Cloud Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Seems like the heavier showers get ripped apart as they move over the Sound and into Seattle... might be the rain shadow trying to develop but its not able to completely block the rain. The rain has not looked very heavy in Seattle even when the stronger cells make it overhead. Yeah. Kinda interesting to see as we head into the night time hours, these heavy showers could pop up overhead then. HRRR does show some heavy cells right over Seattle next several hours during the game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Please take football banter to appropriate thread. Thank you. That was weather related. I still would’ve posted that, I just happened to mentioned the Hawks game on top of weather. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 25, 2021 Report Share Posted October 25, 2021 Just now, Cloud said: Yeah. Kinda interesting to see as we head into the night time hours, these heavy showers could pop up overhead then. HRRR does show some heavy cells right over Seattle next several hours during the game. I think main precip sheld is moving through now... the ECMWF appears to expand the rain shadow through the evening. We will see. The wind is a big factor in the game as well. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 I bet on Jameis to throw at least one interception. (Because of showers or something to keep it weather related) 1 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 59 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Come on Phil. Admit you are misspoke. You said storm after storm... About a model run that shows no storms hitting California. LOL Jesus H Christ. I didn’t say anything about CA rainfall totals. You made that leap on your own. I referenced the active STJ. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, Phil said: Jesus H Christ. I didn’t say anything about CA rainfall totals. You made that leap on your own. I referenced the active STJ. You said “slamming with storm after storm” Phil. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 “500mb low after 500mb low”. That better? Fücking hell. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phil said: “500mb low after 500mb low”. That better? Fücking hell. Love you! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 I’m having a bad day. Nothing personal. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 Just now, Phil said: I’m having a bad day. Nothing personal. Just picking on you and giving you a hard time big guy. Knew very well what you meant though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 15 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Prophet on the burnin shore… 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 New Euro weeklies look Tim friendly at 500mb. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 Just now, Phil said: New Euro weeklies look Tim friendly at 500mb. How do they look for California? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 17 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: How do they look for California? An average amount of H2O molecules. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: An average amount of H2O molecules. You would think that storm after storm would result in higher than average. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: You would think that storm after storm would result in higher than average. Not if it stops raining mid-November. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 Just now, Phil said: Not if it stops raining mid-November. Thats 3 weeks away, long a** time!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 6 hours ago, ShawniganLake said: Peak gust of 10mph so far with 0.3” of rain. Peak guest of 36mph and 0.3" of rain here. I imagine there were some much stronger gusts near the water. It was a persistent moderate/strong E/SE wind for the past 24 hours here. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 Can’t wait to see all these storms slam CA 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Can’t wait to see all these storms slam CA Should almost be as good as watching the Huskies disembowel the Ducks in a couple weeks. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 00Z GFS coming in north with the AR event... following the ECMWF. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z GFS coming in north with the AR event... following the ECMWF. It’s not any further north, it’s just weaker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: It’s not any further north, it’s just weaker. Actually both... 12Z run on top and new 00Z run on the bottom for Wednesday morning through Friday morning. Big change for the Seattle area and South Sound for sure. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Actually both... 12Z run on top and new 00Z run on the bottom for Wednesday morning through Friday morning. Big change for the Seattle area for sure. Yea, I suppose so. It was always going to bust in Oregon regardless. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Actually both... 12Z run on top and new 00Z run on the bottom for Wednesday morning through Friday morning. Big change for the Seattle area and South Sound for sure. I’m in the blue! 1 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: I’m in the blue! Some windy, rain shadow action for you! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Actually both... 12Z run on top and new 00Z run on the bottom for Wednesday morning through Friday morning. Big change for the Seattle area and South Sound for sure. A lot more rain in the San Juan's. Getting a few moderate showers this evening. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 .25” so far on the day, 4.49” for the month. Currently 48 degrees. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 Delightful weekend coming up! 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 0.17” so far today in Tacoma….2.68” so far this month. Sad the AR is weakened on the gfs but we’re doing ok on rainfall recently so oh well. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 0.17” so far today in Tacoma….2.68” so far this month. Sad the AR is weakened on the gfs but we’re doing ok on rainfall recently so oh well. SEA should be nearing 3” if not go over for next few days. As of 10/24, 2.54”. Amazingly, it still looks like could end up below normal (3.91”) for the month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 Sacramento official 24 hours totals yesterday was 5.44”. Broke the record from 1880. Unreal. SEA’s wettest day all time was 5.02” 3 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Front Ranger said: Should almost be as good as watching the Huskies disembowel the Ducks in a couple weeks. So what you are saying is neither will happen. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 It was really windy downtown seattle today when leaving work. Stoplights were whipping around making it hard to see what color they were. FullSizeRender.mov 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 Longest frontal boundary ever? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 One thing I will say is I hate the pattern we are in right now. Anytime we have mild temps with a cold air mass over us I can't stand it. On the other hand wet weather in October is often a good sign going forward, and we had plenty of this October 2016. On another note...Yesterday's storm ended up being quite impressive in some ways. At Cape Disappointment for example their first gust of 60+ happened at 2pm yesterday and the last such gust was at 9am today. An incredibly long period of strong winds at places like that. Their peak gust was an impressive 74MPH. Even SEA ended up pretty windy for a long period of time. It does appear a brief chilly period is pretty possible mainly in the Oct 29 thru Nov 2 period. The 12z ECMWF had some places going well below freezing on a number of mornings. I think this area will probably get screwed by east winds though. Probably still one cold night in the foothills area before the east wind sets in. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Cloud said: Sacramento official 24 hours totals yesterday was 5.44”. Broke the record from 1880. Unreal. SEA’s wettest day all time was 5.02” Wow! We continue to evidence the atmosphere is still in an extremely abnormal state. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 The CPC winter outlook has actually gotten better. They have included the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains in the below normal area which means things are more likely to get continental. They have WA in the third shade of blue for J,F,M now. 2 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 26, 2021 Report Share Posted October 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The CPC winter outlook has actually gotten better. They have included the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains in the below normal area which means things are more likely to get continental. They have WA in the third shade of blue for J,F,M now. I'd still like to see us score something meaningful in Dec./Jan. The late season stuff have been great but I would love to see something in the heart of winter. Not to take anything away from this outlook, just my personal preference. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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