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PNW October 2021, Pumpkin Spice Edition


The Blob

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2 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

It hasn't stopped yet?  Already nearly clear here this evening.  Looks like 30s by 9pm or earlier tonight.

It's stopped and clearing out now. Supposedly there will be snow late tonight into tomorrow morning but I'm skeptical. Last time it got cold it just completely dried out.

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An unfortunate midnight high of 58 today, down to 43 now. 1.26” of rain, but a sunny afternoon. 

612B1045-5492-4C17-BECB-273F0A2487FA.jpeg

E665C665-536B-4871-9774-9D4A4D785818.jpeg

839D5933-C2D0-4E8C-BE2C-56C79B67CC28.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

708EC39E-31A5-42C0-ABB1-1ABFC86DCB3F.thumb.jpeg.410c7d342c47e8e8a700d817b01130e3.jpeg
 

The lake is fat and happy again. 41°F here, 13°F cooler than this time yesterday.

The photo uploaded upside down for some reason, but it’s kinda trippy this way so I’m keeping it.

 

Pretty cool how the stuff in lake looks like snow on the mountain flipped upside down. 

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Just caught up on the models... how about that 12z for a birthday gift @TigerWoodsLibido????

Eugene is gonna be the place to BE 2021/22

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Already down to 37 at the junction of I-90 and Highway 18.  What a difference a day makes sometimes!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 hours ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

708EC39E-31A5-42C0-ABB1-1ABFC86DCB3F.thumb.jpeg.410c7d342c47e8e8a700d817b01130e3.jpeg
 

The lake is fat and happy again. 41°F here, 13°F cooler than this time yesterday.

The photo uploaded upside down for some reason, but it’s kinda trippy this way so I’m keeping it.

 

Can you upload the photo again?  I'm totally confused which is the reflection and which isn't.

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  • lol 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

I guess the southwest flow is gone. 

Thanks to a little cut off high pressure cell that took pity on us.  It turned the surface pressure gradients to northerly, and cut off the moisture.  

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Can you upload the photo again?  I'm totally confused which is the reflection and which isn't.

Lock your screen and flip your phone... it will make sense.   Top is the water. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Can you upload the photo again?  I'm totally confused which is the reflection and which isn't.

Apologies to @1000'NorthBend if I may have edited the picture without your permission. 

This should make it less trippy for you Jim.  It's kinda weird that looking at the picture from the "right" perspective makes it a lot less "trippy" 🤣

708EC39E-31A5-42C0-ABB1-1ABFC86DCB3F.jpeg.74b30322d9c67e9c2170f53bd07c2ec9.jpeg

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

An unfortunate midnight high of 58 today, down to 43 now. 1.26” of rain, but a sunny afternoon. 

612B1045-5492-4C17-BECB-273F0A2487FA.jpeg

E665C665-536B-4871-9774-9D4A4D785818.jpeg

839D5933-C2D0-4E8C-BE2C-56C79B67CC28.jpeg

It was already down to 50 here at midnight.  Going to be a nice minus today. 

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Apologies to @1000'NorthBend if I may have edited the picture without your permission. 

This should make it less trippy for you Jim.  It's kinda weird that looking at the picture from the "right" perspective makes it a lot less "trippy" 🤣

708EC39E-31A5-42C0-ABB1-1ABFC86DCB3F.jpeg.74b30322d9c67e9c2170f53bd07c2ec9.jpeg

Indeed.  The upside version was actually kind of unnerving to look at.

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  • lol 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows the east wind starting up here around midnight.     Models have also trended wetter for Monday.

I think the GFS kind of owned the ECMWF again on the Monday thing.  It's been showing a very cool max that day for several runs now.  I have to think the ECMWF is too aggressive with the east wind tonight.  Hard to imagine everything setting up that fast.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Lock your screen and flip your phone... it will make sense.   Top is the water. 

I actually use a PC for the forum.  It's so much easier to type with a large keyboard.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

I actually use a PC for the forum.  It's so much easier to type with a large keyboard.

I often do as well... but also have it bookmarked on my phone.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I actually use a PC for the forum.  It's so much easier to type with a large keyboard.

 

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I often do as well... but also have it bookmarked on my phone.

It certainly is a lot easier to look at the models frames on PC as well. I typically use my phone to view the forums right before bed but a lot of the times it's on the PC. 

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10 minutes ago, Cloud said:

We're looking to close out the month dry and chilly morning lows. Halloween is a bit chilly after sunset. 

It certainly is interesting how many cold Halloweens we've had.  We've had a number I can think of with low temps well below freezing, and even some that were already near freezing at trick or treat time.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Thought it may be hard to have a costume and a warm jacket at the same time.

Costumes are usually warm enough... always been that way for my kids at least.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Perfect for Halloween... much better than dumping rain.  

I've been there... Impossible to enjoy that

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

00z GFS 😴 

No night shift tonight?

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Really kind of bizarre how far off the mark the models are on the surface pressure configuration tonight.  The models showed Omak 6mb higher than SEA at this time and yet they are exactly the same right now.  Obviously much too aggressive.  

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I love it when we get to the time of year it gets below 40 well before midnight.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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35 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It certainly is interesting how many cold Halloweens we've had.  We've had a number I can think of with low temps well below freezing, and even some that were already near freezing at trick or treat time.

We’ve had a number of them in recent years, haven’t we? Plus, it’s not precisely a balmy time of year even in average conditions. Trick-or-treating on chilly nights is just part of Halloween. At least the temperature isn’t dropping into the teens like it sometimes did in the Rockies.

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  • Snow 1
It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Pretty significant difference between GFS and CMC for upcoming blocking episode, just within 3-4 days. GFS kinda neuters things for mid conus cold, while it's as impressive as ever on the Canadian.

The models always have off runs going into these things.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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