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September Wx Obs for the PacNW (2021 Edition)


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Was talking to someone from the Medford area today. They said a lot of people are moving out of the rogue valley due to the drought/smoke. Says they are heading to Washington.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Was talking to someone from the Medford area today. They said a lot of people are moving out of the rogue valley due to the drought/smoke. Says they are heading to Washington.

Just looked at housing prices in Medford and wow it’s affordable. 

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7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Just looked at housing prices in Medford and wow it’s affordable. 

Compared to up there. Just think about where prices were 5-6 years ago. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Was talking to someone from the Medford area today. They said a lot of people are moving out of the rogue valley due to the drought/smoke. Says they are heading to Washington.

North Bend, WA just doubled in population ;)

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14 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Just looked at housing prices in Medford and wow it’s affordable. 

I thought all of the PNW went a little higher in real estate this last year. This is smaller than Medford and homes went up 2.5 to 3x their former value over here. It was hard for homes over 100,000 to sell when we got ours. Just sold it to someone near 200k (in pending now).

Suppose if you compare to Seattle/Portland yeah very affordable to come to a smaller city.

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3 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Lack of snow showing up. Kinda expected since it’s September 

9B3F9267-4D1D-4E32-BA7A-F33077FEF469.jpeg

Yup. I have seen September snow hit the mountains many times. I do not think I have ever seen it last into winter, except at the highest elevations. There is always a warm spell that then proceeds to melt the vast majority of it.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Yup. I have seen September snow hit the mountains many times. I do not think I have ever seen it last into winter, except at the highest elevations. There is always a warm spell that then proceeds to melt the vast majority of it.

I've seen November kill any high elevation snow before. It can occasionally hit 70 degrees here like we did in November 2016. The following winter was a big one.

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2 hours ago, Severus Snape said:

I hope the entire west sees a cold and wet fall and winter this year. 

How many inches of snow does it take to shut down or have 2 hour delays in Hogwarts when the news says 'hundreds of schools shut in Scotland and Wales' 

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9 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

I've seen November kill any high elevation snow before. It can occasionally hit 70 degrees here like we did in November 2016. The following winter was a big one.

November being super-warm is a bit of a bummer, but it really doesn’t mean much if a September snowfall melts completely away. Temperature norms in September and much of October just do not favor snowpack that builds.

More generally, while people here wish it when there’s a cold fall, there just does not seem to be that much correlation between temperatures in October and those in midwinter. Not in this part of the world, at least.

The one thing that is meaningful is the amount of precipitation most of us have recently received. It is going to be very hard at this stage for things to get thoroughly dried out until next spring or summer. (And once you get as far north as I am, it is basically impossible at this stage.) Fire season is over.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 minutes ago, Link said:

Clouds cleared out and very stagnant skies now.   PS: For all you Switch owners on here or fans the big direct of the year is happening like RIGHT NOW!!!!! 😲😲😲  Will it be ✔ or a big 🤮

Going to get a Switch at the new house, whatever city it may be. If Spokane is tough, might go further east to another state.

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2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

November being super-warm is a bit of a bummer, but it really doesn’t mean much if a September snowfall melts completely away. Temperature norms in September and much of October just do not favor snowpack that builds.

More generally, while people here wish it when there’s a cold fall, there just does not seem to be that much correlation between temperatures in October and those in midwinter. Not in this part of the world, at least.

The one thing that is meaningful is the amount of precipitation most of us have received. It is going to be very hard at this stage for things to get thoroughly dried out until next spring or summer. (And once you get as far north as I am, it is basically impossible at this stage.) Fire season is over.

I guess October can be a wild card too. We have seen waves of 80-85+ then 2 months later get a nice December dumping of snow (2015), or like last year I had the warmest first 2 weeks of October since the 1990's and winter was a big dud.

I just don't want another dry one. There seems to at least be a correlation between dry Octobers and winters that suck with the exception of 2013 of course.

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6 minutes ago, Link said:

Clouds cleared out and very stagnant skies now.   PS: For all you Switch owners on here or fans the big direct of the year is happening like RIGHT NOW!!!!! 😲😲😲  Will it be ✔ or a big 🤮

Gonna see if there are any botw2 news…. Hopeful for today . If not today, the last chance for them to make any botw2 update this year will be the game awards in December. 

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6 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Going to get a Switch at the new house, whatever city it may be. If Spokane is tough, might go further east to another state.

You should just wait for the new gen switch to come out. 

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43 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Going to get a Switch at the new house, whatever city it may be. If Spokane is tough, might go further east to another state.

