SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 2 hours ago, Kayla said: @SilverFallsAndrew When are you headed to Montana to camp again? Early next week is looking increasingly snowy/cold... We were thinking of hitting up wyoming instead... might have to go even further south! 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 21 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: I may be heading out there in about 3 weeks, I'll be anxiously watching the weather there as it gets closer. I would love to see some cold/snow, but I'm coming out to watch my son, and I've heard Bobcat stadium can get pretty brutal as it gets into late October into November, so maybe it holds off until after the game Montana teams are kind of crushing it this year! We went to a couple of snow games our first couple of years here. It is always a fun atmosphere but the energy in a snow game brings it up to another level! Mid to late October is normally when we see our first significant snows so this year looks to be right on track. As long as we don't see below zero weather again this month then I'm okay with it! 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: For those scoring at home, regardless of how the next four weeks play December is still going be mash potatoes and gravy. Pineapples. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 81/35 today! Hopefully the last 80 of the year. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 44 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: I may be heading out there in about 3 weeks, I'll be anxiously watching the weather there as it gets closer. I would love to see some cold/snow, but I'm coming out to watch my son, and I've heard Bobcat stadium can get pretty brutal as it gets into late October into November, so maybe it holds off until after the game Your boy plays football out there, thats awesome!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 53/57˚F for the day with 0.04" of sprinkles. The recent pattern of odd timings continues; that 57˚F reading was at 3:40 am. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We were thinking of hitting up wyoming instead... might have to go even further south! Yeah...Colorado looks pretty nice next week! Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 30 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: That is a long time. Dallas Texas had 8 sub-freezing highs last winter. If it can happen there then it can happen in Oregon. Looks like Medford's last one was 1/6/2017 as well. I thought they had one in Feb 2019 but 34 was their coldest. I guess go east of the cascades for the cold. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: That is a long time. Dallas Texas had 8 sub-freezing highs last winter. If it can happen there then it can happen in Oregon. Dallas all time coldest temp is -8 in 1899.....it might be easier to get colder weather on the gulf of Mexico then it is on the 49th parallel. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: Wow! That is a shocking stat. I had two last winter alone. Indeed. This is a godawful location for cold and snow, you would be incredibly depressed here. And it’s getting to the point where it feels like we won’t ever have another Arctic airmass impact us. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 22 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Dallas all time coldest temp is -8 in 1899.....it might be easier to get colder weather on the gulf of Mexico then it is on the 49th parallel. That’s what unabated land access to the arctic circle will do! Some wild anomalies from February 1899 down there since the avg is actually quite mild. Of course “averages” in that corner of the world, at that time of year, are merely a rough composite of highly variable weather; the median of the fuzziest trendline in the world. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 It was a beautiful fall day up this way. 62/46 with partly to mostly sunny skies. The early October sun still has some warmth in it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 00z GFS (Pivotal) stuck on Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Indeed. This is a godawful location for cold and snow, you would be incredibly depressed here. And it’s getting to the point where it feels like we won’t ever have another Arctic airmass impact us. Went from January 2012 to February 2019 without seeing a single subfreezing high in this part of the city. February 2014 the airport was shrouded with thick midlevel cloudcover for two days while we weren’t. Hence the pair of 31F and 29F while all the frost here melted under the increasingly powerful sun and 35F temps. When it finally did snow by surprise on the 8th, it was gone by noon and 40F by 1pm. December 2016 was close, but no cigar. Dry and 34F. Airport a few hundred feet higher. Follow the dry adiabatic line and do the math, they notched one by a hair. Then February 2019 came along with two in one week (in addition to like 8 sub-35F’s), then one in January 2020, and another two in a row in February 2021. Three years in a row. I know it seems bleak but you’ll see another in due time. Your area in particular is good at trapping cold air near the surface (especially being in Springfield vs DT Eugene) should you get an airmass down there. Our region’s dull weather is often streaky and there will always be some event to snap it. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Are you freeking kidding me! We have cold air in place with northerly surface gradient and the GFS run stops? 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS (Pivotal) stuck on Day 8 Not a bad frame to be stuck on! lol 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS (Pivotal) stuck on Day 8 This is killing me! 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Not a bad frame to be stuck on! lol Maybe a metaphor for the coming winter? 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: This is killing me! Yeah it kind of sucks, doesn't it. lol 00z ECMWF in 28 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 56 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Dallas all time coldest temp is -8 in 1899.....it might be easier to get colder weather on the gulf of Mexico then it is on the 49th parallel. We can do sustained cold much better though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Yeah it kind of sucks, doesn't it. lol 00z ECMWF in 28 minutes I think this run is going to show freezing low temps for some places. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, GHweatherChris said: Your boy plays football out there, thats awesome!! LOL, I guess I should have specified, he is in the drumline. He is about 6' to 6'1" or so and about 130# soaking wet, he would get crushed if he tried to play football. That said, lugging tenor drums and cymbals around for 4 years will have covered $8,000 of his college expenses, so can't knock that. 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Kayla said: Montana teams are kind of crushing it this year! We went to a couple of snow games our first couple of years here. It is always a fun atmosphere but the energy in a snow game brings it up to another level! Mid to late October is normally when we see our first significant snows so this year looks to be right on track. As long as we don't see below zero weather again this month then I'm okay with it! Yeah they have been doing good. Unfortunately, they very rarely get broadcast here so we don't get to watch them much. I had hoped to make a couple of trips out this fall, but not a lot of vacation time with the new job, plus we lost our free "crashpad" east of Missoula. The house we stayed at got sold to my wife's uncle and they are moving into it so that his son (the next generation to run the ranch) can move into the main homestead. It really sucks because I actually enjoy that drive. If it does snow/get cold, it will just be part of the experience, just like doing cattle drives in single digit temps with below zero wind chills. I just hope my flights can get in/out without issue. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Maybe Day 12 has -6c 850s, thickness down to 527... We'll never know. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 The GFS is stuck on the NCEP site also. Shittt! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: The GFS is stuck on the NCEP site also. Shittt! Maybe Jesse did it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Maybe Day 12 has -6c 850s, thickness down to 527... We'll never know. That's what I'm thinking. Maybe even snow late in the run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: That is a long time. Dallas Texas had 8 sub-freezing highs last winter. If it can happen there then it can happen in Oregon. TWL has some special kind of bad luck it seems. Hell, even here in this subtropical swamp box I can’t remember a single winter without at least a couple subfreezing highs. Even super warm winters like 2016/17 had several. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Maybe Jesse did it Just kidding, lil guy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Maybe Jesse did it I wish it could have gotten to the low temps the next day at least. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 00z ECMWF is running https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf&p=500h_anom&rh=2020122518&fh=loop&r=na&dpdt=&mc= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 The GFS ensemble looks remarkably similar to the operational at day 8. It shows the trough hanging in well beyond that. Also hints at the onshore flow being cut off with very low 850s. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 GFS is blue-balling us on WeatherBell. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Epic! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Wake up, bu'holes! EURO is a jaw dropper! 3 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 Pretty insane stuff shown on the 0z ECMWF. One day has some locations in the low 40s at 0z. I can never recall that happening this early. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 00z GFS Ensembles - 850mb Temps/Precip Portland Seattle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Wake up, bu'holes! EURO is a jaw dropper! Yup! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2021 Report Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS Ensembles - 850mb Temps/Precip Portland Seattle That is just flat out tanked. Let's hope the atmosphere remembers how to repeat this come winter. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.