TT-SEA Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 66 here now with sun... the clouds just fall apart as they move into the offshore flow. Fairly breezy east wind. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I wonder how this stacks up historically for NorCal. 2016 was also a really rainy October there. 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Kayla said: 2016 was also a really rainy October there. October 2016 was really something else. We had 18" of rain that month. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Uh oh. Tons of leaves blowing around. Winds sound >50 ish. 1 1 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 When the walls facing southeast are rumbling like this, we're near severe criteria. Here we go! And there goes the tree photography. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 12Z ECMWF for Sunday and Monday... 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 As of today we are at 3" of rain for the month. Average for the entire month is 6.29", we should easily pass that. A notably wet October here is something north of 10". It has happened 11 times at Silver Falls since 1938, but only 3 times in the past 40 years, 2016, 1990, 1984. In fact it is really hard to say a top 10 wet October here is a bad sign when this is the list. Here is the top 10, with the aforementioned 1984 sitting at #11 1) 2016 2) 1947 3) 1950 4) 1967 5) 1990 6) 1968 7) 1956 8 ) 1951 9) 1946 10) 1979 A couple of the following winters were not great, but some good ones on that list, more good ones than bad ones. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: As of today we are at 3" of rain for the month. Average for the entire month is 6.29", we should easily pass that. A notably wet October here is something north of 10". It has happened 11 times at Silver Falls since 1938, but only 3 times in the past 40 years, 2016, 1990, 1984. In fact it is really hard to say a top 10 wet October here is a bad sign when this is the list. Here is the top 10, with the aforementioned 1984 sitting at #11 1) 2016 2) 1947 3) 1950 4) 1967 5) 1990 6) 1968 7) 1956 8 ) 1951 9) 1946 10) 1979 A couple of the following winters were not great, but some good ones on that list, more good ones than bad ones. October can also have an average Mean temperature and winter still be decent. Generally we shouldn't be asking for really crazy indian summers (Oct 1996/1998 for example), more often translates to sub par snowfalls. It maxed in the low 70's in October 2016. Was also a top 5 wettest at KLMT. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: https://www.oregon.gov/oda/programs/NaturalResources/Documents/Weather/dlongrange.pdf FWIW That works! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: October can also have an average Mean temperature and winter still be decent. Generally we shouldn't be asking for really crazy indian summers (Oct 1996/1998 for example), more often translates to sub par snowfalls. It maxed in the low 70's in October 2016. Was also a top 5 wettest at KLMT. 2016 had a -1.5 departure at Silver Falls, which is probably pretty close to where we will end up this year. Cool, but definitely not super cold. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 2016 had a -1.5 departure at Silver Falls, which is probably pretty close to where we will end up this year. Cool, but definitely not super cold. The high was -5.3 at KLMT but surprisingly averaged -0.7. All those wet systems kept the lows really warm. 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 minute ago, AbbyJr said: If models suddenly show stronger jet support closer to the coast, then sure maybe. It's worth keeping an eye on the next 2 days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Still the "wait and see" stage. These things within 24hrs can change course and we don't want a meteorologist on live tv calling for a major windstorm inland then a couple days later it's a garden variety rain producer with perhaps a coastal event. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 32 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: That wouldn’t be good… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Warm and sunny day... 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 44 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: There is little to no windstorm threat for this part of the PNW. All depends on location. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: That works! So they're still talking about 1996 and 2008 as analogues. Hmmm… 4 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Up to 62˚F here. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Looks like we are at 69F so another 70F looking likely. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 65 here…looks like today will be the warmest day of the month. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Some warmish readings from the coast. 70 at Tillamook, 68 Newport, 69 Florence, 74 Roseburg, 73 at North Bend Still 61 here in Corvallis Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 The truck said 70 degrees as I drove through Marysville a bit ago. Nice day! And this was the scene during my grueling 3 minute drive into work this morning… 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: The truck said 70 degrees as I drove through Marysville a bit ago. Nice day! And this was the scene during my grueling 3 minute drive into work this morning… Man... that climb up into the mountains must be terrible on the gas mileage! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 2 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 67˚F. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Pretty clear retrogression signal on the 12Z EPS... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Up to 71F. Feels like a cloudy day in summer. The cold late-October bad omen will not apply to the south Willamette Valley this time around. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Might hit 70 here today 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF for Sunday and Monday... Looks like the system for today never reaches us besides the coast? And goes way north 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 72F now. Good grief what a nice, warm day! 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Yea it’s hot today 70 here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 SEA up to 69... might sneak in another 70. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Just finished some work in the garden... we still have tomatoes and cucumbers and zucchini coming and the roses are blooming like crazy. Also no end in sight yet for the dahlias... we keep picking and they keep blooming. 5 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Still the "wait and see" stage. These things within 24hrs can change course and we don't want a meteorologist on live tv calling for a major windstorm inland then a couple days later it's a garden variety rain producer with perhaps a coastal event. Tyler is NOT your typical Met, he rarely dishes out any sort of doomsday'ish BS and sure as hell isn't your aforementioned "talking head". 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Just finished some work in the garden... we still have tomatoes and cucumbers and zucchini coming and the roses are blooming like crazy. Also no end in sight yet for the dahlias... we keep picking and they keep blooming. The first storm in September finished everything off here. Despite the warm summer the tomatoes didn’t quite get there. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The first storm in September finished everything off here. Despite the warm summer the tomatoes didn’t quite get there. The only things that did good for us this year was onions and our 1 shishito pepper plant, only got like 10 edible tomatoes, last year we pushed 100. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Not a chilly day at all. Hit 70 with a nice SE blow. Was gusting up to 25mph 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Balmy 71 for a high, now back to 69. Warmest day of the month. Feels like a windstorm day TBH. Typical high clouds, low/no precip and NE wind ahead of it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 21, 2021 Report Share Posted October 21, 2021 Coastal radar looks great but none of that is reaching far inland… at least not yet. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.