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September Wx Obs for the PacNW (2021 Edition)


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Crazy weather day !! Just heard about the tornado….possible boat capsized Barview jetty area. Coast guard had spotlight into the water unless they were running a drill.  The Barview jetty watch tower was active as well.  Find out in the morning if a boat went down.  Meanwhile countless lightning flashes happening out at sea with a beautiful star field above me.  

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1 minute ago, Jginmartini said:

Crazy weather day !! Just heard about the tornado….possible boat capsized Barview jetty area. Coast guard had spotlight into the water unless they were running a drill.  The Barview jetty watch tower was active as well.  Find out in the morning if a boat went down.  Meanwhile countless lightning flashes happening out at sea with a beautiful star field above me.  

That sounds like a nice view. Not sure if thunderstorms will make it inland here overnight. 

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Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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16 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

What a fun evening!  Tornado track about a mile north of my house, my guess is an EF-0, possibly a low end EF-1.  Was able to forecast it about 20 minutes ahead of me seeing power flashes and calling 911.  Very minor damage but the sound of it was pretty intense!  I was able to get right into the wind field and watch large tree branches go down.  I'm going to head out tomorrow and look at more damage, tree on car etc.

I can't post the video here but it's on my Facebook or your local news.

The video is from my house looking north, notice the rotation toward the bottom, and another opposite rotation toward the upper right just after.

243176019_10225130082752818_2703626626010942567_n.jpg

243320344_10225130082352808_2637438447132969691_n.jpg

242933277_10225130082032800_4969192675240940973_n.jpg

Good stuff Tyler... You're all over #pnwwx Twitter right now. In your home video I noticed a prominent anticyclone in front of the parent circulation. Very dynamic storm.

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19 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:
 

What a fun evening!  Tornado track about a mile north of my house, my guess is an EF-0, possibly a low end EF-1.  Was able to forecast it about 20 minutes ahead of me seeing power flashes and calling 911.  Very minor damage but the sound of it was pretty intense!  I was able to get right into the wind field and watch large tree branches go down.  I'm going to head out tomorrow and look at more damage, tree on car etc.

I can't post the video here but it's on my Facebook or your local news.

The video is from my house looking north, notice the rotation toward the bottom, and another opposite rotation toward the upper right just after.

243176019_10225130082752818_2703626626010942567_n.jpg

243320344_10225130082352808_2637438447132969691_n.jpg

242933277_10225130082032800_4969192675240940973_n.jpg

 

 

So cool and glad you're okay! I was watching King 5 and saw your name and video and had to come on here to see if you'd posted.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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No doubt the plot is beginning to thicken as winter approaches! 

Another interesting thing is the GFS continues to forecast high temps in record low max territory on Wednesday for the Puget Sound region.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Kind of interesting how so many places are killing it for rainfall over the past couple days, and here we just can't seem to manage anything too impressive.  About 0.25" yesterday and another 0.4" or so today.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Kind of interesting how so many places are killing it for rainfall over the past couple days, and here we just can't seem to manage anything too impressive.  About 0.25" yesterday and another 0.4" or so today.

You have my sympathies.

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14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

No doubt the plot is beginning to thicken as winter approaches! 

Another interesting thing is the GFS continues to forecast high temps in record low max territory on Wednesday for the Puget Sound region.

Has the plot ever NOT thickened here as winter approaches?

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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The GFS and ECMWF both have a strong positive height anomaly in the sweet spot (Aleutians / GOA) to bring a sharp cold trough to the NW sometime in the 8 to 10 day period.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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43 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Has the plot ever NOT thickened here as winter approaches?

A few years come to mind.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 30

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Finished yesterday with a 60/51 temp spread and 0.80” on the day. 1.08” storm total and 3.31” of rain MTD. Looks like it’s raining again too. 

Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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Interesting to see the STJ taking charge in the medium/long range. Don’t always see that during La Niña.

Would really help the folks in CA.

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Guys!!!

I’ve reached MENTOR status!

Congratulatory gift cards to GI Joe’s and Mervyn’s California are welcome!

Remember to react and reply to everything, post pretty photos, and post constantly so you can artificially boost your forum points

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Pouring out there. Over 1/2” overnight.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, smerfylicious said:

Deeper Nina forecast than last year. Strongest in a decade. Could use a few more like this :)

 

nino34Mon.gif

Actually... the western US could really use a Nino.   Maybe a few of them.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Good stuff Tyler... You're all over #pnwwx Twitter right now. In your home video I noticed a prominent anticyclone in front of the parent circulation. Very dynamic storm.

Yes!  Saw that while viewing, interesting feature.

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Monsoon conditions. Wettest September since 2013.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Have a good shot at our first sub 60 day of the fall here as well. Will see how high the monthly rain total climbs by Thursday at midnight will certainly be atleast 4”. 3.32” MTD now. 

Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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9 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Guys!!!

I’ve reached MENTOR status!

Congratulatory gift cards to GI Joe’s and Mervyn’s California are welcome!

All I can offer are these Incredible Universe gift cards.

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