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PNW October 2021, Pumpkin Spice Edition


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26 minutes ago, snow drift said:

Feb 1990

February 1986 and 2011 also saw lowland snow. Then there is March 1951... Definitely some front loading in some of those winters too. Also some extreme backloading, and nice January events in 1951 and 1969.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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52 here. Won’t be as big of a minus as yesterday but still below normal. Were actually on a pretty decent steak of below normal days right now as Jim has mentioned. The low temps haven’t been as impressive as 2019 but the high temps have been more impressive than that year…atleast at my location. 

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Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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Up to 60F and cloudy. S wind of 4mph. Looks like we got down to 43F.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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There is a huge rainfall discrepancy between the 12z Euro and GFS ensembles. The average for the GFS is lower than the single lowest member of the Euro. The single highest GFS member has half of the rainfall of the Euro average. This is over the full run.

Can’t recall a time seeing them so wildly different. A couple hundred miles difference in low placement makes all the difference. We know how this game works when rooting for snow. Too far north and it’s too warm. Too far south or west and it’s too dry.

 

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26 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

There is a huge rainfall discrepancy between the 12z Euro and GFS ensembles. The average for the GFS is lower than the single lowest member of the Euro. The single highest GFS member has half of the rainfall of the Euro average. This is over the full run.

Can’t recall a time seeing them so wildly different. A couple hundred miles difference in low placement makes all the difference. We know how this game works when rooting for snow. Too far north and it’s too warm. Too far south or west and it’s too dry.

 

Are you looking at Portland? 

image.thumb.png.aee65a1f23d5af5c96281a5f82aad826.pngimage.thumb.png.9755ad5eef4311cda447f7c84a4af778.png

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3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Are you looking at Portland? 

image.thumb.png.aee65a1f23d5af5c96281a5f82aad826.pngimage.thumb.png.9755ad5eef4311cda447f7c84a4af778.png

Weird. I am using weather.us as I don’t have a pay subscription to any sites. They must be using the control instead of the mean for the GEFS. Or, I’m just an idiot. Both are possible. In any event, that makes a lot more sense. No way the GFS control is correct though. 

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5 hours ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

 

I measured snowfall that February. It was about 2 feet that fell on the 11th/12th, but we already had 1.5 to 2 feet from the previous week. With compaction, I measured between 36” to 42” on the ground at the end of the 12th. Here are my totals:

10" on the 3rd/4th

7" on 8th/9th

6" on 10th

19" to 24" on 11th/12th (Difficult to measure)

1.5" on 19th/20th

2" on 22nd

Our neighborhood experienced the most impactful windstorm (January 6) and snowstorm (February) in most longtime residents memories in 2019. 


C7CB3901-1579-4D8E-BCE9-8052F291CECF.thumb.jpeg.54da4ecab808f08d016896eaf2ed5f51.jpeg

That is the main entrance to our neighborhood, completely blocked. I feel like that windstorm didn’t stick with most Puget Sound weather fans but it must have had the perfect wind direction to funnel along Rattlesnake Mountain and just punish the trees in that area. Without power, and with several neighbors with holes in their roofs, it snowed the next night. A foreboding preview of the snowy February to come.

That was an incredible stretch of February snowfall, wow.

So 24" in 24 hours, not 36". Sounds more realistic yet still very impressive. 

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 16.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16.0"

Highest snow depth: 15.0"

Coldest high: 29.7º

Coldest low: 25.3º

Number of subzero days: 0

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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18 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Wrong thread.

JK

Someones jelly...😉 You had your time last year!

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 16.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16.0"

Highest snow depth: 15.0"

Coldest high: 29.7º

Coldest low: 25.3º

Number of subzero days: 0

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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5 hours ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

 

I measured snowfall that February. It was about 2 feet that fell on the 11th/12th, but we already had 1.5 to 2 feet from the previous week. With compaction, I measured between 36” to 42” on the ground at the end of the 12th. Here are my totals:

10" on the 3rd/4th

7" on 8th/9th

6" on 10th

19" to 24" on 11th/12th (Difficult to measure)

1.5" on 19th/20th

2" on 22nd

Our neighborhood experienced the most impactful windstorm (January 6) and snowstorm (February) in most longtime residents memories in 2019. 


