SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 17 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: The 6z GFS leaves us high and dry this weekend. The firehouse is pointed right at Vancouver Island. If you look at the progression of the last 5 or so runs, the bullseye keeps moving north. It always does. It is a pretty dry run, but also gets chilly in the longer range. Some will dig that. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 6 hours ago, Phil said: Not once has fall started here before the West. We’re always the last in line. Yet somehow we manage to go from winter straight to summer in 3-4 weeks. Lol. The only downside to living at elevation in the Sierra is that winter/spring goes on forever. We generally have to wait till July for reliable warm temps. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 24 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: The 6z GFS leaves us high and dry this weekend. The firehouse is pointed right at Vancouver Island. If you look at the progression of the last 5 or so runs, the bullseye keeps moving north. It always does. 06Z actually shows a dry weekend here... although I highly doubt that happens. The 00Z ECMWF showed a very wet Sunday. We have had rain on every weekend since Labor Day and its rained on 15 out of the last 18 days here. And its pouring rain this morning. Hard to believe this coming weekend will be dry... but it would be a nice change of pace. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 This system was pretty weak. 0.31”. Chilly morning. 38 after a low of 36. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 That was not a troll post Andrew... its been unusually wet and cold here for most of the last month and a change of pace would be really nice in my opinion. I don't think it will happen though. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 The 00Z EPS was very wet for the PNW for the next 2 weeks... 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The 00Z EPS was very wet for the PNW for the next 2 weeks... Interesting... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Our reading outside said 47F this morning. Quite a difference from yesterday at the same time of day. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 53 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: The only downside to living at elevation in the Sierra is that winter/spring goes on forever. We generally have to wait till July for reliable warm temps. I know it was 11 years ago, which still feels recent but how did you do in 2010-2011? It snowed in the Tahoe basin on Memorial Day that year. Mini golfed in snow that weekend 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Got down to 43 this morning…still fairly chilly. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 2 hours ago, BLI snowman said: Depends on where you are. Most of the cities in New England right now are still a rather mixed bag in terms of bright foliage. Many more birch and maple trees here of course so those are now turning with the ash trees coming in slowly, but nothing at an earlier date than what you'd expect in WA/OR/ID. The hills are a different story of course but the same is true if you head up to the Cascades right now. Same here across Denver/Boulder metro. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Did not expect my truck to be iced over this morning. 2 1 1 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Only 36 in Twisp this morning. But I bet theres snow up on that mountain when the clouds clear... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Even Joe Bastardi’s analogs are interesting for the West. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Though Canadian warming events under -ENSO/-QBO tend to favor the east more than the west until mid-Jan, when the relationship inverts. On the other hand, Siberian warmings have really delivered for the West in recent years. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 That trough over the weekend is looking pretty chilly. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That trough over the weekend is looking pretty chilly. Yea, Sunday is looking like it could be a midnight high type of day. The 12z GFS brings back the rain on Sunday too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Pacific fire hose pointed at Vancouver island starting later tomorrow 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Saturday is looking amazing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: That was not a troll post Andrew... its been unusually wet and cold here for most of the last month and a change of pace would be really nice in my opinion. I don't think it will happen though. October has been pretty nice over here so far. Today is looking very November like with low clouds and drizzle, but most days have been sunny and dry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 The Pacific Ocean about 300 miles offshore sure gets a lot of rain on this run. lol 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: Even Joe Bastardi’s analogs are interesting for the West. Joe Bastardi is a broken clock. Hulk Hogan has about as much credibility as a long range weather forecaster. Mr T, on the other hand, is a totally different story. It's a coin flip between him and the CFS. What am I saying? Mr T isn't any better. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 I'm starting to get a wet/mild vibe for November. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Some places had their first snow this morning in the Pendleton CWA. I had a couple light showers come through overnight but no snow yet. 3 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Some places had their first snow this morning in the Pendleton CWA. I had a couple light showers come through overnight but no snow yet. Nothing but drizzle here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 40 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I'm starting to get a wet/mild vibe for November. Wind storms as well. Two. Plural. Yep. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 2 hours ago, Phil said: Even Joe Bastardi’s analogs are interesting for the West. All signs pointing front-loaded. It's a LOCK. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: All signs pointing front-loaded. It's a LOCK. LOL... Yeah, decent signal for lowland snow in February too if we look at those years. The good news is none of those years were duds in the PNW. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Bought new exterior Xmas lights yesterday. Went specifically with a scheme that will play off a snow covered landscape perfectly. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Bought new exterior Xmas lights yesterday. Went specifically with a scheme that will play off a snow covered landscape perfectly. Wow. You’re all in. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: LOL... Yeah, decent signal for lowland snow in February too if we look at those years. The good news is none of those years were duds in the PNW. 2010 also didn't "blow its load early", the snow machine kept giving through mid-Spring and someone had to unplug the D**n thing. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Wow. You’re all in. It’ll be the greatest six hours of my life. Hopefully enjoyed in the warm embrace of kith and kin. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 In 2016 I would have already had at least 2 wind events around 55mph. The rain felt more tropical as well. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: In 2016 I would have already had at least 2 wind events around 55mph. The rain felt more tropical as well. October was a rainfest 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 32 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: LOL... Yeah, decent signal for lowland snow in February too if we look at those years. The good news is none of those years were duds in the PNW. Feb 1990 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Just now, snow drift said: October was a rainfest I could understand how that month lacked fog; simply was too busy throwing storms at us every 3-5 days. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy_Supercell said: I could understand how that month lacked fog; simply was too busy throwing storms at us every 3-5 days. Too much activity and fog season usually starts in late October. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 Having a raw day here. Currently 39°F and light rain 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow drift said: Having a raw day here. Currently 39°F and light rain Cold rain! Cold rain! Raw! Raw! Raw! 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted October 13, 2021 Report Share Posted October 13, 2021 5 hours ago, LowerGarfield said: I know it was 11 years ago, which still feels recent but how did you do in 2010-2011? It snowed in the Tahoe basin on Memorial Day that year. Mini golfed in snow that weekend I picked up 320" of snow at my house that winter. It was an all time winter. It snowed multiple times in June including the weekend before the 4th of July. I skied Alpine Meadows on 4th of July weekend in incredible conditions. Edit: Also I don't know if any of you ever saw this from back in 2011 but somebody in my neighborhood made a pretty incredible sledding hill. 3 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.