PNW October 2021, Pumpkin Spice Edition

[snow_wizard]

Ended up with a 61/40 day today.  Pretty much spot on normal for the daily average.

One of the more interesting things in the model world today is the EPS PNA forecast dropped considerably on the 12z run centered around the 25th.  Certainly lends more support to another round of well below normal temps before the month is done.

[snow_wizard]

44 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Good winters for the PNW don't always leave CA in the dark. Didn't November 1955 flood out San Francisco and another snowy winter at my place?

The winter of 1861-62 had one of the most extreme AR events and it struck CA with a vengeance.  At the same time it was wickedly cold here.

[Timmy Supercell]

Picking up! 

[Gradient Keeper]

East wind has become quite breezy east of I-205 in the Portland area with modest gradients currently. I just had the first "gust" of the Fall season hit my east facing front room window. This is in response to the approaching strong front. We're now moving closer to east wind season! 'Tis the Season! C'MON!!!!

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

East wind has become quite breezy east of I-205 in the Portland area with modest gradients currently. I just had the first "gust" of the Fall season hit my east facing front room window. This is in response to the approaching strong front. We're now moving closer to east wind season! 'Tis the Season! C'MON!!!!

We doin night shift tonight babayyyy I gotta goooood feeling about these runs

[Winterdog]

7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

East wind has become quite breezy east of I-205 in the Portland area with modest gradients currently. I just had the first "gust" of the Fall season hit my east facing front room window. This is in response to the approaching strong front. We're now moving closer to east wind season! 'Tis the Season! C'MON!!!!

Back door baby!!!

[Meatyorologist]

[GHweatherChris]

5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

We doin night shift tonight babayyyy I gotta goooood feeling about these runs

3.5 weeks to early for that nonsense. 

[RentonHill]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

What’s an isothermal layer

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

3.5 weeks to early for that nonsense. 

Go to sleep old man the future is now

[Cloud]

48 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Where our rain reports from our southern Oregon folks??

Rookies. You know team Skarnado would be all over it. 

[GHweatherChris]

13 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Go to sleep old man the future is now

I will!  You guys need to rest up as well for blockbuster time beginning 11/20/2021.

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Still haven’t broke 60°F imby this month. Only 0.03” on the week, but 4.09” on the month. Beautiful October day, definitely not one to be wasted. 
 

Cool picture. Love that place. Almost looks like one of the islands from the I Lava You Disney short lol 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

21 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

What’s an isothermal layer

iso- Equal, same.

-therm- Heat, temperature.

-al Turns noun into adjective.

[MWG]

Talk about windy! Hopefully it start to rain soon. 

[Geos]

8 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Still haven’t broke 60°F imby this month. Only 0.03” on the week, but 4.09” on the month. Beautiful October day, definitely not one to be wasted. 
 

How warm did you get last Saturday? Noce pic.

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

iso- Equal, same.

-therm- Heat, temperature.

-al Turns noun into adjective.

Ah, I see clearly now what I was missing. And the second word?

[TacomaWaWx]

We’ve hit 60 5 times so far this month. In 2019 we hit 60 7 times. Euro shows us hitting 60 just once the next 10 days. The max temps this month have been cooler than 2019 so far but the mins have been much warmer. 
 Another thing we’ve yet to do is manage a sub 50 high. We’ve had sub 50 high temps in the last 3 Octobers but were yet to do that this year. 

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It's not. One week in October will not end a long term drought. If this winter ends up like 2017-18, it will be back worse than ever next summer. 

It was half tongue in cheek. Also depends on where you're talking. 

But the amount of rain for Sep/Oct looks to make a big difference from where things were in August.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

DAM SON! Lol don’t remember that happening. I’ll admit I only really pay attention to the weather within 200 miles or so of my location. I can only really recall big events off the top of my head from around the country. 

TWL is very offended.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It was half tongue in cheek. Also depends on where you're talking. 

But the amount of rain for Sep/Oct looks to make a big difference from where things were in August.

It has helped, but down here at least we are well below average for October (Though that looks to change.), and our wet September was but a drop in the bucket. It was very beneficial in that it got the green up going, ended fire season, and provided fresh water for fish, but we have a long long ways to go. Snow pack and next spring are going to be crucial. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It has helped, but down here at least we are well below average for October (Though that looks to change.), and our wet September was but a drop in the bucket. It was very beneficial in that it got the green up going, ended fire season, and provided fresh water for fish, but we have a long long ways to go. Snow pack and next spring are going to be crucial. 

Hope your drought ends soon.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Finally starting to rain.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Finally starting to rain.

Fake news! All rain events miss Eugene.

[Meatyorologist]

58 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

What’s an isothermal layer

The temperature stays the same as you go up.

For instance, say the temperature is 33F from 500’ up through 2000’ up. That layer from 500’ through 2000’ is an isothermal layer.

They can be horizontal too but in most meteorological applications, particularly in wintertime/convective situations, isothermality is particularly viewed in the vertical.

[MossMan]

I mowed again after work! 
61/42 on this lovely day! 
Now I’m sitting on the couch eating Gelato! 

[RentonHill]

15 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

The temperature stays the same as you go up.

For instance, say the temperature is 33F from 500’ up through 2000’ up. That layer from 500’ through 2000’ is an isothermal layer.

They can be horizontal too but in most meteorological applications, particularly in wintertime/convective situations, isothermality is particularly viewed in the vertical.

Fantastic. Thank you

[RentonHill]

WB needs a bigger color scale

[RentonHill]

@Requiemhere you go got back everything you lost on the 18z and more

[Gradient Keeper]

1 hour ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Still haven’t broke 60°F imby this month. Only 0.03” on the week, but 4.09” on the month. Beautiful October day, definitely not one to be wasted. 
 

Wow. Where is this? I'd be busy fishing for sure.... with flies of course.

[snow_wizard]

13 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

WB needs a bigger color scale

That anomaly off the coast is insane.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In case you missed it, I posted my winter forecast over in that thread. Read it and weep. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Timmy Supercell]

Winds getting louder. So far nothing >40 at KLMT, yet winds are about as loud as Sunday which
produced a 56 there... 

[RentonHill]

Mother earth lettin us know that something is UP right now

EDIT apparently this is no big deal because it erupts every year so just ignore

 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Mother earth lettin us know that something is UP right now

 

 

Let's blast that SO2 into the sky!!!

[umadbro]

Time to start focusing on this forum again. I know you’re all on pins and needles about what I think, so calm down. I’m back again.

[Randyc321]

3 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

I’m not trying to be a downer, but some of that is gonna get downright  fugly in those dry areas of California.  The run off is going to be beastly.  .  
 

[Timmy Supercell]

7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Mother earth lettin us know that something is UP right now

 

 

First thing I did was look up Aso's previous activity. A few of the last years mentioned are 2011-2015-2016. All three of those followed good snow.

[Meatyorologist]

7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Let's blast that SO2 into the sky!!!

Make that sky orange