snow_wizard Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Cloud said: Several of my buddies and coworkers knows how much I'm into weather and climatology. Pretty much been getting an onslaught of texts asking how bad the storm is because they "read on and heard on the news that there is a 'bomb cyclone' and that they're worried about power outages" -- had to ensure them that everything is okay and the storm is way offshore. This is the type of media sensationalism that we have to deal with and it targets a certain group of people who have no clue about anything about weather for clicks. It's also up to us to not fan the flames on social media by posting these type of maps without a broader context and explanation. This is a fight that I'll be with Scott all the way. Boy that cried wolf syndrome. When the big one is really going to hit people will yawn. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: Absolutely gorgeous drive to and from my friends place in Carnation this morning, the color was amazing! There where not many places to easily pull off of SR-203 but I did take a few pics up off of the side road by their property. Then stopped at the Lake Goodwin lake house on the way back. Was a drizzle fest! .16” so far on the day at home. I see your glass table is still intact. Like I mentioned a couple of years ago ours exploded on a hot summer day. Pretty bizarre. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Pic from this morning. Got down to 36 and we even had 0.65 of rain yesterday, which was awesome. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Cloud said: Several of my buddies and coworkers knows how much I'm into weather and climatology. Pretty much been getting an onslaught of texts asking how bad the storm is because they "read on and heard on the news that there is a 'bomb cyclone' and that they're worried about power outages" -- had to ensure them that everything is okay and the storm is way offshore. This is the type of media sensationalism that we have to deal with and it targets a certain group of people who have no clue about anything about weather for clicks. It's also up to us to not fan the flames on social media by posting these type of maps without a broader context and explanation. This is a fight that I'll be with Scott all the way. There's still people that are new to the whole bomb term, overall it's creating a mess. When a storm of true historical magnitude ever hits the PNW, the words will have less impact on viewers. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 28 minutes ago, JBolin said: How busy? Like engage in carpentry/build a deck and coat it in Thompson's water seal "busy"? Busy as in let’s get busy Arsenio Hall-style. I remember distinctly two occasions when it was SNOWING outside while AH was on. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Thought the rain was done today but it’s been raining most of the last 2 hours out here. Been sheltered in the tent for most of the afternoon glad I took advantage of the dry weather yesterday lol. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 54/49 today 0.13” back at home. Just keeps on raining here! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 32 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I see your glass table is still intact. Like I mentioned a couple of years ago ours exploded on a hot summer day. Pretty bizarre. It is! However that happened to me at my uncles summer place at Lake Entiat last year during my solo-cation, it just blew up for no apparent reason other than it was old and been in extreme temps in Eastern Wa for 20yrs. It was quite the mess to clean up and cut into my jetsking time! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 43 minutes ago, MossMan said: Absolutely gorgeous drive to and from my friends place in Carnation this morning, the color was amazing! There where not many places to easily pull off of SR-203 but I did take a few pics up off of the side road by their property. Then stopped at the Lake Goodwin lake house on the way back. Was a drizzle fest! .16” so far on the day at home. Yeah... the colors are just spectacular right now in the Snoqualmie Valley. Wish we could have just one sunny day over the next week... but by time the rain takes a break the trees will be mostly bare. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/23/weather/climate-change-atmospheric-river-california-drought/index.html Biblical! Jesus is coming. Look busy! I’ve settled out of court….I’m bypassing the court room Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: I was wrong... raining again. I blame you Tim. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 NWS going with 35-40 mph winds in Seattle for gusts not sure if that will verify. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 50 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Busy as in let’s get busy Arsenio Hall-style. I remember distinctly two occasions when it was SNOWING outside while AH was on. Woop, Woop, Woop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 47 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 54/49 today 0.13” back at home. Just keeps on raining here! Been pretty much dry here but I’ve been watching the showers go by just to my west. Somehow the rain knows you’re in a tent… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceKing Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 heard about a bombing cyclone. how many feet of snow we getting???? 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Joker said: heard about a bombing cyclone. how many feet of snow we getting???? about 187 kilotons of tnt 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceKing Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Just now, Meatyorologist said: about 187 kilotons of tnt thanks just packed two decades worth of canned food and toilet paper 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 32 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: My parents house is up that hill! It's a total pain in the a** sometimes with the blind corners (my mom actually got in a car accident up there recently due to someone speeding around a corner too fast) and potholes all over in the gravel but all the trees and vegetation up there really make it a beautiful drive in the fall. Yeah I did not encounter any cars but I could see those blind corners on the narrow road being quite an issue! Definitely no picture taking during those parts! Also there is one section where the washboard effect is so bad it wanted to bounce the back of my truck sideways even at a slow speed! But wow i do love that area! