, the 4 corners and the edge where the burnt grass meets the sidewalk are starting to green up again already (quite noticeable). Will see more spreading of this next few days as moisture continues to seep through and we get more sunshine during the day/dew during the night.

So true. Already noticing some green poking up and those dead, dry layers around the alive bits in the middle being shed. Could look much different come this time next week.

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1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Look at how clear the image is…particularly over northern CA and the Oregon cascades. Only smoke in the whole picture is way in southern CA. That storm with all the heavy rain and high elevation snow has really paid off. 

542B6978-4735-4447-98B6-9C1D4DFFC36E.jpeg

As it currently stands, there is no distinguishable large scale fires that be picked up on IR for most of the NW and northern Cal. The smoke you see in SoCal can still be picked up on IR. 

I'm sure there are still some fires going on but the last rain event was a huge help. 

CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-regional-w_northwest-07-02_56Z-20210921_map_-20-1n-10-100.gif

CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-regional-w_southwest-07-02_56Z-20210921_map_-10-1n-10-100.gif

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1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Look at how clear the image is…particularly over northern CA and the Oregon cascades. Only smoke in the whole picture is way in southern CA. That storm with all the heavy rain and high elevation snow has really paid off. 

542B6978-4735-4447-98B6-9C1D4DFFC36E.jpeg

It's over.

A forum for the end of the world.

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5 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Solidly wet Snotel maps did extend all the way to southern OR and I'm guessing Mount Shasta area come spring time that year. In that regard Feb '19 was very widespread. The maps that January ran below throughout.

Redding also had a good snowstorm late that month and stirred up quite a few accidents. 

We had one rain storm sneak in during the middle of Feb 2019 that kept it from being a top 5 month all time. Even with the rain we still had 140" of snow for the month and the snow pack stuck around till late May in town which is very rare.

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73/48 today for downtown Springfield. Not a cloud in the sky all day! Should be some pretty stars tonight.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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37 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

73/48 today for downtown Springfield. Not a cloud in the sky all day! Should be some pretty stars tonight.

Was walking from my dorm to an event earlier and the moon looked wonderfully bright. Surely there are some great dark sky spots near here.

Are you starting to get inversion fog in the Eugene area? We had it here this morning.

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24 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Was walking from my dorm to an event earlier and the moon looked wonderfully bright. Surely there are some great dark sky spots near here.

Are you starting to get inversion fog in the Eugene area? We had it here this morning.

Northwest Eugene, the airport and Junction City areas can but Springfield has weird topography that makes it happen less somehow.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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0z shows couple of systems rolling through next 10 days to close out the month. 1st one a week from now, followed by a stronger one. Bulk of the moisture appears to aim at Van. Is. but that could change. 
 

Beyond that, more instability and fall-like. 

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    It's funny how King Euro always wins no matter how much updates the GFS has.........which by now SHOULD be obvious to all but dope heads on the underlying problems of the GFS and it's 10 day cold bias. 

 It's beyond sad the GFS fans can't understand why everyone around them is snickering to them it's an invisible joke. 

   Free public hint: If the people who program these weather models are 'bad' no amount of updates will fix stupid people.

Euro always says 'hold ya horses' when it comes to invisible cold air and pretty D**n good at hurricane predictions as well when it comes down to it.

  The way the GFS has been we should've had a record cold summer with all those 10 or 7 day 'teases' that are solid model 'locks' to certain posters on here. OMG! GFS SAYS ARTIC AIR AT DAY 10 WITH 850MB DOWN TO....................For every time someone said on here that I'd be richer then Scrooge Mc Duck! I'd make him look like the poor house!

 

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24 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:
Too tired to post the EURO tonight. Have a good night all.

You can always tell by whether certain people log in on here by which way the weather models trend. It acts as it's own long range barometer. 

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Precip totals for the EC forecast period. Most of this falls a week from now down here.EC precip totals.png

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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