Niko Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Temps are dropping like a rock imby. Already down to 40F under crystal clear skies and most importantly calm winds. Lows should bottom out at 32F or slightly lower. Tbh, I would not be surprised if some areas fall into the upper 20s. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 15 minutes ago, Niko said: Temps are dropping like a rock imby. Already down to 40F under crystal clear skies and most importantly calm winds. Lows should bottom out at 32F or slightly lower. Tbh, I would not be surprised if some areas fall into the upper 20s. Trees are ready to be triggered. Should be great. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 29 minutes ago, Niko said: @ClintonKeep an eye on the sky tomorrow for severe weather. Though it looks like the storms could form a tad east of you. Nevertheless, stay alert! Will do. Those will be big storms in central Missouri, they are forecasted to get going right over me. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 13 minutes ago, Clinton said: Will do. Those will be big storms in central Missouri, they are forecasted to get going right over me. Its gonna get wild tomorrow at yby. Some of those storms could produce tornadoes and very large hail. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Niko said: Its gonna get wild tomorrow at yby. Some of those storms could produce tornadoes and very large hail. They call it Tornado Alley for a good reason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 3 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: And I’m still living rent free in your head. In fact I’m obviously on your mind so much, you’re now posting and commenting on the thread that’s not even for your part of the country. Something you never did until the politics thread was shut down. Sad. I don't think the politics thread was shut down. Fred just hid the Off Topic boards from the Team Qwerty people - you, me, and Sparky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Alright, alright....it's about showtime...convection starting to blow up right along the IA/MO border and producing some drenching training storms. Flood Watches hoisted from near @OttumwaSnomow in SE IA/IL/N IN. Gotta say, this storm track and overall intensity reminds me of the GHD II Blizzard back in Feb '15. There have been similar system as such but that one strikes me as one that could be used as a reference point. Check out this link below...the precip totals look eerily similar. (https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/winter_storm_summaries/event_reviews/2015/Southwest_Northeast_WinterStorm_Jan2015.pdf) Check this out...I mean, how close can you get??? Banana HP to the north, SLP right over KC and then the backside Lake Effect...I'll see you soon again, I'm sure... SLP tracks over N IN into NW OH back then....models forecasting a nearly identical location! Fascinating stuff right there... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 0z Euro serving up a broad area of 2"+ qpf... 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 D**n, the lake is going to be rocking....50+mph wind gusts and waves up to 16 Feet! Yikes! @jaster220, is this what you were looking for??? 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 8 hours ago, Grizzcoat said: Thats for Eppley 1935-36 to present. For Omaha area pre 1935-36 -- here is the list. Why 1983 is not on the above list is unknown. Clearly official climate was taken at Eppley in 1983. I have reached out to Omaha NWS as to why / what is going on with 1983 not being included in the Eppley data per my connections with NWS in DSM.. Probably something I'am not aware of. But it's odd they would not include 1983 in Eppley data. I will post a follow up if/when i hear back. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 It is foggy and 35 here at my house. I went outside and there is no frost here in my neighborhood. However, at GRR they report a temperature of 31 with freezing fog. There was yet another 0.13″ of rain fall here yesterday most of that came in a heavy lake effect rain shower. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 So far this morning the rain shield kinda hit a wall around Cedar Rapids. We will have to wait for a better surge later. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Small line of thunderstorms pushing through this morning has been nice to wake up to. Looking ahead to this afternoon both the 3km NAM and HRRR have a strong line of storms to my east near hwy 65. I wouldn't be surprised if the SPC shifts both the slight risk and enhanced risk further east today which is fine with me. I don't want my football interrupted by some D**n tornado. @OmahaSnowFan north central MO between Marshal and Moberly might be a good chasing spot today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 This is from Gary's blog this morning discussing todays storm and the monster of a storm showing up mid-week. Exciting times ahead, also of note is that LRC cycles in La Nina years tend to be shorter typically less than 52 days. It has snowed in three straight Octobers, and this storm is the type of storm that can do it, but it will be way too warm in this first LRC cycle. When this part of the pattern cycles back through in December, it may very well be a major snowstorm. So, remember these two storm systems as they are in this year's cycling pattern that has started out rather fascinating. