snow_wizard Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 At this point we have some wind to deal with over the next couple of days, then a big AR event later in the week, and then the prospects for some colder weather during the second week of November. The details on the latter are still sketchy, but the ensembles really like the idea of sharply falling WPO during week two. Very often the first sign of GOA amplification on the way. Pretty dynamic period we are in. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 In it's own way the storm looks nearly as awesome as a hurricane on the sat loop. It's really tearing it up out there. You can really see the juicy AR heading for CA. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Looking at cold ENSO years that had huge amounts of rain in October in Northern CA you have the following. 1924, 1950, 1956, 1962, 1964, 1970, 1973, 2010, and 2016. The most notably wet were 1924, 1962, 2010, and 2016. Some really great winters in that group. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Jginmartini said: She’s a beaut Clark! Quite a rotation. A very well defined center of circulation, looks very much like a hurricane the last few frames. And an onslaught of rain into NorCal. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, Cloud said: Quite a rotation. A very well defined center of circulation, looks very much like a hurricane the last few frames. And an onslaught of rain into NorCal. That thing is a beast. As much as some people wanted it to get closer I consider us very lucky it isn't going to. I just saved that loop to my desk top. Absolutely amazing. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 I find it really interesting that despite the deep low pressure that rivals a cat 3 hurricane, sustained winds is no where close. We're looking at what? 45-50 knots when a cat 3 is capable of reaching 110 knots? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceKing Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Serious question, my bottle of protein shake just exploded out of nowhere. The cap hit the ceiling hard. Did the pressure difference from the low cause my bottle to explode? It's been sitting out for a week so the pressure must've already been building inside, but I'm also wondering if the falling atmospheric pressure instigated it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Down to 987mb. Crazy pressure falls but no wind. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Didn't notice any wind when I got back home at hour ago. In fact there was some patchy fog across the eastside. I'm sure that will be scoured out rather quickly soon. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Pressure here down to 982 mb. Just started raining again. 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Lol was awoken by what sounded like branches clanging together about 30 minutes ago probably 75 feet from my tent…was scared sh*tless since I had no idea what the sounds were. Came out of my tent with a knife ready to get in my car since I wasn’t sure if it was a person doing it and I point my my flashlight and see these big a** bucks beating on eachother with their antlers. Makes sense now! So I scolded them and they ran off lmao. 7 1 4 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Not much wind out here at the moment just some light rain. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Looking very wet Thursday up here. 1 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 The pressure at my house is 29.15", the lowest since February 14th, 2019! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol was awoken by what sounded like branches clanging together about 30 minutes ago probably 75 feet from my tent…was scared sh*tless since I had no idea what the sounds were. Came out of my tent with a knife ready to get in my car since I wasn’t sure if it was a person doing it and I point my my flashlight and see these big a** bucks beating on eachother with their antlers. Makes sense now! So I scolded them and they ran off lmao. I've heard that noise too before while camping! It's a bit alarming when you're half asleep. A lot of times when I hear things at night while camping, it is raccoons messing around looking for scraps of food. Pressure going down still - 978mb. 3 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol was awoken by what sounded like branches clanging together about 30 minutes ago probably 75 feet from my tent…was scared sh*tless since I had no idea what the sounds were. Came out of my tent with a knife ready to get in my car since I wasn’t sure if it was a person doing it and I point my my flashlight and see these big a** bucks beating on eachother with their antlers. Makes sense now! So I scolded them and they ran off lmao. I freaked myself out while camping in the back of my truck in Alaska...swear I heard breathing right by me, in my head,it was a huge grizzly...turns out it was ME moving on the air mattress. That was at 3 in the morning, could not get back to bed with my heart racing still haha 2 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 IR Imagery There's our mega-low, "bomb cyclone" whatever you wish to call it. It's still moving due east. As of 2 AM it was analyzed at a staggering 945mb(27.91 in) and may still be strengthening slightly. Unbelievable! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: IR Imagery There's our mega-low, "bomb cyclone" whatever you wish to call it. It's still moving due east. As of 2 AM it was analyzed at a staggering 945mb(27.91 in) and may still be strengthening slightly. Unbelievable! Amazing. Only 3 more mb to break the record for that region of the Pacific. Makes me wonder what's in store this winter! 