C7CB3901-1579-4D8E-BCE9-8052F291CECF.thumb.jpeg.54da4ecab808f08d016896eaf2ed5f51.jpeg

That is the main entrance to our neighborhood, completely blocked. I feel like that windstorm didn’t stick with most Puget Sound weather fans but it must have had the perfect wind direction to funnel along Rattlesnake Mountain and just punish the trees in that area. Without power, and with several neighbors with holes in their roofs, it snowed the next night. A foreboding preview of the snowy February to come.

I was hoping you had actually measured!    Thanks for providing more details.

It was very difficult to determine how much fell that night... but it looks like I was about right in estimating we had 40 inches on the ground on 2/12.     Pretty crazy!  

 

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

February 1986 and 2011 also saw lowland snow. Then there is March 1951... Definitely some front loading in some of those winters too. Also some extreme backloading, and nice January events in 1951 and 1969.

Yes, serious cold air plowed south in Nov 2010, Nov 1985, and Dec 1968. Dec 1989 was more Midwest and East coast based. I think Michigan and Ohio State played in a blizzard in 1950.

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-7 departure at SLE today. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

-7 departure at SLE today. 

-2.6 for Springfield 60/43 on the day. Seasonably cool.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 18)
  • Coldest low: 32F (Oct 12)
  • Days with below freezing temps:1 (Most recent: Oct 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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48 (47.5)/36 today. Our first sub 50 high of the season. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, Acer said:

Been away from the house and just noticed I had a high of only 49 today after a warm low of 43.  48 currently and added .35" to the bucket today.

51/41 on the day here.

.08” on the day, 1.39” for the month, 36.47” for the year. 

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3 hours ago, snow drift said:

Yes, serious cold air plowed south in Nov 2010, Nov 1985, and Dec 1968. Dec 1989 was more Midwest and East coast based. I think Michigan and Ohio State played in a blizzard in 1950.

Late November 1950 was one of the most anomalous events on record in the U.S.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Appalachian_Storm_of_1950

Atlanta had a 17/3 day on 11/25/1950.

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Definitely a cool day. Currently 48° in Woodinville where I am with sprinkles. 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

51/41 on the day here.

.08” on the day, 1.39” for the month, 36.47” for the year. 

I’m at 1.61” for the month snd 40.62” for the year.  It’s gonna be nip and tuck to the end of the year.

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7 minutes ago, Acer said:

I lost a cat named Sprinkles..  did you take him?

No I did not! Sorry to hear your lost your kitty. I grew up with cats and I remember one got out and disappeared when I was pretty young.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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5 hours ago, snow drift said:

Yes, serious cold air plowed south in Nov 2010, Nov 1985, and Dec 1968. Dec 1989 was more Midwest and East coast based. I think Michigan and Ohio State played in a blizzard in 1950.

November 1976 should be on this list. I remember it hitting -24˚F on the Sunday after Thanksgiving where I was in northern New Mexico.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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13 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

November 1976 should be on this list. I remember it hitting -24˚F on the Sunday after Thanksgiving where I was in northern New Mexico.

We were discussing Joe Bastardi's late October SSW analogs, which were 1950, 1968, 1985, 1989, and 2010. No doubt the winter of 1976-77 is a great winter though, and you definitely experienced a top tier event for so early in the season.

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I did not sufficiently recognize how anomalously cold today's high of 47.5 was. Silver Falls record for the date is (was?), 50 set in 2013. Two nearby stations hit 46 and 47 respectively, so there is probably a pretty good chance the official station topped the record. Overall a -9 departure today. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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