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PNW October 2021, Pumpkin Spice Edition


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5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Spent the day on the back roads of Ellensburg. In picture two, I think I found an old crater from a possible meteor strike from a long time ago…. What’s y’all opinion🤔

61A6EB7A-21B2-428F-8F74-5C4900F1F991.jpeg

A1D0E602-3C61-4D55-8181-C411B14FA976.jpeg

859D9C85-C19D-4266-B2F8-D6F1B6A3C8D8.jpeg

Likely an old phreatic volcanic eruption. Surfacing magma and hot gas + groundwater = boom boom. Whole region is a volcanic breeding ground.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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14 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Spent the day on the back roads of Ellensburg. In picture two, I think I found an old crater from a possible meteor strike from a long time ago…. What’s y’all opinion🤔

61A6EB7A-21B2-428F-8F74-5C4900F1F991.jpeg

A1D0E602-3C61-4D55-8181-C411B14FA976.jpeg

859D9C85-C19D-4266-B2F8-D6F1B6A3C8D8.jpeg

Unless you find Bruce Willis’ DNA… No.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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It was a pretty good show when that squall line came through this afternoon. I was in Woodinville in area with a lot of trees. Had to dodge multiple falling limbs as I made my day back towards downtown. Came across some lights that were out and then trying to get back into Kirkland was a challenge due to three different roads being blocked by down trees and wires. I largely stayed off the roads after that. There was a lot of roads with limbs and ponds of water on them due to leaves clogging up the grates. 

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Only a few more weeks until the Christmas Lights go up!

You’re way late to the party. I was at a local Lowe’s here at the end of last month and they had their Christmas trees and lights up already. 
 

seriously though, when is early too early? Some of these businesses have no shame…. Just like sensational media headlines. 

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21 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Spent the day on the back roads of Ellensburg. In picture two, I think I found an old crater from a possible meteor strike from a long time ago…. What’s y’all opinion🤔

61A6EB7A-21B2-428F-8F74-5C4900F1F991.jpeg

A1D0E602-3C61-4D55-8181-C411B14FA976.jpeg

859D9C85-C19D-4266-B2F8-D6F1B6A3C8D8.jpeg

Let me know if you ever see steam coming out of that crater 🌋

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[Signature in link]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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17 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Only a few more weeks until the Christmas Lights go up!

Earlier the better, unless you like the idea of sending guttercicles rocketing into your DINK neighbor’s bedroom window. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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To wrap up the air travel side of the storm, it ended up as a non-event for me.  The flight from Seatac to Bellingham happened awful quick with a nice tailwind, but not too terribly bumpy.  The landing was the worst, with the pilot really struggling to keep it in the proximity of the centerline.  The pilot did tell us that the flights a few hours earlier were quite exciting, so it looks like I was just a little too late in my flight times.

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Buoy 5 today recorded pressure of 942.5mb today. Lowest ever on record but ended up as a non-event for most people. Not a complete non-event as 150k still lost power but overall  we dodged a huge bullet. 

storm.png

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EC ensemble. Looks like we will be warming up as we get into November. No late October cold.

Hopefully the cold is being saved until it's useful.

381473704_ECensemble500mb.gif

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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I've at least partially changed my mind about November.  Given recent events and some of the model projections I'm fairly confident there will be some kind of a notable cold snap next month.  Not sure if it will be a cold month overall, but I think a week or so of cold weather will happen.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

EC ensemble. Looks like we will be warming up as we get into November. No late October cold.

381473704_ECensemble500mb.gif

It's kinda like clockwork as we flip the calendar. I would like to say something is brewing for Dec./Jan. 

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1 hour ago, Cloud said:

Buoy 5 today recorded pressure of 942.5mb today. Lowest ever on record but ended up as a non-event for most people. Not a complete non-event as 150k still lost power but overall  we dodged a huge bullet. 

storm.png

There's a fair chance the pressure got lower somewhere than what that buoy recorded.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Just now, The Blob said:

The 5 minute orbs show a spread of 54/52 for PDX yesterday 

My low today was 48 and it was recorded around 3pm.  Pretty bizarre day.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

It's kinda like clockwork as we flip the calendar. I would like to say something is brewing for Dec./Jan. 

A lot of the long range models like January.  Maybe it will finally happen this winter.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

EC ensemble. Looks like we will be warming up as we get into November. No late October cold.

Hopefully the cold is being saved until it's useful.

381473704_ECensemble500mb.gif

Still a shot at some chilly weather the 28th through 31st, but low confidence on that.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Wow!  Tokeland has been having gusts in the 50 to 60 range for 9 hours now.  Very impressive duration.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Cloud said:

https://cnrfc.noaa.gov/precipMaps.php?group=sac&img=3

Sacramento should've broken its 24 hour rain totals. Downtown received 5.39" and and SAC 5.37". Some other insane totals on there, Doty Ravine with over 10.5" in 24 hours. 