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 12 minutes ago, T-Town said: Been pretty much dry here but I’ve been watching the showers go by just to my west. Somehow the rain knows you’re in a tent… lol yes Mother Nature was a real jerk today. Oh well got to enjoy the nice weather yesterday and it’s nice to be able to test the effectiveness of the tent 0 water on the inside after 1/3” of rain roughly since I’ve been out here. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 ...Oregon Coast... Scattered low-topped convection will develop within an environment characterized by very strong shear and weak instability but steep lapse rates. These storms may become capable of producing a few damaging gusts and possibly a couple of tornadoes later Sunday afternoon and evening. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 47 minutes ago, Joker said: heard about a bombing cyclone. how many feet of snow we getting???? A slushy inch on the grassy surfaces if you are Phil’s neighbor in the Cascades at 6,000ft. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Looks like an ultrasound. Congrats! It’s a bomb cyclone! 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 51/45 today with 0.39" of rain. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 19 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: The much-derided NAM came in a fair amount stronger with the winds overnight Sunday and into Monday vs 18z. Still not particularly strong, but getting closer. Those speeds if they verified would be a pretty standard autumn storm. 3 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Definitely an eastward trend with the short range models. Could end up being advisory levels most places. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 I'm excited for this storm, but I'm nervous about the giant trees we have. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Mesoscales definitely speeding up the system in addition to shifting it eastward-- hmmm..... 6 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 it's not going to take much to blow down some of the old dead trees and ones loaded with wet leaves i expect this storm to over perform because nearly everyone on this here site is poo poo'ing it get your candles and flash lights ready gather up some canned goods and toilet paper get ready for a few days with out power 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, The Swamp said: it's not going to take much to blow down some of the old dead trees and ones loaded with wet leaves i expect this storm to over perform because nearly everyone on this here site is poo poo'ing it get your candles and flash lights ready gather up some canned goods and toilet paper get ready for a few days with out power I like the new “the swamp” name much better than the dots! 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, The Swamp said: it's not going to take much to blow down some of the old dead trees and ones loaded with wet leaves i expect this storm to over perform because nearly everyone on this here site is poo poo'ing it get your candles and flash lights ready gather up some canned goods and toilet paper get ready for a few days with out power And empty the shelves went! Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Today's spread of 48/39 was the smallest in quite some time! 2 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 15 minutes ago, The Swamp said: it's not going to take much to blow down some of the old dead trees and ones loaded with wet leaves i expect this storm to over perform because nearly everyone on this here site is poo poo'ing it get your candles and flash lights ready gather up some canned goods and toilet paper get ready for a few days with out power Since 1995 the majority of the large windstorms in my area have been under forecasted. Almost all of the hyped ones have flopped. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 The problem is they trend north so if the models were showing it going south we would be in business but they have been west which even if it goes east it will end of being too far north. The only hope is they have updated models to correct for this bias. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Looks nice for the coastal areas. A nice wave watching day. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said: The problem is they trend north so if the models were showing it going south we would be in business but they have been west which even if it goes east it will end of being too far north. The only hope is they have updated models to correct for this bias. I know what you are saying but that was hard to follow. it’s going to be plenty windy for some power outages. Hope I make it to Kroger in time tomorrow morning for my maple bars 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 17 minutes ago, The Swamp said: I know what you are saying but that was hard to follow. it’s going to be plenty windy for some power outages. Hope I make it to Kroger in time tomorrow morning for my maple bars I think I even confused myself:) Biggest thing we have going for us now is that no news agencies have been talking about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Looking ahead... the GFS shows a little bit of rain for the Seattle area on Thursday and Friday. 2 1 1 4 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Looking ahead... the GFS show a little bit of rain for the Seattle area on Thursday and Friday. Wow ground zero here in western WA on this run…hopefully it goes south. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.