snow drift Posted October 6, 2021 Report Share Posted October 6, 2021 57 with a dewpoint of 34. Should be frosty tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 6, 2021 Report Share Posted October 6, 2021 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: back in business with the 18z. Much more potent with the follow on systems. Looks good. Unfortunately, the Euro is not biting. Very dry the next 10 days. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 First fire of the season. I worked really hard starting it! 5 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 55 / 41 for the day here. So far this cool period is off to a stronger start than I expected. Can't wait for the colder mins coming up. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 55 / 41 for the day here. So far this cool period is off to a stronger start than I expected. Can't wait for the colder mins coming up. 56/46 here. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 6 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Very cool afternoon in north Everett. It was sunny to partly sunny most of the day. Then we got some rain, and now it's super dark outside with thunder being heard and lightning flashes sporadically. Heavy rain in the distance over the water, and at times rain over me. I think it will dump here soon. Some cool lighting and cloud formation I think some will appreciate. 5 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 5 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, iFred said: This belongs on the east coast. Lightning bolt over Lake Goodwin! Wish I was at the family lake house right now. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Thunder!! 3 1 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Calm here down south. What a lame year for storms here had one or two rumbles of thunder the whole year. Last decent storm we had was 10/13/20….almost a year ago now. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Calm here down south. What a lame year for storms here had one or two rumbles of thunder the whole year. Last decent storm we had was 10/13/20….almost a year ago now. It was around then that we had marble sized hail here under a PSCZ with lots of lightning. Largest hail I've seen in Seattle. 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 5 hours ago, snow drift said: Hot off the presses from Jacque Bring on El Niño! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Ok, I’m ready for another bet with the odds seemingly stacked against me. $20 says that PDX gets <.25’’ of rain from right now until the end of Sunday. I would possibly be willing to make the same bet through 7 days from now, but that’s unfair to me without some odds. Everybody talking about how wet and active it’s going to be, put your money where your mouth is. The ICON is on board with the Euro now. Huge shift at 00z. The trend is not our friend. We’ll see if the GFS bows down on the 00z or waits a little bit. Inevitably, it will follow suit. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Here it is folks. Ladies and Gentleman, tonight marks the beginning of model riding season! Granted we likely won't have anything too exciting to track, but ya never know! 00z GFS Day 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 25 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Jim will like these stats. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 High of 49.8F here today . 50/40 on the day with 0.66” of rain. It was actually a miserable wet afternoon to be working outside. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 We don't usually turn on the heater this early in the season but today we had to! Currently 48 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Up to .45” on the day! Currently 45 degrees. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 37 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Ok, I’m ready for another bet with the odds seemingly stacked against me. $20 says that PDX gets <.25’’ of rain from right now until the end of Sunday. I would possibly be willing to make the same bet through 7 days from now, but that’s unfair to me without some odds. Everybody talking about how wet and active it’s going to be, put your money where your mouth is. The ICON is on board with the Euro now. Huge shift at 00z. The trend is not our friend. We’ll see if the GFS bows down on the 00z or waits a little bit. Inevitably, it will follow suit. The GFS backdown has begun. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 7, Rainfall & Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 9'er (c)Rob 2017? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 Kona low??? Lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Kona low??? Lol Here we go! 00z ECMWF in 55 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 7 hours ago, snow drift said: Hot off the presses from Jacque A transition to +ENSO next summer with oncoming +QBO would be a disaster for the West. Worst timing imaginable. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 6 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said: A little sneak peak at the storms I'll be getting next Spring! This summer was amazing for severe weather here. That big western ridge sent shortwaves crashing right into Appalachia, sparking storms almost daily (and legit severe outbreaks multiple times per week). Heck we’ve had two thunderstorm days in the last week despite sitting under a ridge. Some years never quit. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Got caught outside this evening around sunset as the thunderstorms moved through. Just two very distant flashes of lightning (no thunder) and an incredible orange sky as a slit in the clouds lit up all the virga. Currently 47F with 0.22" on the day. 4 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 18 minutes ago, Phil said: A transition to +ENSO next summer with oncoming +QBO would be a disaster for the West. Worst timing imaginable. It looks like it's heading that way. We'll know better next spring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 28 minutes ago, Phil said: A transition to +ENSO next summer with oncoming +QBO would be a disaster for the West. Worst timing imaginable. So the ice age that began in 2017 might finally start retreating? 1 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 39!!! 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 38 minutes ago, Phil said: A transition to +ENSO next summer with oncoming +QBO would be a disaster for the West. Worst timing imaginable. I'm not super good on the QBO. What kind of weather would that result in? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 7, 2021 Report Share Posted October 7, 2021 Good news. That big ridge on the 00z GFS Op is a massive outlier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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