It's so close to the time to get a Switch 2 might as well wait. Don't bother.  BOTW2 is going to be optimized for the new machine and you'll be glad you waited for the better version.

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39 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Gonna see if there are any botw2 news…. Hopeful for today . If not today, the last chance for them to make any botw2 update this year will be the game awards in December. 

Chances of that happening are..........🤮👎👎👎.  Seriously what's their track record of announcing anything big at the game awards?

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1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Just looked at housing prices in Medford and wow it’s affordable. 

It is but Medford really doesn't have much to offer in my opinion. I moved here 11 years ago and in all honesty all it has grown is fast food chains and hotels near the freeway. This is a just passing through town. I think the town in OR that has grown and it's more expensive than it used to be has to be Bend. 

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2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Really strange and refreshing to see these open troughs paint the whole region with precipitation. We've been so used to seeing these tight jet extensions deliver rain to the northern half of the region, creating a sharp n/s precip gradient.

Silver Falls park is really seeing the effects of the new climate literally in vegetation changes.  The 'rain' we had did very little and it's as dry as Redding. Never seen it so brown up there. Silver Falls State Park and brown ground don't easily go together. 

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9 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Looking stormy for our trip to Lincoln City next week. Any recommendations on places to visit for good views and wave action?  I’m thinking we’ll go north up the coast one day and south another.  

Inn At Spanish Head. Top floor. Grab some Mo's and sit and watch the storm.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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1 minute ago, T-Town said:

We have a house in Lincoln City. Any outdoor locations for ocean wave viewing?

Roads End on Logan Road.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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49 minutes ago, MWG said:

It is but Medford really doesn't have much to offer in my opinion. I moved here 11 years ago and in all honesty all it has grown is fast food chains and hotels near the freeway. This is a just passing through town. I think the town in OR that has grown and it's more expensive than it used to be has to be Bend. 

Bend 🤢

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, Link said:

Chances of that happening are..........🤮👎👎👎.  Seriously what's their track record of announcing anything big at the game awards?

I’m actually excited to see them announcing the N64 and Genesis expac. Those are some nostalgic OG games. 

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29 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Looking stormy for our trip to Lincoln City next week. Any recommendations on places to visit for good views and wave action?  I’m thinking we’ll go north up the coast one day and south another.  

Boiler Bay has good waves.  Depoe Bay is a fun place to watch for resident gray whales. I enjoy looking for agates and have found good ones at Fogarty Creek and at the south end of Lincoln City near Moe's.

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2 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

Boiler Bay has good waves.  Depoe Bay is a fun place to watch for resident gray whales. I enjoy looking for agates and have found good ones at Fogarty Creek and at the south end of Lincoln City near Moe's.

Cool, thanks!  We stayed in a place called the channel house many years ago in depoe bay. Will be fun to check that area out again. 

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High of 69 at SEA today.

69 is the new 79 there.  SEA has hit 69 or 79 on 12 days in the last month... that is almost half the days falling just short of reaching the 70s or 80s.   😁

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Up to 75F and beautiful.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Good chance we end September with over 4” of rain or more by the looks of the models…hadn’t really checked them the last few days. Wettest September’s here are 2010 (5.23”) and 2013 (5.95”).

Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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Just now, MossMan said:

Something that most people will find shocking here, but late September is one of my favorite times of the year. Especially days like today! BBQ’ing after work while watching Football on the deck through the window and the sound piped in through our deck sound system while the kids and dogs play outside…LOVE IT! 
66/51 on the day. 

AB77C02F-2173-4008-8309-8DE9255D381C.jpeg

8BF0D32B-D664-46F1-AFE9-007DA018FAD1.jpeg

It’s a very nice month as long as it’s not smoky. Got lucky this year! 

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Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Something that most people will find shocking here, but late September is one of my favorite times of the year. Especially days like today! BBQ’ing after work while watching Football on the deck through the window and the sound piped in through our deck sound system while the kids and dogs play outside…LOVE IT! 
66/51 on the day. 

AB77C02F-2173-4008-8309-8DE9255D381C.jpeg

8BF0D32B-D664-46F1-AFE9-007DA018FAD1.jpeg

You know I have to....

Salmon w/ cheese?

 

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3 hours ago, T-Town said:

Looking stormy for our trip to Lincoln City next week. Any recommendations on places to visit for good views and wave action?  I’m thinking we’ll go north up the coast one day and south another.  

Will be down there as well salmon fishing out of Garibaldi and Nehalem pending what area is getting the fish. 

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