TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Matt is not going to be happy with these predictions…unless of course it’s a white thanksgiving and a December to remember. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: My money is on week 3... leading up to Thanksgiving. I don’t see it happening in Nov. Maybe a glancing blow but suspect the pattern trends ridgier with time. I’ve been wrong before, though. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 A rare sight lately... blue sky. Cottonwoods turning yellow now and our Japanese maples were stripped bare by the wind. 5 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: 11/21/2021 +3 days 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: I don’t see it happening in Nov. Maybe a glancing blow. But I’ve been wrong before. A smaller scale version of that happened in the last week of Nov 2019 with the southern Oregon bomb cyclone. We had the coldest Black Friday in many years. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows a considerable amount of sun for western WA over the next 10 days. The only day that has low and mid level clouds on this run is next Thursday. It still shows it being totally sunny over the weekend and then partly sunny with high clouds at times most of the remaining days on this run. Pretty impressive for early November. Seems like there's been more sunny spells in November recently. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Raging Snoqualmie. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Seems like there's been more sunny spells in November recently. I agree. We have had some nice sunny periods in November in the last decade... and not all gloom. Thanksgiving has been sunny several times in recent years. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Some impressive numbers for the AR event. Central sound area seems to be right at the bullseye. I’m ready for a short stretch of dry and chilly conditions. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Clouds are mostly gone here in the San Juan’s. Gonna be an epic sunset will get up early in the morning and see if the Aurora is visible to the north of here…thankfully I do have a decent view to the north about 50 yards from my campsite. If not I’m sure tomorrow night they’ll be out. 12 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Clouds are mostly gone here in the San Juan’s. Gonna be an epic sunset will get up early in the morning and see if the Aurora is visible to the north of here…thankfully I do have a decent view to the north about 50 yards from my campsite. If not I’m sure tomorrow night they’ll be out. Beautiful. Looks like it is really clearing out there. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 29, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Woke up to this from my nap 7 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, The Blob said: Woke up to this from my nap Just think in a few weeks there will be FEET of snow out there. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just think in a few weeks there will be FEET of snow out there. Jim will only have about 10 inches due to east wind and be VERY disappointed. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 29, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just think in a few weeks there will be FEET of snow out there. There better be feet of snow 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Jim will only have about 10 inches due to east wind and be VERY disappointed. Hopefully we can get him a few sunny sub-zero days to make up for it. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: A rare sight lately... blue sky. Cottonwoods turning yellow now and our Japanese maples were stripped bare by the wind. Color!!! 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 hour ago, MossMan said: +3 days Starts on 11/21 and peaks on 11/24. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Still lots of fall color in the valley... glad it survived to the sunny weekend. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 43 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Jim will only have about 10 inches due to east wind and be VERY disappointed. Disappointed about a 10", oh wait.... you were talking snowfall, my bad. Carry on. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 There hasn't been a t'storm this late in the year since the 1990's here! Too bad it didn't land on Halloween. 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Wouldn't be above normal here if Western Washington is below normal. Doesn't work that way. That map is not exact anyway. Brian, I was stating what the map says. I wasn't saying it would verify or not. Thanks. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Clouds are mostly gone here in the San Juan’s. Gonna be an epic sunset will get up early in the morning and see if the Aurora is visible to the north of here…thankfully I do have a decent view to the north about 50 yards from my campsite. If not I’m sure tomorrow night they’ll be out. It's cleared out over here, too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 2.70 storm total Current temp 52* 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 2 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said: A smaller scale version of that happened in the last week of Nov 2019 with the southern Oregon bomb cyclone. We had the coldest Black Friday in many years. It was 30/15 here. I remember some wind with that. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Not much rain. Back to partly Sunny and in the upper 50s. 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 30 minutes ago, snow drift said: It was 30/15 here. I remember some wind with that. The first snow that year was in the form of a blizzard. And traveling around 97 was difficult I heard. Still had power, but easily 50-55mph gusts in it. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 The GFS shows things getting pretty darn nippy later on. Interestingly the EPS shows PNA, EPO, and NAO all negative late in week two. Considering how closely we've been mirroring 1970 in the broader sense a November cold snap is a pretty strong possibility. The major baroclinic band yesterday is often a warning sign of a coming cold snap as well. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 18z looks like it wants to go dry and relatively cool in the long range. 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 I ended up with close to 3 inches of rain from the event yesterday. The wettest in quite some time. There was one two hour period where the rain was pretty much ridiculous. Got drenched just walking from the car to the front door. The precip was likely enhanced by the sliding C-Zone as the wind shifted to north late in the day. 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 21 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: The first snow that year was in the form of a blizzard. And traveling around 97 was difficult I heard. Still had power, but easily 50-55mph gusts in it. Good stuff. Nice way to start the season. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 18z Alert! C'MON!!!! 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 Tomorrow evening looks quite nice for the geomagnetic storm. This one is projected to be slightly stronger than the previous one at G3. Cloud is expected to clear out tonight and remain that way through tomorrow night. Quote Impacts to our technology from a G3 storm are generally nominal. However, a G3 storm has the potential to drive the aurora further away from its normal polar residence and if other factors come together, the aurora might be seen over the far Northeast, to the upper Midwest, and over the state of Washington 18z cloud cover through Sunday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 I'm so stoked! It looks like it's going to get cold! The models are really gravitating that way today. Really major change in the EPO forecast. Pretty much minus or neutral the entire run on the EPS. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Tomorrow evening looks quite nice for the geomagnetic storm. This one is projected to be slightly stronger than the previous one at G3. Cloud is expected to clear out tonight and remain that way through tomorrow night. . It could be amazing. Hard to believe it will be clear, but that's the way it looks. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 GFS still showing colder nighttime temps in mid-Nov 3 1 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: GFS still showing colder nighttime temps in mid-Nov Omg a frost in November. 3 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: It could be amazing. Hard to believe it will be clear, but that's the way it looks. Pretty much no clouds up here 100 miles north…I can see some clouds to the south though. Looks like there’s a chance to see them tonight but I think tomorrow night will probably be the real show. The cold clear snap is just amazingly timed with Halloween and this Aurora potential. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 I already told my family, financial advisor and primary care physician. 1 1 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2021 Report Share Posted October 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I already told my family, financial advisor and primary care physician. It’s always you ruining everything. 1 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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