Yet another good sign for our winter.  That means this is up there with the 5 most extreme October AR events in CA during a Nina in the last 100 years.  The winters up here were solid on all of the others.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Still a shot at some chilly weather the 28th through 31st, but low confidence on that.

Looks fairly dry for Halloween too. Don't know if there'll be any trick-or-treaters but it looks decent. 

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2 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Yet another good sign for our winter.  That means this is up there with the 5 most extreme October AR events in CA during a Nina in the last 100 years.  The winters up here were solid on all of the others.

🤔

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4 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Yet another good sign for our winter.  That means this is up there with the 5 most extreme October AR events in CA during a Nina in the last 100 years.  The winters up here were solid on all of the others.

Also this was one of the biggest Oct storms on record for Cali. The other one on the list was Oct 1889 which also broke a 2 year extreme drought that featured massive Sierra Nevada forest fires. Sound Familiar?

That winter went on to be called The White Death and was also the East Coast Warmest winter every recorded. Sorry Phil!

https://www.sierrasun.com/news/local/sierra-history-the-epic-tahoe-truckee-winter-of-1890-pt-1/

https://www.sierrasun.com/news/local/sierra-history-the-epic-tahoe-truckee-winter-of-1890-part-2/

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4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

EC ensemble. Looks like we will be warming up as we get into November. No late October cold.

Hopefully the cold is being saved until it's useful.

381473704_ECensemble500mb.gif

It'll work out this year. Subzero highs for everyone!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 36.5"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.5"; March 15th, 2021

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 14F; November 24th, 2010

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33 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Also this was one of the biggest Oct storms on record for Cali. The other one on the list was Oct 1889 which also broke a 2 year extreme drought that featured massive Sierra Nevada forest fires. Sound Familiar?

That winter went on to be called The White Death and was also the East Coast Warmest winter every recorded. Sorry Phil!

https://www.sierrasun.com/news/local/sierra-history-the-epic-tahoe-truckee-winter-of-1890-pt-1/

https://www.sierrasun.com/news/local/sierra-history-the-epic-tahoe-truckee-winter-of-1890-part-2/

October 1880 is the most similar to this though. That was the all-time record up until yesterday for most locations in NorCal. Interestingly enough, the longest dry streak on record in Sacramento was also set in 1880 before this year.
 

Huge winter followed for the Midwest and Plains.

https://weatherology.com/trending/articles/Long-Winter-Eighteen-Eighty.html

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 16.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16.0"

Highest snow depth: 15.0"

Coldest high: 29.7º

Coldest low: 25.3º

Number of subzero days: 0

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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7 minutes ago, Kayla said:

October 1880 is the most similar to this though. That was the all-time record up until yesterday for most locations in NorCal. Interestingly enough, the longest dry streak on record in Sacramento was also set in 1880 before this year.
 

Huge winter followed for the Midwest and Plains.

https://weatherology.com/trending/articles/Long-Winter-Eighteen-Eighty.html

I keep seeing Oct 1889 mentioned in the records on Twitter so I went with that one since it featured the winter I want for this year. Lol

 

 

SmartSelect_20211025-061808_Twitter.jpg

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47 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Also this was one of the biggest Oct storms on record for Cali. The other one on the list was Oct 1889 which also broke a 2 year extreme drought that featured massive Sierra Nevada forest fires. Sound Familiar?

That winter went on to be called The White Death and was also the East Coast Warmest winter every recorded. Sorry Phil!

https://www.sierrasun.com/news/local/sierra-history-the-epic-tahoe-truckee-winter-of-1890-pt-1/

https://www.sierrasun.com/news/local/sierra-history-the-epic-tahoe-truckee-winter-of-1890-part-2/

We’ve had 6 consecutive warmer than average winters. Safe bet to assume this will be #7.

I’ll cope somehow. 🤷

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3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I keep seeing Oct 1889 mentioned in the records on Twitter so I went with that one since it featured the winter I want for this year. Lol

 

 

SmartSelect_20211025-061808_Twitter.jpg

Fair enough!😂

2325CF60-2537-4708-88E6-B1CA13660FD9.thumb.jpeg.abc060296ba672cd907fd676450d92c2.jpeg

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 16.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16.0"

Highest snow depth: 15.0"

Coldest high: 29.7º

Coldest low: 25.3º

Number of subzero days: 0

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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As for warming up as we move into November. We’ve been above average down here for the past week, the cooler lows will probably produce daily means just a little above average. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 23.25" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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SEA is currently 54 with S20G33... but its dead calm here.    Not even that whisper of a breeze.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12 minutes ago, MWG said:

This weekend was just light rain on and off and breezy. Currently 37 and partly cloudy. 

Similar here. Pretty unimpressive weekend. About 0.25" of rain in the bucket and no wind gusts over 30 mph. HWW in effect until tomorrow morning so maybe the wind will actually pick up at some point.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 0"

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