TT-SEA Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Big fan of the Euro. Me too! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Me too! I’d really like to see a dry Halloween weekend…trying to get another camping trip out to the island with some friends this weekend. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 15 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: R.I.P. Chris Farley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 GEM is the best. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Definitely seeing some wind here today, looks like the peak at my hows was at 12:40am, but there have been several gusts right up there with it. Its been kinda funny watching our resident hummingbird riding out the storm on a hanging decoration on our front porch. It is getting just enough wind to sway and spin a little bit, but that little hummingbird is riding it like a champ. Also, came across this on FB this morning.... 1 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post AlTahoe Posted October 25, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Snow is just about to end. Dog is loving it 13 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Noticed this driving down to sumner this morning…was driving so I didn’t get a picture but it was a pretty unique lenticular show this morning. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Been really breezy this morning…probably the last decent leaf photos of the year today lots of them have been coming down. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 30 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Big fan of the Euro. FWIW... the EPS mean does not support the ECMWF in the 7-10 day period (top) but the control run does (bottom). Both would favor dry offshore flow here... the control run being stronger with the offshore flow. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 35 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Big fan of the Euro. Baffin Island vortex returns. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: FWIW... the EPS mean does not support the ECMWF in the 7-10 day period (top) but the control run does (bottom). Both would favor dry offshore flow here... the control run being stronger with the offshore flow. Good thing California just got a whole bunch of rain/snow otherwise this upcoming pattern would have been an ugly fire situation once again. 2 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Breezy. IMG_5325.MOV 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Looks like the rains finally moving in. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Peak gust of 10mph so far with 0.3” of rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 6 hours ago, Phil said: We’ve had 6 consecutive warmer than average winters. Safe bet to assume this will be #7. I’ll cope somehow. The good news is things will likely reverse in a few years as these warm winters tend to come in streaks bunchs so if history is any indacation this streak should be about to break sometime in the next few years perhaps the late 2020s 2030s we see a 1960s late 1970s like progression start to take shape unless something really unusal is really going on. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 hour ago, AlTahoe said: Snow is just about to end. Dog is loving it You got yourself a genuine snow hound there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Looks like GFS wants to put Thursday's AR into the south Sound and Lewis County while the Euro positions it in the north Sound and gives the Willamette Valley close to 70 degree temps before going crazy with blocking and shutting off the jet. Looks like I'll be too far south to get anything from it but the Portland metro might get clipped if the south solution verifies. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 This band of moisture followed me home! i-5 south bound also had a huge backup down south of DuPont with a tree over the highway! Luckily on their side. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: Baffin Island vortex returns. Perhaps temporarily. Regardless, big-time blocking is there and that's good to see. Doesn't seem like a static pattern. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Pretty chilly temps for NM and north/west TX for early November. Blocking is definitely there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Predicting a Clark county funnel cloud or small tornado this evening 1 1 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Rain hasn’t been too impressive yet as I expected…still pretty breezy rain will probably pick up later. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Been really breezy this morning…probably the last decent leaf photos of the year today lots of them have been coming down. Quite a bit of debris at home as well. Digital clocks were all flashing as well so power was out at some point while I was away 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Pretty big nothing so far with this storm (At least in North Sound area). Just rain (thankfully a lot) and some wind. Feels normal. I like it. Hope everyone is doing super. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Wave of rain moved in about 15 minutes ago. Winds have been strong enough to knock out the power to more customers across the eastside. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Here are last 5 GFS 48hr precip maps for Wed afternoon - friday morning period. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 18z GFS looks more like a strong niño with that screaming STJ slamming CA with storm after storm. Don’t often see a pattern like this during La Niña. Seems to be some -QBO element w/ the narrow EPAC HC. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Phil said: 18z GFS looks more like a strong niño with that screaming STJ slamming CA with storm after storm. Don’t often see a pattern like this during La Niña. Seems to be some -QBO element w/ the narrow EPAC HC. 18z? Doesn't seem like we are looking at the same model... 12z was wetter, was that what you meant? 18z looks a lot more climo... 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 30 minutes ago, Phil said: 18z GFS looks more like a strong niño with that screaming STJ slamming CA with storm after storm. Don’t often see a pattern like this during La Niña. Seems to be some -QBO element w/ the narrow EPAC HC. Huh?? There are literally no “storm after storm” heading into CA over the next 10 days on the 18z. NorCal is getting slightly swiped. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 32 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z? Doesn't seem like we are looking at the same model... 12z was wetter, was that what you meant? 18z looks a lot more climo... That’s not climo at all. Wetter than average across much of the SW US/4-corners region, dry in the north, potent STJ evident in the 500mb pattern. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: You’re not looking w/ respect to climo. Wetter than average across much of the SW US/4-corners region, dry in the north, potent STJ evident in the 500mb pattern. That is still drier than normal in CA as well... the averages are much lower down there at this time of year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Come on Phil. Admit you are misspoke. You said storm after storm... About a model run that shows no storms hitting California. LOL 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: That is still drier than normal in CA as well... the averages are much lower down there at this time of year. Exactly and I thought he was talking about Cali? Still looks drier than normal. Didn’t see any “storm after storm” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Exactly and I thought he was talking about Cali? Still looks drier than normal. Didn’t see any “storm after storm” He literally said CA. I get the point though... But still... I think we were all initially confused. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Hawks game could be wet and breezy at times. Not anything like SF yesterday but look to have some intermittent heavy showers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 minute ago, T-Town said: I was pretty bummed we couldn’t make it down there yesterday for the show. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: Hawks game could be wet and breezy at times. Not anything like SF yesterday but look to have some intermittent heavy showers. Seems like the heavier showers get ripped apart as they move over the Sound and into Seattle... might be the rain shadow trying to develop but its not able to completely block the rain. The rain has not looked very heavy in Seattle even when the stronger cells make it overhead. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Please take football banter to appropriate thread. Thank you. 2 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Please take football banter to appropriate thread. Thank you. Cloud did tie in the weather! 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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