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Clinton said: Small line of thunderstorms pushing through this morning has been nice to wake up to. Looking ahead to this afternoon both the 3km NAM and HRRR have a strong line of storms to my east near hwy 65. I wouldn't be surprised if the SPC shifts both the slight risk and enhanced risk further east today which is fine with me. I don't want my football interrupted by some D**n tornado. @OmahaSnowFan north central MO between Marshal and Moberly might be a good chasing spot today. I’m thinking the same thing and staying closer to the warm front 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 4 hours ago, Tom said: D**n, the lake is going to be rocking....50+mph wind gusts and waves up to 16 Feet! Yikes! @jaster220, is this what you were looking for??? Tom buddy, you read my mind. Over night I was thinking about Niko's comment that this would be a 1-2 footer around Detroit (which is rare air historically speaking). Then I thought, wait a minute, they actually did get that size of storm (now #3 all time) with GHD-2's 16.7" total. I was like "oh, this would be GHD-2 with winds from the bliz of '99". Boom! Great minds arrive at the same point. EDIT: Like how "later forecasts may increase wind gusts"! 4 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 6 hours ago, Tom said: Alright, alright....it's about showtime...convection starting to blow up right along the IA/MO border and producing some drenching training storms. Flood Watches hoisted from near @OttumwaSnomow in SE IA/IL/N IN. Gotta say, this storm track and overall intensity reminds me of the GHD II Blizzard back in Feb '15. There have been similar system as such but that one strikes me as one that could be used as a reference point. Check out this link below...the precip totals look eerily similar. (https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/winter_storm_summaries/event_reviews/2015/Southwest_Northeast_WinterStorm_Jan2015.pdf) Check this out...I mean, how close can you get??? Banana HP to the north, SLP right over KC and then the backside Lake Effect...I'll see you soon again, I'm sure... SLP tracks over N IN into NW OH back then....models forecasting a nearly identical location! Fascinating stuff right there... Ikr? Deja-vu all over again. Per your Euro graphic tho, I think this is poised to deliver even more qpf hence my reference to the "moisture bomb" that was January of '67 when 10:1 ratios delivered 28" of snow on 2.8" of liquid at Battle Creek. This would have record book ingredients for sure were it winter. Interesting how another storm that same year (11-22-15) was yet another W to E big dog. #wildstuff 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 LOL Apparently we had some dense citizens in these communities earlier 1 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Marshall airport was at or below freezing for a solid 6 hrs overnight, so first freeze in the bag and colors can commence in earnest. Meanwhile over here in the banana belt of western Motown, we barely managed 36F (KDTW) very briefly. Some HI effects due to the concrete no doubt. Hafta find some more rural obs just to my west as it likely was cooler. I know north of Ann Arbor already hit the upper 30s twice. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: Tom buddy, you read my mind. Over night I was thinking about Niko's comment that this would be a 1-2 footer around Detroit (which is rare air historically speaking). Then I thought, wait a minute, they actually did get that size of storm (now #3 all time) with GHD-2's 16.7" total. I was like "oh, this would be GHD-2 with winds from the bliz of '99". Boom! Great minds arrive at the same point. EDIT: Like how "later forecasts may increase wind gusts"! Exactly! Haha, I was looking at the wind comment as well. The rain will be blowing sideways. Good day to chill at home, eat soup (that I just finished) and watch some football. Enjoy the storm! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 The GFS has been locked into the mid to late week system for days. The UK and Euro have been flopping north and south, but came back north last night. The GFS is showing solid rain here for 48 straight hours as the big upper low sits and spins. The EastPac hurricane moisture gets pulled up into this system. 2 1 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 GRR's early am AFD by one of their least enthusiastic mets is lame sh*t I could've written. Quote .DISCUSSION...(Today through next Saturday) Issued at 308 AM EDT Sun Oct 24 2021 Heavy rain event across southern Lower Michigan tonight into Monday. QPF over 2 inches possible across southern zones with an inch or more across the central forecast area. Plains cyclogenesis occurring as a shortwave trough moves out of the larger scale troughing across the western CONUS. Surface low tracks south of Lower Michigan tonight into Monday with an area of strong mid-level warm advection and frontogenesis moving across our area. There is some elevated instability as well along and north of the surface warm front so embedded convection is possible across the far southern zones overnight, which would enhance rainfall rates/totals. Meanwhile, DTX way out-performs and treats the system with it's due. Was always the other way around. The world has flipped. Quote .PREV DISCUSSION... Issued at 354 AM EDT Sun Oct 24 2021 DISCUSSION... A relatively long duration rain event is forecasted for Southeast Michigan late today and Monday as a strong area of low pressure tracks from the Central Plains to the western basin of Lake Erie. A strong potential vorticity anomaly ejecting into the lee of the Rocky Mountains has resulted in spin cyclogenesis with a 998mb surface low in far SW KS. Models have been extremely consistent in forecasting a very dynamic system across the Midwest today/tonight as the strong upper level dynamics shift eastward. One of the most notable aspects of the forecast data has been with regards to the degree/strength of the deep tropospheric frontogenesis that will occur in the eastern flank of the system. The warm/thetae advection appears to occur more as a step function with a series of warm advection surges. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 The Canadian is a bit farther west with the heavy rain Wed/Thu. Update: The UK is even farther west than this, showing 3" of rain in a north-sound band through Omaha. At this point, I have to think the GFS may be pushing the trough eastward too quickly and the other models are right in holding it back west a bit longer and then wrapping up the upper low farther south. