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PNW October 2021, Pumpkin Spice Edition


The Blob
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7 minutes ago, The Blob said:

I was checking the apps and it did look chilly. My son asked me to make him a sweater so now I have to jump on that. 

That is totally cool!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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This looks like it could be an honest to goodness cold October this year.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Has Seattle, Tacoma or Olympia ever recorded October snow? I remember Oct 2006 Halloween seeing some flurries falling down near McChord when I stayed out there never did stick though

Know thyself and you shall know the Gods!!!!

All things are possible, who you are is limited by who you think you are!!!!

☥𓂀

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Lip-chapping cold to close the month. Coldest temps of the year on my birthday this time? We shall see…

  • Snow 2

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 14 (Most recent: Dec 3, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Dec 5, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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gfs_T2m_nwus_26.thumb.png.135ac0e158cbee6a88006d5cb522aca6.png

Early look at next Wednesday night shows the coldest temperatures of the season, upper 30s at SeaTac and surely frosts and subfreezing temperatures in cooler spots.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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3 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

gfs_T2m_nwus_26.thumb.png.135ac0e158cbee6a88006d5cb522aca6.png

Early look at next Wednesday night shows the coldest temperatures of the season, upper 30s at SeaTac and surely frosts and subfreezing temperatures in cooler spots.

Yup, could easily see frost in my neighborhood if that verifies.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Now 50˚F after an overnight low of 44˚F.

Yesterday's low was 49˚F at 10:15 pm. Clouds came in and it warmed up after then (only to clear out and resume cooling after midnight). High yesterday was 63˚F… at 2:00 am. Yes, am not pm (downsloping winds peaked then). Weird day.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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26 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

October 2019.

 

That month doesn’t get much attention since it was cold anomalies in October so it didn’t produce much besides cold overnight lows and chilly crisp days. Statistically speaking it was pretty anomalous though. One of my favorite weather months was beautiful. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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14 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

That month doesn’t get much attention since it was cold anomalies in October so it didn’t produce much besides cold overnight lows and chilly crisp days. Statistically speaking it was pretty anomalous though. One of my favorite weather months was beautiful. 

Most impressive is that it actually wound up tying October 1919 as the coldest on record for the region (OR, WA, ID). 

February 2019 by comparison was the 12th coldest on record for the region and no other month since May 2011 ranks in the top 15.

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15 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Most impressive is that it actually wound up tying October 1919 as the coldest on record for the region (OR, WA, ID). 

February 2019 by comparison was the 12th coldest on record for the region and no other month since May 2011 ranks in the top 15.

Makes sense I didn't remember Oct 2019 as being particularly cold. I was in L.A. that month and it was the usual offshore wind / wildfire / smokefest down there. I recorded a +4.1 departure for the month.

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11 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z GFS says we could have some gusty winds in Ocean Shores as a 998mb low makes its way off the coast on Tuesday AM.

sfcgust_mph.us_state_wa (1).png

I need a big windstorm, I'm a windstorm lover much like Michael Snyder and look mainly for that, thunderstorms second then snow and so on. Looking forward to a Columbus Day storm repeat one of these days before I leave this earth :)

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Know thyself and you shall know the Gods!!!!

All things are possible, who you are is limited by who you think you are!!!!

☥𓂀

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Seem's like this, Twitter (#WAWX) (#ORWX) and Facebook's PDX WX Analysis is the best to stay up with the latest. NWS only makes discussions certain times of the day, Cliff Mass mainly writes forecasts on Friday's unless something very active is coming and all other sites don't really have much going on.   

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Know thyself and you shall know the Gods!!!!

All things are possible, who you are is limited by who you think you are!!!!

☥𓂀

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Now that a new water year is upon us, let's commemorate '20-'21 water year!

Plant of the year 2021 award goes to - Sagebrush!

14499023536_e60a4c6b55_k.jpg

cc4d2443009cd7d10d7b0150d9281f26.jpg

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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3 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Now that a new water year is upon us, let's commemorate '20-'21 water year!

