PNW October 2021, Pumpkin Spice Edition

[Gradient Keeper]

Wake up!!!!

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Wake up!!!!

Euro is rolling out sooooo slow

[smerfylicious]

37 minutes ago, snow drift said:

It looks like it's heading that way. We'll know better next spring.

I mean, just depends on what model you're looking at I guess?

edit: clarifying - doesn't look as dramatic an uptick to +ENSO status by summer in CFS. Still only a 20% chance or so.

 

[RentonHill]

End of the euro

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF - 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

End of the euro

That would be a nice progression.

[snow drift]

1 hour ago, smerfylicious said:

I mean, just depends on what model you're looking at I guess?

edit: clarifying - doesn't look as dramatic an uptick to +ENSO status by summer in CFS. Still only a 20% chance or so.

 

Yeah, it's hard to tell. We'll know for sure by spring or summer next year.

[snow_wizard]

I like the ECMWF at day 10 a lot better than the GFS.  Another trough right on top of us at that time.

Speaking of the ECMWF it shows strong potential for freezing low temps in the outlying areas next Monday night.  At the very least widespread frost.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF meteograms are every bit as cold as any of its earlier runs BTW.

[The Blob]

11 hours ago, MossMan said:

It’s coming…

I remember the ones I saw in 2016 looked like that.

[The Blob]

46 when I left work. It was only misty in the parking lot, not on the streets surrounding or the whole way home.

[T-Town]

43 here this morning. Brrr. 

[TacomaWaWx]

 

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

43 here this morning. Brrr. 

42 here. Still time to dip in the upper 30s. 

[Timmy Supercell]

7 hours ago, Phil said:

This summer was amazing for severe weather here. That big western ridge sent shortwaves crashing right into Appalachia, sparking storms almost daily (and legit severe outbreaks multiple times per week).

Heck we’ve had two thunderstorm days in the last week despite sitting under a ridge. Some years never quit.

Heard parts of Alabama got totally flooded last night. Probably Tennessee as well. Those storms trained over the same areas. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Partly cloudy and 45˚F. Pretty good sunrise this morning.

[GHweatherChris]

Briefly dropped to 37° this morning.

[MossMan]

A little dribbling going on outside and 41 degrees. Winter is here. 
.01” on the day, .66” for the month. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Got down to 41. 

[luminen]

34F here this mornin'

[TT-SEA]

32 minutes ago, MossMan said:

A little dribbling going on outside and 41 degrees. Winter is here. 
.01” on the day, .66” for the month. 

Sunny start to the day here... after being pounded with rain the last 2 days.

Looks sunny up in Bellingham too... so you should see some sun today.

[Chewbacca Defense]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sunny start to the day here... after being pounded with rain the last 2 days.

Looks sunny up in Bellingham too... so you should see some sun today.

Yeah, definitely getting some sun.  Its currently filtered through a layer of thin high clouds.  That's a new camera shot, I like it.  I wonder what building it is on....I think it is too far north to be on the Herald building.

 

Dropped to 43 overnight, currently 44, and we got some drizzle or light rain overnight totaling up to .03"

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Yeah, definitely getting some sun.  Its currently filtered through a layer of thin high clouds.  That's a new camera shot, I like it.  I wonder what building it is on....I think it is too far north to be on the Herald building.

 

Dropped to 43 overnight, currently 44, and we got some drizzle or light rain overnight totaling up to .03"

Its an awesome live feed camera on the Faithlife building...

https://faithlife.com/webcam

[Blizzard777]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its an awesome live feed camera on the Faithlife building...

https://faithlife.com/webcam

Bookmarked and thanks

39* (8:14 am) 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Yeah, definitely getting some sun.  Its currently filtered through a layer of thin high clouds.  That's a new camera shot, I like it.  I wonder what building it is on....I think it is too far north to be on the Herald building.

 

Dropped to 43 overnight, currently 44, and we got some drizzle or light rain overnight totaling up to .03"

It appears to be on the top of this building...

 

[Chewbacca Defense]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its an awesome live feed camera on the Faithlife building...

https://faithlife.com/webcam

Excellent, bookmarked!  Thank you!

[Meatyorologist]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its an awesome live feed camera on the Faithlife building...

https://faithlife.com/webcam

Great view.

[smerfylicious]

Snow levels appear to have dropped to ~3,500 or so based on the frosted tips I'm seeing surrounding Sky Valley.

Just gorgeous morning. Thick fog, low hanging clouds drifting over the crests of the hills...perfect. 

[AlTahoe]

I know Phil was calling for an expanded 4 corners high this summer but I don't think any of us thought that it would envelop half of North America. Sheesh 

 

[The Blob]

46 here. 

[RentonHill]

43 here in Renton. 27 in Twisp. Making an emergency run over there because someone (me) forgot to blow out the orchard water pipes and take the timers inside!!

[Timmy Supercell]

31 degrees this morning. 

It's not gonna rain for another while, so will be boring mostly clear weather. 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Dropped to 37 here, good for our coldest morning since 5/10. 

Satellite looks good for sunny skies this afternoon for the Hawks game. Might have a few high clouds passing overhead by then but should still be a beautiful October day in Seattle to pull out a W over our division rivals!

 

Most of the game will be after it gets dark... but should be a perfect evening.

[Timmy Supercell]

19 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I know Phil was calling for an expanded 4 corners high this summer but I don't think any of us thought that it would envelop half of North America. Sheesh 

 

Cue the Sierra's flamin' hot cheetos red. CA is never gonna get out of it. 

[RentonHill]

19 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

Lackluster 12z runs today. Not a fan to be honest.

When youve been riding in the saddle for as long as Rob has, you just know when something aint right with a model run. Todays 12z is a bit different for us. Also it helps that goofus is basically monkey/dartboard after day 7

12z GFS today (left) vs 12z GFS yesterday (right) - thru day 7

[RentonHill]

12z GFS through day 12. Thoughts? 

 

[Omegaraptor]

Low of 37

[seattleweatherguy]

11 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

12z GFS through day 12. Thoughts? 

 

Looks cold to me!

[Jbolin]

23 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Couldn't tell if you meant 02-03 or just lived in the wrong place, right Winter! 

 

Some of the snow event happened down here but never got below zero. Impressive in Spokane considering the elevation.

Coldest day was 24/2.

I meant 02-03, had to look back at data but yes, thank you and others for the correction

[RentonHill]

How do we get the two orange things to merge and make one big blue thing over us? Isnt that how last february got started? Who do i talk to about this? I need a met on demand to answer my stupid questions. 

[Meatyorologist]

5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

How do we get the two orange things to merge and make one big blue thing over us? Isnt that how last february got started? Who do i talk to about this? I need a met on demand to answer my stupid questions. 

Scream at the heavens until a divine voice emerges from your neighbor's window telling you to shut up