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PNW October 2021, Pumpkin Spice Edition


The Blob

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Eugene also had a major snow event in late March 2012 with an anafront set up. They also scored big time in December 2013 and February 2014. As well as two snow events in January 2017. 
 

Salem has done terrible the past few years. Largely missed in February 2018, largely missed in February 2019, several 1-2” events, but nothing major, 1/2” of snow in March 2020, and no snow last February, just tons of ice. They did very well in 2016-17, but since then have probably done worse than anyone else on the I5 corridor. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BTW my prose on here is probly going to struggle a lot. My neurologist said that I am having a lot more seizures at night now and I wake up with a bloody tongue, plus I’ve been having more and more twitches and involuntary movements throughout the day.

I hope no one else ever has to experience what I have.

I’m sorry man 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Warm front appears to be lifting north now... rain has begun here and radar shows it will continue for awhile.    Raining at SEA as well now.

Hopefully the Seattle area will be south of the main moisture plume by tomorrow with all the rain to the north of here as the GFS and ECMWF are suggesting will be the case.  

 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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19 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BTW my prose on here is probly going to struggle a lot. My neurologist said that I am having a lot more seizures at night now and I wake up with a bloody tongue, plus I’ve been having more and more twitches and involuntary movements throughout the day.

I hope no one else ever has to experience what I have.

I can't even imagine. I'm real sorry to hear this.

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36 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BTW my prose on here is probly going to struggle a lot. My neurologist said that I am having a lot more seizures at night now and I wake up with a bloody tongue, plus I’ve been having more and more twitches and involuntary movements throughout the day.

I hope no one else ever has to experience what I have.

Jesus dude, I'm wishing you the best brotha. 

Remember that YOU come first and foremost. Your health and safety are paramount, weather is cyclical but you only get one life. 

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1 minute ago, JBolin said:

Jesus dude, I'm wishing you the best brotha. 

Remember that YOU come first and foremost. Your health and safety are paramount, weather is cyclical but you only get one life. 

I try to practice and preach stoicism with myself and family members and friends. Be prepared for what could happen, while remaining optimistic that things are better when one lives in the moment at best they can. I named my second son after my favorite Roman emperor for that very reason, as well as it being a family name going way back to the 18th century.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I try to practice and preach stoicism with myself and family members and friends. Be prepared for what could happen, while remaining optimistic that things are better when one lives in the moment at best they can. I named my second son after my favorite Roman emperor for that very reason, as well as it being a family name going way back to the 18th century.

You and yours are the only things that matter, everything else is inconsequential, be well my friend.  

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5 hours ago, Phil said:

We have a more narrow/retracted Hadley Cell structure now (a massive shift from early/mid summer) which is likely in part a consequence of -QBO influence on the ITCZ/tropopause height/static stability.

I’m willing to bet we’ll see more IO forcing this winter (p2-4) than canonical niña climo. La Niña winters with -QBO/more retracted HCs tend to have less WPAC forcing.

Is IO forcing good for GOA blocking or is WPAC forcing better?

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17 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I try to practice and preach stoicism with myself and family members and friends. Be prepared for what could happen, while remaining optimistic that things are better when one lives in the moment at best they can. I named my second son after my favorite Roman emperor for that very reason, as well as it being a family name going way back to the 18th century.

Marcus?

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A forum for the end of the world.

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1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

Marcus?

Yes indeedy.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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My five year old was invited to an outdoor birthday party at a parkon Saturday. We all thought it was strange for this time of year (and one of those parties where the parents come too). Thankfully the models are showing a decent day before it gets colder where we are.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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I have to admit I'm all in for a nice sunny warm day on Saturday.  It's easy to say that when I know another sharp cold trough comes in right after that.  No doubt a warm day will feel good.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Me and Jim are in the blue! 

I had a feeling this area had been over performing.  It has been a no doubt about it cold month so far.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

West coast has been hogging all the cold anomalies.

MonthTDeptWRCC.thumb.png.04328e264b5eeb164cd10455211ceeee.png

The last couple days probably ate into those positive departures in Idaho, MT, WY. The weather late last week was amazing in South Dakota. Interesting to see the greatest cold departure in the Lane County Cascades and not Snow WIzard's backyard. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The last couple days probably ate into those positive departures in Idaho, MT, WY. The weather late last week was amazing in South Dakota. Interesting to see the greatest cold departure in the Lane County Cascades and not Snow WIzard's backyard. 

Bachelor in for a big year.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The last couple days probably ate into those positive departures in Idaho, MT, WY. The weather late last week was amazing in South Dakota. Interesting to see the greatest cold departure in the Lane County Cascades and not Snow WIzard's backyard. 

Oh yeah, didn't even notice it hadn't updated the past few days. Lame.

A forum for the end of the world.

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44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The last couple days probably ate into those positive departures in Idaho, MT, WY. The weather late last week was amazing in South Dakota. Interesting to see the greatest cold departure in the Lane County Cascades and not Snow WIzard's backyard. 

MBY came really close though!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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26 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Special delivery just arrived! 