4 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, Geos said: Amazing. Only 3 more mb to break the record for that region of the Pacific. Makes me wonder what's in store this winter! Let's think about this. In February we had a historic ice storm in the Willamette valley, then a historic, unprecedented regional(including BC, AB including an incredibly anomalous lightning outbreak) heat wave in June with 500mb heights many standard deviations above normal, and now in mid-late October within a week two of the deepest lows we've ever seen with the second low for today possibly to become the strongest on record. I see no reason why these highly anomalous and historic events won't carry into the upcoming Fall and Winter months. We shall see. C'MON!!!! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 18 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Let's think about this. In February we had a historic ice storm in the Willamette valley, then a historic, unprecedented regional(including BC, AB including an incredibly anomalous lightning outbreak) heat wave in June with 500mb heights many standard deviations above normal, and now in mid-late October within a week two of the deepest lows we've ever seen with the second low for today possibly to become the strongest on record. I see no reason why these highly anomalous and historic events won't carry into the upcoming Fall and Winter months. We shall see. C'MON!!!! I agree! Temperature has been warming up here with an easterly wind. Was 48 earlier, now 58. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol was awoken by what sounded like branches clanging together about 30 minutes ago probably 75 feet from my tent…was scared sh*tless since I had no idea what the sounds were. Came out of my tent with a knife ready to get in my car since I wasn’t sure if it was a person doing it and I point my my flashlight and see these big a** bucks beating on eachother with their antlers. Makes sense now! So I scolded them and they ran off lmao. Where are you camping? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Breezy and warm this morning... no rain yet. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: IR Imagery There's our mega-low, "bomb cyclone" whatever you wish to call it. It's still moving due east. As of 2 AM it was analyzed at a staggering 945mb(27.91 in) and may still be strengthening slightly. Unbelievable! 2 cold fronts! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 East wind is cranking here right now. ECMWF shows the wind peaking out here this morning... by this afternoon it will be from the SE rather than E and less windy out here. 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Got awoken by a HUGE gust that rocked the house. It typically howl here when it’s windy. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Looks a bit stormy already down at Westport. Should be down there in a couple hours unless trees are over road and block me. Got my car packed with survival crud just in case. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Radar shows it should be raining pretty hard here... but its completely dry with the east wind evaporating all the precip before it reaches the ground. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Looks tasty out there. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G17§or=np&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 hoping we don’t lose power… lights flickered few times already. We’ve experienced worst without losing power but a lot of the trees still have leaves in tact that probably doesn’t help. It’s not that bad out, 30mph gusts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Radar shows it should be raining pretty hard here... but its completely dry with the east wind evaporating all the precip before it reaches the ground. Same here. I’m sitting underneath some heavy echos but it’s drizzling here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: Where are you camping? Anderson island…nice little island not far from Tacoma. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Moderate rain here and absolutely dead calm wind conditions. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 hours ago, Tyler Mode said: I freaked myself out while camping in the back of my truck in Alaska...swear I heard breathing right by me, in my head,it was a huge grizzly...turns out it was ME moving on the air mattress. That was at 3 in the morning, could not get back to bed with my heart racing still haha Yeah all sorts of scenarios were running through my head before I went out and checked it out. Was very relieved when I realized it was just a couple bucks being jerks. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Don’t think we’ve gotten much rain here so far…probably just a couple hundredths. It has gotten a bit breezy though. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 3 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Don’t think we’ve gotten much rain here so far…probably just a couple hundredths. It has gotten a bit breezy though. 0.40" since midnight here! 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Just imagine if that thing wasn’t weakening heading straight for southern Vancouver island…good lord what a monster storm. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 What a bust. No wind, 0.16” of rain since midnight. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awright31 Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 It's very dark outside but no rain and no wind. It's eerie - almost feels like the calm before the storm. Excited to see if this overperforms or underperforms later today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted October 24, 2021 Report Share Posted October 24, 2021 Plenty of gusts in Gold Bar. Let's see how the power holds up. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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