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 25 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: The Canadian is a bit farther west with the heavy rain Wed/Thu. Update: The UK is even farther west than this, showing 3" of rain in a north-sound band through Omaha. At this point, I have to think the GFS may be pushing the trough eastward too quickly and the other models are right in holding it back west a bit longer and then wrapping up the upper low farther south. I agree and wow what a storm. It's hard to imagine another storm in the pattern impacting a larger area than this one. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Already at 1.9” of rain with lots more coming. Temps have been in the mid 40s with lots of thunder and lightning 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 6z Euro members further west vs12z GFS members. Hope the Euro right. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Over an inch at LNK so far. Probably a little less in SE Lincoln, but currently heaviest rain of the day. I wouldn't be surprised to exceed 2". Edit: Wow absolute downpour. You would think this is a July storm with less thunder, except it's October and 48 degrees 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 12 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: I don't think the politics thread was shut down. Fred just hid the Off Topic boards from the Team Qwerty people - you, me, and Sparky. Can confirm, you all were being atrociously annoying and he blocked you from the thread. It's very much still up and rolling, albeit with more level heads now. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: The Canadian is a bit farther west with the heavy rain Wed/Thu. Good, good.... 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Rain is coming and it will pour that's for sure. Temps are holding in the low 50s. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Tornado Watch until 10pm. First Tornado Watch for KC in 880 days. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Can you picture this w cold air around during Winter here in SMI how and what the outlook would be...... Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 418 AM EDT Sun Oct 24 2021 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-250830- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 418 AM EDT Sun Oct 24 2021 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A long duration rainfall event is expected Sunday afternoon through Monday evening. The heaviest rainfall totals of 2 inches or more will be possible from I-94 southward. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Windy conditions, gusts of 35 to 45 mph, are expected along the Lake Huron shoreline Monday and Monday night. A Lakeshore Flood Advisory is in effect from 4 AM Monday through 8 AM Tuesday. Refer to latest Lakeshore Hazard Message for more details. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Iowa City Airport already reporting about 1.25” today. I see I’m driving through a Tornado watch covering almost all of Missouri. Hopefully we clear the severe stuff before it develops. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Already at 1.9” of rain with lots more coming. Temps have been in the mid 40s with lots of thunder and lightning Make sure to post any pictures of tornadoes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 5 hours ago, Clinton said: This is from Gary's blog this morning discussing todays storm and the monster of a storm showing up mid-week. Exciting times ahead, also of note is that LRC cycles in La Nina years tend to be shorter typically less than 52 days. It has snowed in three straight Octobers, and this storm is the type of storm that can do it, but it will be way too warm in this first LRC cycle. When this part of the pattern cycles back through in December, it may very well be a major snowstorm. So, remember these two storm systems as they are in this year's cycling pattern that has started out rather fascinating. I know what the southern end of this psttern is capable of, too. Let's get this party started, is all I can say. I've been ready for 4 years. Lol. I'm not calling off my calls for this to be a monster winter here. The first of a generation of them. Not all mega winters, but an era of real winters. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 26 minutes ago, Niko said: Can you picture this w cold air around during Winter here in SMI how and what the outlook would be...... Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 418 AM EDT Sun Oct 24 2021 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-250830- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 418 AM EDT Sun Oct 24 2021 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A long duration rainfall event is expected Sunday afternoon through Monday evening. The heaviest rainfall totals of 2 inches or more will be possible from I-94 southward. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Windy conditions, gusts of 35 to 45 mph, are expected along the Lake Huron shoreline Monday and Monday night. A Lakeshore Flood Advisory is in effect from 4 AM Monday through 8 AM Tuesday. Refer to latest Lakeshore Hazard Message for more details. Gordon Lightfoot, anyone? Yikes! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 My gauge has almost an inch now and there's plenty more on the way... about 12 hours worth. Man, I'd love to bottle this system and bring it out again in December or January. 5 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 45 and its getting windier. Lot of leaves coming down now. So far 0.65" This would be an epic winter storm. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Strong line of storms about 20 min to my west. Looks like they're about to go severe. 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Had a 50mph wind gust and 1/2inch of rain, but it's all over now and the sun is shining. Storm total for this one was 1.25 inches. On to the next one. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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