E07710C2-7A1A-4720-8FDA-F1D90B9F15E2.jpeg

Ahhh I remember those days of outside wall spigots! 🥰

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The last couple days probably ate into those positive departures in Idaho, MT, WY. The weather late last week was amazing in South Dakota. Interesting to see the greatest cold departure in the Lane County Cascades and not Snow WIzard's backyard. 

Yeah should be below average for the month now out here after today. Last four days with -15F to -20F departures makes for quick work!

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Back to summer!

GFS Temp.png

With all the days below average this should still be a solid cool month.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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3 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BTW my prose on here is probly going to struggle a lot. My neurologist said that I am having a lot more seizures at night now and I wake up with a bloody tongue, plus I’ve been having more and more twitches and involuntary movements throughout the day.

I hope no one else ever has to experience what I have.

I'm sorry to hear about that man, that really sucks.  It is certainly a reminder for me and my family to count our blessings with my daughter... as of now (knock on wood), her seizures are controlled with medication.  We know that at any point, that could change.  While she will have the occasional twitch that will send a utensil flying across the kitchen, and she most likely won't be able to have kids, at least the medications are working for now.

Honestly the scariest part for us right now is that her medications cost $2,000/month without insurance.  She turns 26 next year, which of course means she will fall off our insurance. 

Can they do anything with your implant to reign things in?  Is the implant still functioning properly?  When my wife worked in Cardiology, every once in a very great while they would have a pacemaker sh*t the bed prematurely and they would have to go in and do an early replacement.

 

You are very definitely in my family's thoughts.  Please take care of yourself and get plenty of rest.  Sleep (or lack thereof) is the number one trigger for my daughter's seizures.

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30 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I'm sorry to hear about that man, that really sucks.  It is certainly a reminder for me and my family to count our blessings with my daughter... as of now (knock on wood), her seizures are controlled with medication.  We know that at any point, that could change.  While she will have the occasional twitch that will send a utensil flying across the kitchen, and she most likely won't be able to have kids, at least the medications are working for now.

Honestly the scariest part for us right now is that her medications cost $2,000/month without insurance.  She turns 26 next year, which of course means she will fall off our insurance. 

Can they do anything with your implant to reign things in?  Is the implant still functioning properly?  When my wife worked in Cardiology, every once in a very great while they would have a pacemaker sh*t the bed prematurely and they would have to go in and do an early replacement.

 

You are very definitely in my family's thoughts.  Please take care of yourself and get plenty of rest.  Sleep (or lack thereof) is the number one trigger for my daughter's seizures.

The RNS is definitely helping, I don't have as many fall-down seizures during the day anymore. I got the stimulator turned up a bit more today so hopefully it can make things even better. Regardless, I still worry that I won't wake up tomorrow every day.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Game over for this weekend. The GFS, ICON, NAM, and high-def GEM are trending drier. Most are bone dry. The Euro is the last holdout. It will either abruptly flip to a drier solution or gradually do it the next few runs.

It doesn’t matter if the models are wet in the mid/long-term if the verified amount is only a small fraction of the forecasted amount. 

This is either 3 or 4 busts in a row after the September overachievers. Probably about 20 out of the last 23 or so for Portland. 

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9 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Game over for this weekend. The GFS, ICON, NAM, and high-def GEM are trending drier. Most are bone dry. The Euro is the last holdout. It will either abruptly flip to a drier solution or gradually do it the next few runs.

It doesn’t matter if the models are wet in the mid/long-term if the verified amount is only a small fraction of the forecasted amount. 

This is either 3 or 4 busts in a row after the September overachievers. Probably about 20 out of the last 23 or so for Portland. 

00z GFS holds off the rain until 1-3 PM Sunday, but it isn't much at all. Maybe the EURO holds steady though....

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9 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Game over for this weekend. The GFS, ICON, NAM, and high-def GEM are trending drier. Most are bone dry. The Euro is the last holdout. It will either abruptly flip to a drier solution or gradually do it the next few runs.

It doesn’t matter if the models are wet in the mid/long-term if the verified amount is only a small fraction of the forecasted amount. 

This is either 3 or 4 busts in a row after the September overachievers. Probably about 20 out of the last 23 or so for Portland. 

We get least one nice weekend day for some October activities... darn!    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Had a wave of rain come through around 8pm I believe while I was out towards Maltby. Not a bad evening - it's dry it 56° in Kenmore, little bit of a breeze.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BTW my prose on here is probly going to struggle a lot. My neurologist said that I am having a lot more seizures at night now and I wake up with a bloody tongue, plus I’ve been having more and more twitches and involuntary movements throughout the day.

I hope no one else ever has to experience what I have.

So sorry bro. Pisses me off you have to suffer through this bs.

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4 hours ago, AbbyJr said:

Is IO forcing good for GOA blocking or is WPAC forcing better?

Depends on the time of year. In the heart of winter IO convection is better for high latitude blocking. Early in winter (Nov/Dec) it’s a bit different, where WPAC convection can tank the EPO real good.

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