Cloud Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It's just more representative of the low temps seen for much of the Central Puget Sound region. I would assume it's more south since it's closer to OLM but I can see the reasoning behind this. Want to get a station as close as possible to Central Sound. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Was just gonna post the same thing! One team one dream I'll let you do it next time since you have PRO and can get more frames in. Looks like I'll have to upgrade mine soon too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think that means the max wind for the entire run. Hard to believe it would end up that low though. @RentonHillTC @snow_wizardThat means the max wind speeds for each location. It is a quick way to get a general gauge of top wind speeds for the general region for that specific run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: @RentonHillTC @snow_wizardThat means the max wind speeds for each location. It is a quick way to get a general gauge of top wind speeds for the general region for that specific run 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: I will post every random weatherbell map I can find....I don't deserve this power 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: I will post every random weatherbell map I can find....I don't deserve this power Daddy’s had a little bit too much tonight 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 22, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: How much does work allow? Do you have WB??? I don't but doesn't mean I can't troll 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 It’s euro time !! Where are the reports from the sober folks?? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, Cloud said: I would assume it's more south since it's closer to OLM but I can see the reasoning behind this. Want to get a station as close as possible to Central Sound. The problem is the official Central Sound stations are mostly UHI or Puget Sound moderated. From what I have seen the McChord temps better represent the EPSL. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: It’s euro time !! Where are the reports from the sober folks?? Ehhh... I'm off the wagon. 1 1 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 00z ECMWF (Past 4 runs) We better watch this trend very closely of the trough nudging further east. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Daddy’s had a little bit too much tonight Unfortunately, I have not. Currently doing my masters hw 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The problem is the official Central Sound stations are mostly UHI or Puget Sound moderated. From what I have seen the McChord temps better represent the EPSL. Yeah, I completely agree with the UHI aspect. I would say that the Puyallup/Bonney Lake areas are also good representation of EPSL and Central Sound but these areas have been developed way too much in recent years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, The Blob said: I don't but doesn't mean I can't troll 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Unfortunately, I have not. Currently doing my masters hw You are currently on a weather forum? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 SEA is up to a little over 0.40” since the rain moved in after sunset. Nice totals. Could possibly get to near 0.50” by midnight. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1.23" 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: I'm just not into the windstorm possibility. I kind of like baroclinic bands / AR events because they often lead to cold weather. As for the possible windstorm...I just don't see it. If a low were to come into picture pinwheeling around the parent low I would be worried, but it isn't there. Lows like the one being shown just don't track that close to the coast in all but a handful of rare situations. Amazingly two managed to do it in January 1880 and the results were amazing as we all know. Andrew likes zonal flow, dude. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Just now, Phil said: Andrew likes zonal flow, dude. YES! THIS! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 .38” 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: .38” Rainfall total or caliber of Alec’s murder weapon? 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Not a bullet... typically they use paper, wood, or plastic in blanks. But its still shooting a projectile which can cause injury or death. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blank_(cartridge) Oh.... about this since I mentioned bullet in my previous post. "In 1993, Brandon Lee, 28, son of the late martial-arts star Bruce Lee, died after being hit by a .44-caliber slug while filming a death scene for the movie "The Crow." The gun was supposed to have fired a blank, but an autopsy turned up a bullet lodged near his spine." 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 I am sure I'm wrong, but I'm not ruling out something more significant Sunday. That trend doesn't lie. 12z ECMWF in 11 hours 2 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Bullets are pretty bad for you... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 EC still has the storm heading up to northern Vancouver Island and not doing much of anything here besides rain. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 53F with steady rain. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Been working the Eastside all night. It has been pretty wet. The drying winds must have been confined to the foothill areas. 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 EC ensemble low locations. Not many impacts locally with this setup. Too far NW. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Deweydog Posted October 22, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Placement of the low isn’t as important as looking at the nature of the system. This is a displaced maritime polar vortex and associated surface low. Our traditional windstorms are typically associated with open waves which feature strong jet support and associated backside pressure rises. 9 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Quite wet up and down the west coast. Rain showers are moving straight NNE so it'll be wet for a while with this main band. After that, more showery in nature with more popping up offshores. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Looked like SEA picked up 0.07" at the 11PM-12AM hour for day total of 0.47". A bit short of 0.5" before midnight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 26 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Placement of the low isn’t as important as looking at the nature of the system. This is a displaced maritime polar vortex and associated surface low. Our traditional windstorms are typically associated with open waves which feature strong jet support and associated backside pressure rises. Yeah, all the major wind storms we see a strong wave/developing low cross 40 N, 130 W and high pressure building into northern CA which "chases" the low as it moves northward. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 47 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Placement of the low isn’t as important as looking at the nature of the system. This is a displaced maritime polar vortex and associated surface low. Our traditional windstorms are typically associated with open waves which feature strong jet support and associated backside pressure rises. Yeah, pressure surges are often integral to vertical momentum transfer, especially in the absence of in-situ BL instability/strong diurnal heating. Almost all of the high wind events I can recall here featured sharp pressure surges (with mixing further aided by downsloping and CAA). In the PNW region, I assume those latter two factors are missing from the equation (in a southerly wind event), increasing the importance of pressure rises aiding momentum transfer what is probably a relatively stable BL in most cases? 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 SPC Day 3 Convective Outlook is interesting. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Wow…some of the weekly EPS ensemble members get astonishingly cold in mid/late November. Pacific gets completely blocked up, as does the Atlantic/Arctic, culminating in a series of arctic highs plowing into the west-central US. Then of course, there are Andrew flavored members as well, with mild Pacific flow torching the country. Lol. 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: Wow…some of the weekly EPS ensemble members get astonishingly cold in mid/late November. Pacific gets completely blocked up, as does the Atlantic/Arctic, culminating in a series of arctic highs plowing into the west-central US. Then of course, there are Andrew flavored members as well, with mild Pacific flow torching the country. Lol. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 This is the hr936 EPS mean. Cherry picked timeframe but…dayuum that’s an arctic express pattern if I’ve ever seen one. Giant horseshoe block from AK/Aleutians to Greenland. 2 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Just now, Phil said: Cherry picked but…dayuum that’s an arctic express pattern if I’ve ever seen one. Horseshoe block from AK/Aleutians to Greenland. Looks like November 1955/1985. C'MON!!!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Looks like November 1955/1985. C'MON!!!! Late November is a locked and loaded timeframe here too. Something brewing? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 22, 2021 Report Share Posted October 22, 2021 Opposite of that 2013-18 baffin island death vortex pattern. Solid signal for almost 1000hrs out. 1 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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