Plant of the year 2021 award goes to - Sagebrush!

14499023536_e60a4c6b55_k.jpg

cc4d2443009cd7d10d7b0150d9281f26.jpg

Sad to see Sagebrush environment disappearing 

Know thyself and you shall know the Gods!!!!

All things are possible, who you are is limited by who you think you are!!!!

☥𓂀

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35 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

Makes sense I didn't remember Oct 2019 as being particularly cold. I was in L.A. that month and it was the usual offshore wind / wildfire / smokefest down there. I recorded a +4.1 departure for the month.

Regionally Oct 2019 was a cool one. It was 2 months in a row that ran considerably cooler than 1981-2010 normal in fact that September/October. As long as it actually rains this time in October I'd be happy with it.

But November and December both torched. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1 hour ago, Spiritual Chris WX said:

I need a big windstorm, I'm a windstorm lover much like Michael Snyder and look mainly for that, thunderstorms second then snow and so on. Looking forward to a Columbus Day storm repeat one of these days before I leave this earth :)

Hey, a fellow windstorm lover!! We are in the minority here but I am also looking forward to a great Windstorm! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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14 minutes ago, Cloud said:

There are 2 October threads… which one do we use? I’m only here for the pumpkin spice. 
 

regardless, looks to be a tad chilly next week and possible freezing in some of the outlier areas.

 

This one has more popularity and hours older. Just be sure this one gets pinned.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Hey, a fellow windstorm lover!! We are in the minority here but I am also looking forward to a great Windstorm! 

Going on nearly 7 years since a non-convective wind strong enough to knock power out. (I'm not counting dry east wind)

  • Sad 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Hey, a fellow windstorm lover!! We are in the minority here but I am also looking forward to a great Windstorm! 

Ehhh I’d say it’s 50/50 on the forum don’t think there’s really a majority that like or dislike windstorms. They’re fascinating for sure but the damage afterwards sucks. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Ehhh I’d say it’s 50/50 on the forum don’t think there’s really a majority that like or dislike windstorms. They’re fascinating for sure but the damage afterwards sucks. 

Count me as a windstorm disliker. There are many large Douglas Firs on my property and adjacent ones that are within a few dozen feet of my home. I take a lot of pride in my landscape too and 100 pound branches falling from 50 feet up are not good for whatever they land on. My heart gets pumping whenever the wind really gets howling. 

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4 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Count me as a windstorm disliker. There are many large Douglas Firs on my property and adjacent ones that are within a few dozen feet of my home. I take a lot of pride in my landscape too and 100 pound branches falling from 50 feet up are not good for whatever they land on. My heart gets pumping whenever the wind really gets howling. 

I definitely understand that. Damaging as they may be they’re also beneficial to the ecosystem getting rid of weak/dead trees and limbs. Some things we just can’t control so I just enjoy the excitement and hope that nobody’s injured during it. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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13 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

00z GFS Ensembles - 850mb temps/Precip

Wet, chilly, and mountain snows.

Portland

ens_image.php?geoid=135728&var=201&run=0

Seattle

ens_image.php?geoid=136221&var=201&run=0

Consistent with 12z ensembles too - perhaps a bit more consolidation of members around the mean prior to the 11th. Sweet to see such good precip chances coming with the cold too, excellent start for mountain snowpack. Interesting that there seems to be such a wide spread of ensemble means for Seattle with the upcoming "spike" for next wednesday, which has basically disappeared and now the mean is below the LT average on the 12z. 

 ens_image.png.c8bd2859c1c83e6870e465f6dce04fbe.png189208263_ens_image(1).png.74692f5abfc687cca411685d7f5e289e.png

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15 minutes ago, snow drift said:

2007 shows up once again.

 

814analog.off.gif

1956 and 71 too. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

1956 and 71 too. 

Coastal Gale of Dec '07 and Jan 2008 was a nice pack producer.

  • Snow 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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